Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Freiburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 34,100 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lucas Holer 28' 1–0
Ritsu Doan 36' 2–0
2–1 45+2' Marius Bulter
2–2 45+5' Andrej Kramaric
Lucas Holer 57' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
  • Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
  • Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 5.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–2 W
12 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach A 2–1 W
05 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 1–4 L
30 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–2 L
15 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D
08 Mar RB Leipzig H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr SC Freiburg A 2–3 L
12 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–0 W
05 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
29 Mar FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
14 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–1 L
09 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–1 D

Season Stats

SC Freiburg TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#7 Position #5
47 Points 61
34 Played 34
13 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 18 / 7 / 9
51 Scored 65
57 Conceded 52
-6 GD +13
1.38 PPG 1.79
38% Win % 53%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.91 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 70% + Over 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg47% Draw23% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim30%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.68
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
70%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
53%
SC Freiburg or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg32% Draw40% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.9%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 12% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 18% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 17% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
18%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.