Wednesday , 30 September 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 13:30 UTC PreZero Arena 30,150 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 13' Phillip Tietz
Fisnik Asllani 23' 1–1
1–2 79' Phillip Tietz

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Christian Gittelmann
5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
20 Mar RB Leipzig A 0–5 L
14 Mar VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D
07 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–2 W
28 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–1 L
21 Feb 1. FC Köln A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–1 W
22 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
15 Mar SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
07 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
28 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
20 Feb Hamburger SV H 1–1 D

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1. FSV Mainz 05
#14 Position #6
3 Points 7
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
7 Scored 10
10 Conceded 6
-3 GD +4
0.75 PPG 1.75
25% Win % 50%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G
Tim Lemperle 1 G
Leon Avdullahu 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.45 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim21% Draw22% 1. FSV Mainz 0557%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
44%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
79%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim16% Draw37% 1. FSV Mainz 0547%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
8.4%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 3
7.3%
0 – 3
6.1%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 1
4.6%
1 – 4
4.5%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
3.8%
0 – 4
3.7%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 10% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 37% — 63%
+1 37% 21% 42%
+1.5 58% — 42%
+2 58% 18% 24%
+2.5 76% — 24%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.