Sunday , 16 August 2026

SC Freiburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 34,100 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lucas Holer 28' 1–0
Ritsu Doan 36' 2–0
2–1 45+2' Marius Bulter
2–2 45+5' Andrej Kramaric
Lucas Holer 57' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
  • Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
  • Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–2 W
12 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–1 W
05 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 1–4 L
30 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–2 L
15 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D
08 Mar RB Leipzig H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr SC Freiburg A 2–3 L
12 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–0 W
05 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
29 Mar FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
14 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–1 L
09 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–1 D

Season Stats

SC Freiburg TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#13 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SC Freiburg are 13th (0 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg46% Draw31% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim23%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.91
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
77%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
54%
SC Freiburg or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg26% Draw56% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
17.3%
1 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 0
3%
3 – 1
2.6%
1 – 3
1.5%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 23% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 17% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
44%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.