Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 22 Aug 2025 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs RB LeipzigBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
18 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 4.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug RB Leipzig H 6–0 W
05 Jul Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–2 L
29 Jun CR Flamengo A 4–2 W
24 Jun Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–1 L
21 Jun CA Boca Juniors H 2–1 W
15 Jun Auckland City FC H 10–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug FC Bayern München A 0–6 L
16 Aug SV Sandhausen 1916 A 4–2 W
17 May VfB Stuttgart H 2–3 L
10 May SV Werder Bremen A 0–0 D
03 May FC Bayern München H 3–3 D
26 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–4 L

Season Stats

FC Bayern München RB Leipzig
#1 Position #3
89 Points 65
34 Played 34
28 / 5 / 1 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
122 Scored 66
36 Conceded 47
+86 GD +19
2.62 PPG 1.91
82% Win % 59%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.94 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 86% + FC Bayern München to win 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München77% Draw13% RB Leipzig10%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 5.06
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 86%
14%
± 3.5 71%
29%
± 4.5 53%
47%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
90%
Draw or RB Leipzig
23%
FC Bayern München or RB Leipzig
87%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München67% Draw25% RB Leipzig8%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–0 not predicted
6 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
7.4%
4 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
6.9%
4 – 0
6.5%
2 – 1
5.9%
5 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
5.5%
5 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.1%
4 – 2
4%
6 – 1
3.8%
1 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 51% 49%
-2 51% 18% 31%
-1.5 69% 31%
-1 69% 15% 16%
-0.5 84% 16%
+0.5 94% 6%
+1 94% 4% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
33%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
3%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.