FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga .
- FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Badstubner
18 games this season
🟨 0.8/game
⚽ 4.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug | RB Leipzig | H | 6–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Jun | CR Flamengo | A | 4–2 | W |
| 24 Jun | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Jun | CA Boca Juniors | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Jun | Auckland City FC | H | 10–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug | FC Bayern München | A | 0–6 | L |
| 16 Aug | SV Sandhausen 1916 | A | 4–2 | W |
| 17 May | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–3 | L |
| 10 May | SV Werder Bremen | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | FC Bayern München | H | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Apr | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Bayern München | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #3 |
| 89 | Points | 65 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 28 / 5 / 1 | W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 9 |
| 122 | Scored | 66 |
| 36 | Conceded | 47 |
| +86 | GD | +19 |
| 2.62 | PPG | 1.91 |
| 82% | Win % | 59% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Bayern München and RB Leipzig get this one started.
- With this win, FC Bayern München is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FC Bayern München Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Lewandowski | 5 |
| Thomas Muller | 4 |
| Leroy Sane | 4 |
| Jamal Musiala | 3 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 3 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern München Form
2025-08-22
FC Bayern München
6–0
RB Leipzig
W
2025-07-05
Paris Saint-Germain FC
2–0
FC Bayern München
L
2025-06-29
CR Flamengo
2–4
FC Bayern München
W
2025-06-24
Sport Lisboa e Benfica
1–0
FC Bayern München
L
2025-06-21
FC Bayern München
2–1
CA Boca Juniors
W
2025-06-15
FC Bayern München
10–0
Auckland City FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.94
FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 86% + FC Bayern München to win 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 5.06
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 3.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 4.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern München or Draw
90%
Draw or RB Leipzig
23%
FC Bayern München or RB Leipzig
87%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 6–0 not predicted6 – 0Actual
3 – 1
7.4%
4 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
6.9%
4 – 0
6.5%
2 – 1
5.9%
5 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
5.5%
5 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.1%
4 – 2
4%
6 – 1
3.8%
1 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München
| Handicap | FC Bayern München covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| -2 | 51% | 18% | 31% |
| -1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| -1 | 69% | 15% | 16% |
| -0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +0.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +1 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
3%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

