Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 16:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 48' Maximilian Beier
Raphael Guerreiro 65' 1–1
Serge Gnabry 69' 2–1
2–2 75' Waldemar Anton

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Jonas Weickenmeier
19 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
08 Apr FC Internazionale Milano H 1–2 L
04 Apr FC Augsburg A 3–1 W
29 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–2 W
15 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–1 D
11 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–2 D
09 Apr FC Barcelona A 0–4 L
05 Apr SC Freiburg A 4–1 W
30 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–1 W
15 Mar RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
12 Mar Lille OSC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

FC Bayern München Borussia Dortmund
#1 Position #2
89 Points 73
34 Played 34
28 / 5 / 1 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
122 Scored 70
36 Conceded 34
+86 GD +36
2.62 PPG 2.15
82% Win % 65%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. FC Bayern München get us underway at Allianz Arena.
  • 5' Borussia Dortmund have won 798 goals from 521 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Bayern München must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' FC Bayern München are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Waldemar Anton, as he is very good at scoring at Allianz Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' FC Bayern München currently sit 1 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' Borussia Dortmund is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 40' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincent Kompany might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 45' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 48' Borussia Dortmund is taking the lead after the goal scored by Maximilian Beier on 48.
  • 53' FC Bayern München started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 53.
  • 54' The supporters are chanting for Raphael Guerreiro. He replaces Min-Jae Kim on 54 minute.
  • 59' FC Bayern München are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
  • 63' The whistle greets Leon Goretzka as he departs to be replaced by Aleksandar Pavlovic.
  • 65' A stunning finish from Raphael Guerreiro — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 69' Assisted by Josip Stanisic with the perfectly-timed delivery and Serge Gnabry makes no mistake. 0-3!
  • 70' Time for substitution for Borussia Dortmund. Julian Brandt is replaced by Felix Kalu Nmecha.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Borussia DortmundCarney Chukwuemeka on, Salih Ozcan off on 71 minutes.
  • 75' What composure from Waldemar Anton! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-4.
  • 80' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 81' A change in the Borussia Dortmund ranks — Maximilian Beier exits the field as Karim Adeyemi enters on 81.
  • 86' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.37 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern München53% Draw22% Borussia Dortmund25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
75%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
47%
FC Bayern München or Borussia Dortmund
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern München42% Draw37% Borussia Dortmund21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 1
8.2%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 0
4.5%
3 – 0
4.5%
4 – 1
3.9%
0 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 16% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 20% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 13% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
23%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.