Middlesbrough FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Stephen Martin (England)
- Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
- Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sep | Preston North End FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | Cardiff City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | Portsmouth FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Aug | Derby County FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | Hull City AFC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | Oxford United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | Watford FC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #17 |
| 80 | Points | 55 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 22 / 14 / 10 | W / D / L | 15 / 10 / 21 |
| 72 | Scored | 51 |
| 47 | Conceded | 56 |
| +25 | GD | -5 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 48% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Middlesbrough FC welcome Stoke City FC for this crunch clash at Riverside Stadium.
- 5' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 11' A moment of madness from Wouter Burger on 11 minutes earns him a card. Stoke City FC will be frustrated.
- 16' A quiet spell here at Riverside Stadium. Stoke City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 21' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 26' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Middlesbrough FC that had 383 games and scored 467 goals.
- 27' Million Manhoef is having his name booked by the referee on 27.
- 32' The travelling Stoke City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 34' What a strike from Ben Doak! The score is 1-0.
- 39' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ben Wilmot on 39.
- 42' Thomas Cannon has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 42.
- 43' George Edmundson was booked on 43.
- 45' It’s a booking for Middlesbrough FC player. Hayden Hackney gets a card.
- 46' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Thomas Cannon by Andrew Moran on 46 minute.
- 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 55' The crowd applauds Million Manhoef as he leaves the pitch. Sam Gallagher steps in for Stoke City FC.
- 56' Ben Doak is having his name booked by the referee on 56.
- 59' A meaty challenge results in booking for Junior Tchamadeu on 59.
- 63' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Junior Tchamadeu departs to be replaced by Michael Rose.
- 66' The referee shows Middlesbrough FC player a card on 66.
- 69' Sam Gallagher was booked on 69.
- 70' Another change for Middlesbrough FC made on 70 minute. Anfernee Dijksteel leaves to be changed by Rav van den Berg.
- 73' A stunning finish from Hayden Hackney — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 75' Micah Hamilton gets the nod from Middlesbrough FC. He replaces Riley McGree and will look to change the dynamic.
- 79' A change in the Stoke City FC ranks — Lewis Koumas exits the field as Andre Vidigal enters on 79.
- 82' Michael Rose is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
- 84' Another change for Middlesbrough FC made on 84 minute. Hayden Hackney leaves to be changed by Daniel Barlaser.
- 89' Stoke City FC come into this ranked 18 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- The final score is 2-0.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 12
- 15
- 25
- 1
- 9
-
8
Riley McGree ↓ Micah Hamilton 75'
- 30
- 7
- 18
- 20
-
50
Ben Doak ↓ Isaiah Jones 70'
Bench
-
4
Daniel Barlaser ↑ 84'
-
10
Delano Burgzorg ↑ 75'
-
11
Isaiah Jones ↑ 70'
- 31
-
3
Rav van den Berg ↑ 70'
- 41
-
17
Micah Hamilton ↑ 75'
- 49
- 37
Coach
Michael Carrick
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 16
- 23
- 15
-
6
Wouter Burger ↓ Sol Sidibe 63'
- 17
- 1
-
42
Million Manhoef ↓ Sam Gallagher 55'
-
22
Junior Tchamadeu ↓ Michael Rose 63'
-
9
Thomas Cannon ↓ Andrew Moran 46'
- 10
-
11
Lewis Koumas ↓ Andre Vidigal 79'
Bench
-
20
Sam Gallagher ↑ 55'
- 3
- 13
-
7
Andre Vidigal ↑ 79'
-
5
Michael Rose ↑ 63'
- 12
- 37
-
24
Andrew Moran ↑ 46'
-
30
Sol Sidibe ↑ 63'
Coach
Chicho Pelach
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Matty Crooks | 2 |
| Joon-ho Bae | 2 |
| Ashley Fletcher | 2 |
| Marcus Forss | 1 |
| Sam Clucas | 1 |
| Jacob Brown | 1 |
| Finn Azaz | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Stoke City FC
48%
Middlesbrough FC or Stoke City FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.9%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
11.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 16% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 24% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

