Thursday , 2 July 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Sunderland AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Mon 3 Feb 2025 · 20:00 UTC Riverside Stadium 29,161 HT 45' · FT 45'
Delano Burgzorg 11' 1–0
1–1 33' Dan Neil
1–2 51' Wilson Isidor
Hayden Hackney 59' 2–2
2–3 87' Ryan John Giles og

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Sunderland AFCChampionship at Riverside Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)
  • Assistant 1 Blake Antrobus (England)
  • Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Sunderland AFC H 2–3 L
25 Jan Preston North End FC A 1–2 L
21 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–0 W
18 Jan Portsmouth FC A 1–2 L
11 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
04 Jan Cardiff City FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Middlesbrough FC A 3–2 W
25 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–2 D
21 Jan Derby County FC A 1–0 W
17 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
11 Jan Stoke City FC H 1–2 L
05 Jan Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.29 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Sunderland AFC xG
I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC or Sunderland AFC 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC34% Draw29% Sunderland AFC37%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Sunderland AFC
66%
Middlesbrough FC or Sunderland AFC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC26% Draw48% Sunderland AFC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
8.7%
1 – 0
8.7%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Sunderland AFC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
28%
Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.