TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
- FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Schlager
- Assistant 1 Sven Waschitzki
- Assistant 2 Arno Blos
20 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 8.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | FC Bayern München | H | 0–4 | L |
| 09 May | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 May | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 4–4 | D |
| 26 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | SC Freiburg | A | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 4–0 | W |
| 10 May | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 May | RB Leipzig | A | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #1 |
| 61 | Points | 89 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 28 / 5 / 1 |
| 65 | Scored | 122 |
| 52 | Conceded | 36 |
| +13 | GD | +86 |
| 1.79 | PPG | 2.62 |
| 53% | Win % | 82% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
35%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to PreZero Arena that hosts another battle between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and FC Bayern München.
- 5' FC Bayern München has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern München is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' FC Bayern München fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim currently sit 15 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 30' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern München backline.
- 33' Goal! Michael Olise scores his 50 goal in 379 matches.
- 38' The travelling FC Bayern München supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 43' Pavel Kaderabek, a Czech Republic , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 46' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marius Bulter is hanging Alexander Prass on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 53' Joshua Kimmich adds to his 0 season tally! FC Bayern Munchen lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 58' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 61' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Kingsley Coman trudges off to be replaced by Leroy Sane on 61 minutes.
- 66' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 67' The TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes a substitution. Tom Bischof departs to be replaced by Bazoumana Toure.
- 72' FC Bayern München are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 76' The supporters are chanting for Umut Tohumcu. He replaces Dennis Geiger on 76 minute.
- 80' Assisted by Harry Kane with the perfectly-timed delivery and Serge Gnabry makes no mistake. 0-3!
- 81' A tactical swap from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Finn Ole Becker on, Anton Stach off on 81 minutes.
- 82' A tactical swap from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Ihlas Bebou on, Andrej Kramaric off on 82 minutes.
- 86' Harry Kane does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
- 86' The whistle greets Eric Dier as he departs to be replaced by Gabriel Vidovic.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim will have plenty to reflect on. FC Bayern München were simply the better side today.
Lineups
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 25
- 1
- 3
-
27
Andrej Kramaric ↓ Ihlas Bebou 82'
-
8
Dennis Geiger ↓ Umut Tohumcu 76'
- 23
- 4
-
16
Anton Stach ↓ Finn Ole Becker 81'
- 35
-
22
Alexander Prass ↓ Marius Bulter 46'
-
7
Tom Bischof ↓ Bazoumana Toure 67'
Bench
-
9
Ihlas Bebou ↑ 82'
-
21
Marius Bulter ↑ 46'
-
20
Finn Ole Becker ↑ 81'
- 26
- 37
-
17
Umut Tohumcu ↑ 76'
- 34
- 19
-
29
Bazoumana Toure ↑ 67'
Coach
Christian Ilzer
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
15
Eric Dier ↓ Gabriel Vidovic 86'
- 7
- 1
- 6
-
11
Kingsley Coman ↓ Leroy Sane 61'
-
25
Thomas Muller ↓ Harry Kane 61'
- 22
-
27
Konrad Laimer ↓ Sacha Boey 67'
- 17
- 44
- 45
Bench
-
10
Leroy Sane ↑ 61'
-
9
Harry Kane ↑ 61'
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↑ 67'
- 16
- 18
-
23
Sacha Boey ↑ 67'
- 40
-
24
Gabriel Vidovic ↑ 86'
- 41
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 7 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 6 |
| Serge Gnabry | 6 |
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Leon Goretzka | 3 |
| Jamal Musiala | 3 |
| Joshua Kimmich | 3 |
| Thomas Muller | 2 |
Head to Head
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2025-05-17
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–4
FC Bayern München
L
2025-05-09
VfL Wolfsburg
2–2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2025-05-03
Borussia Monchengladbach
4–4
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2025-04-26
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–3
Borussia Dortmund
L
2025-04-19
SC Freiburg
3–2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2025-04-12
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
FC Bayern München Form
2025-05-17
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–4
FC Bayern München
W
2025-05-10
FC Bayern München
2–0
Borussia Monchengladbach
W
2025-05-03
RB Leipzig
3–3
FC Bayern München
D
2025-04-26
FC Bayern München
3–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2025-04-19
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–4
FC Bayern München
W
2025-04-16
FC Internazionale Milano
2–2
FC Bayern München
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.22
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.49
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
35%
Draw or FC Bayern München
83%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or FC Bayern München
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 3
7.7%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 3
6.3%
1 – 4
6.2%
0 – 2
6.1%
1 – 1
5.3%
0 – 4
Actual
2 – 3
4.9%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 5
4%
2 – 4
3.9%
0 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Handicap | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 7% | 88% |
| -0.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| +0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +1 | 26% | 18% | 56% |
| +1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +2 | 44% | 19% | 36% |
| +2.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
Clean Sheet
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

