Thursday , 2 July 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 28 Sep 2024 · 14:00 UTC Riverside Stadium 24,610 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ben Doak 34' 1–0
Hayden Hackney 73' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Stoke City FCChampionship at Riverside Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)
  • Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
  • Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
21 Sep Sunderland AFC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Preston North End FC H 1–1 D
31 Aug Cardiff City FC A 2–0 W
24 Aug Portsmouth FC H 2–2 D
17 Aug Derby County FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Middlesbrough FC A 0–2 L
20 Sep Hull City AFC H 1–3 L
14 Sep Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
31 Aug Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–0 W
24 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–2 L
17 Aug Watford FC A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Stoke City FC
#5 Position #17
80 Points 55
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 15 / 10 / 21
72 Scored 51
47 Conceded 56
+25 GD -5
1.74 PPG 1.20
48% Win % 33%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC52% Draw27% Stoke City FC21%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Stoke City FC
48%
Middlesbrough FC or Stoke City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC36% Draw49% Stoke City FC15%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.9%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
11.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
43%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.