Thursday , 2 July 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 17 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC PreZero Arena 30,150 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 33' Michael Olise
0–2 53' Joshua Kimmich
0–3 80' Serge Gnabry
0–4 86' Harry Kane

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at PreZero Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Schlager
  • Assistant 1 Sven Waschitzki
  • Assistant 2 Arno Blos
20 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 8.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
09 May VfL Wolfsburg A 2–2 D
03 May Borussia Monchengladbach A 4–4 D
26 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–3 L
19 Apr SC Freiburg A 2–3 L
12 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 4–0 W
10 May Borussia Monchengladbach H 2–0 W
03 May RB Leipzig A 3–3 D
26 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–0 W
19 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–0 W
16 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 2–2 D

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim FC Bayern München
#5 Position #1
61 Points 89
34 Played 34
18 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
65 Scored 122
52 Conceded 36
+13 GD +86
1.79 PPG 2.62
53% Win % 82%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.22 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim17% Draw18% FC Bayern München65%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 4.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 45%
55%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
35%
Draw or FC Bayern München
83%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or FC Bayern München
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim13% Draw31% FC Bayern München56%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 3
7.7%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 3
6.3%
1 – 4
6.2%
0 – 2
6.1%
1 – 1
5.3%
0 – 4
Actual
2 – 3
4.9%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 5
4%
2 – 4
3.9%
0 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 7% 88%
-0.5 12% 88%
+0.5 26% 74%
+1 26% 18% 56%
+1.5 44% 56%
+2 44% 19% 36%
+2.5 64% 36%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
5%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.