Saturday , 14 November 2026

SC Freiburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 34,100 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lucas Holer 28' 1–0
Ritsu Doan 36' 2–0
2–1 45+2' Marius Bulter
2–2 45+5' Andrej Kramaric
Lucas Holer 57' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
  • Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
  • Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
6 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–2 W
12 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–1 W
05 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 1–4 L
30 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–2 L
15 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D
08 Mar RB Leipzig H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr SC Freiburg A 2–3 L
12 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–0 W
05 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
29 Mar FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
14 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–1 L
09 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–1 D

Season Stats

SC Freiburg TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#3 Position #9
19 Points 12
9 Played 9
6 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 5
20 Scored 16
10 Conceded 17
+10 GD -1
2.11 PPG 1.33
67% Win % 44%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
11% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

SC Freiburg are 3rd (19 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
2/4
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Bambase Conte 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G 1 A
Tim Lemperle 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.48 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg61% Draw20% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim19%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
81%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
39%
SC Freiburg or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg45% Draw37% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
4.4%
0 – 0
3.3%
4 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 18% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 20% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 11% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.