Saturday , 14 November 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 13:30 UTC PreZero Arena 30,150 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 13' Phillip Tietz
Fisnik Asllani 23' 1–1
1–2 79' Phillip Tietz

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Christian Gittelmann
10 games this season 🟨 3.9/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
20 Mar RB Leipzig A 0–5 L
14 Mar VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D
07 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–2 W
28 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–1 L
21 Feb 1. FC Köln A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–1 W
22 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
15 Mar SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
07 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
28 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
20 Feb Hamburger SV H 1–1 D

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1. FSV Mainz 05
#9 Position #12
12 Points 10
9 Played 9
4 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 5
16 Scored 18
17 Conceded 19
-1 GD -1
1.33 PPG 1.11
44% Win % 33%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th (12 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
2/4
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Bambase Conte 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G 1 A
Tim Lemperle 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.67 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05 75% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim33% Draw25% 1. FSV Mainz 0542%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
58%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
67%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim27% Draw40% 1. FSV Mainz 0533%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
4.7%
2 – 3
4.3%
0 – 0
4.1%
1 – 0
4%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 0
3.9%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 16% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 19% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 13% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.