Thursday , 2 July 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Riverside HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 8' Michael Rose
0–2 37' Mehdi Leris

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Stoke City FCChampionship at Riverside.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 James Wilson
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct Stoke City FC H 0–2 L
24 Oct Norwich City FC A 2–1 W
21 Oct Birmingham City FC H 1–0 W
07 Oct Sunderland AFC A 4–0 W
03 Oct Cardiff City FC H 2–0 W
30 Sep Watford FC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct Middlesbrough FC A 2–0 W
25 Oct Leeds United FC H 1–0 W
21 Oct Sunderland AFC H 2–1 W
07 Oct Leicester City FC A 0–2 L
03 Oct Southampton FC H 0–1 L
30 Sep Bristol City FC A 3–2 W

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Stoke City FC
#5 Position #17
80 Points 55
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 15 / 10 / 21
72 Scored 51
47 Conceded 56
+25 GD -5
1.74 PPG 1.20
48% Win % 33%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.38 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC43% Draw29% Stoke City FC28%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Stoke City FC
57%
Middlesbrough FC or Stoke City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC30% Draw49% Stoke City FC21%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
11%
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.