TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Harm Osmers
- Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
- Assistant 2 Christian Gittelmann
19 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/gameStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Bayern München 34 89 2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73 3 RB Leipzig 34 65 4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62 5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61 6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59 7 SC Freiburg 34 47 8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44 9 FC Augsburg 34 43 10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40 11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39 12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38 13 Hamburger SV 34 38 14 1. FC Koln 34 32 15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32 16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29 17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26 18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 04 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L 20 Mar RB Leipzig A 0–5 L 14 Mar VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D 07 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–2 W 28 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–1 L 21 Feb 1. FC Koln A 2–2 D Date Opponent H/A Score Result 04 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–1 W 22 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W 15 Mar SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W 07 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D 28 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D 20 Feb Hamburger SV H 1–1 D Season Stats
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1. FSV Mainz 05 #5 Position #10 61 Points 40 34 Played 34 18 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14 65 Scored 44 52 Conceded 53 +13 GD -9 1.79 PPG 1.18 53% Win % 29% Key Stats
63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this seasonTSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim0-151/416-304/231-454/146-601/–61-75–/176+1/5■ Scored ■ Conceded1. FSV Mainz 050-154/116-301/131-453/146-601/261-75–/176+2/5■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim gets underway.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 7' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Dominik Kohr gets a card.
- 12' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 13' Phillip Tietz puts 1. FSV Mainz 05 on the lead.
- 18' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 18 minutes.
- 23' Goal! Fisnik Asllani scores his 20 goal in 407 matches.
- 28' The travelling 1. FSV Mainz 05 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 33' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 37' The whistle greets Dominik Kohr as he departs to be replaced by Kacper Potulski.
- 42' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is showing some good football. However, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 45' The referee shows TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player a card on 45.
- 46' The whistle greets Silvan Widmer as he departs to be replaced by Nikolas Veratschnig.
- 47' Vladimir Coufal was booked on 47.
- 52' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 57' It looks surprising TSG 1899 Hoffenheim does not make any changes. Bernardo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 61' It is a substitution in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim team. Fisnik Asllani is replaced by Andrej Kramaric on 61 minute.
- 66' Vladimir Coufal needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 71' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 75' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Sheraldo Becker is replaced by Armindo Sieb on 75 minute.
- 76' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Jae-sung Lee is replaced by Sota Kawasaki.
- 79' Phillip Tietz with the second goal in the match!
- 79' The referee shows TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player a card on 79.
- 80' It’s gonna be a card for Oliver Baumann.
- 84' Time for substitution for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Alexander Prass is replaced by Ihlas Bebou.
- 87' The TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes a substitution. Tim Lemperle departs to be replaced by Max Moerstedt.
- With this win, 1. FSV Mainz 05 is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
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Lineups
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 13
- 18
- 1
- 6
- 5
- 34
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19
Tim Lemperle ↓ Max Moerstedt 87'
- 21
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22
Alexander Prass ↓ Ihlas Bebou 84'
- 11
- 29
Bench
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9
Ihlas Bebou ↑ 84'
- 25
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27
Andrej Kramaric ↑ 61'
- 37
- 10
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7
Leon Avdullahu ↑ 61'
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33
Max Moerstedt ↑ 87'
- 2
- 20
Coach Christian Ilzer1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
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23
Sheraldo Becker ↓ Armindo Sieb 75'
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31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Kacper Potulski 37'
- 2
- 4
- 21
- 33
- 30
- 20
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8
Paul Nebel ↓ Lennart Maloney 87'
- 6
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7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Sota Kawasaki 76'
Bench
- 5
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15
Lennart Maloney ↑ 87'
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11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 75'
- 1
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24
Sota Kawasaki ↑ 76'
- 44
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22
Nikolas Veratschnig ↑ 46'
- 14
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48
Kacper Potulski ↑ 37'
Coach Urs Fischer -
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Andrej Kramaric 5 Jean-Paul Boetius 4 Jonathan Burkardt 4 Pavel Kaderabek 3 Ihlas Bebou 3 Phillip Tietz 2 Moussa Niakhate 2 Pierre Kunde 2 Head to Head
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2026-04-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-03-20 RB Leipzig 5–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2026-03-14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg D 2026-03-07 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2–4 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2026-02-28 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-02-21 1. FC Koln 2–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2026-04-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-03-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2026-03-15 SV Werder Bremen 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-03-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfB Stuttgart D 2026-02-28 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D -
Predictions
Prediction accuracy4 / 41.49 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.46 1. FSV Mainz 05 xGI would bet for: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05 73% + Both teams to score 60%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.95Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 93% 7% ± 1.5 79% 21% ± 2.5 56% 44% ± 3.5 34% 66% ± 4.5 18% 82% Double Chance
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw 63%Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05 65%TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05 73%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 12.3%2 – 1 8.2%1 – 2 Actual0 – 0 7%1 – 0 6.9%0 – 1 6.8%2 – 2 6%2 – 0 5.7%0 – 2 5.5%3 – 1 4.1%1 – 3 3.9%3 – 2 3%Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers -2.5 7% — 93% -2 7% 11% 82% -1.5 18% — 82% -1 18% 19% 63% -0.5 37% — 63% +0.5 64% — 36% +1 64% 18% 17% +1.5 83% — 17% +2 83% 11% 7% +2.5 93% — 7% Clean Sheet
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet 24% ✓1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet 23% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.