Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Joon-ho Bae 40' 1–0
Lewis Baker 71' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FCChampionship at Bet365 Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee John Busby
  • Assistant 1 Richard Wild
  • Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 2–0 W
24 Feb Cardiff City FC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Coventry City FC H 0–1 L
14 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–0 W
10 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–3 L
03 Feb Leicester City FC H 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Stoke City FC A 0–2 L
24 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–2 L
17 Feb Leicester City FC A 2–1 W
14 Feb Preston North End FC A 1–2 L
10 Feb Bristol City FC H 1–2 L
04 Feb Sunderland AFC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Stoke City FC Middlesbrough FC
#17 Position #5
55 Points 80
46 Played 46
15 / 10 / 21 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
51 Scored 72
56 Conceded 47
-5 GD +25
1.20 PPG 1.74
33% Win % 48%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Stoke City FC launch into their encounter with Middlesbrough FC.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Bet365 Stadium. Stoke City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 25' Ireland international Finn Azaz has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 40' Joon-ho Bae puts Stoke City FC on the lead.
  • 45' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
  • 46' Stoke City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 46.
  • 51' The referee calls foul for Emmanuel Latte Lath. He receives a card.
  • 56' Middlesbrough FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 61' Sam Greenwood is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Middlesbrough FC tonight.
  • 62' The referee has no hesitation. Niall Ennis is booked for Stoke City FC — card on 62.
  • 64' Lukas Engel gets the nod from Middlesbrough FC. He replaces Luke Thomas and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 69' Lynden Gooch has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 71' Brilliant from the ! Lewis Baker makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 71.
  • 72' The Middlesbrough FC manager makes a substitution. Luke Ayling departs to be replaced by Anfernee Dijksteel.
  • 76' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Million Manhoef departs to be replaced by Mehdi Leris.
  • 81' Stoke City FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Middlesbrough FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 82' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tyrese Campbell is hanging Niall Ennis on the field on 82 minute.
  • 83' Middlesbrough FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sam Silvera is hanging Riley McGree on the field on 83 minute.
  • 88' The 29-year-old Matt Clarke has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 89' A tactical swap from Stoke City FCBen Pearson on, Wouter Burger off on 89 minutes.
  • With this win, Stoke City FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.24 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Middlesbrough FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC41% Draw28% Middlesbrough FC31%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
59%
Stoke City FC or Middlesbrough FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC25% Draw49% Middlesbrough FC26%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
9.1%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3.2%
0 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.