Bristol City FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bristol City FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Ashton Gate.
- Bristol City FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Nield
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
6 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 4.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Feb | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Feb | Swansea City AFC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Feb | Oxford United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jan | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | Bristol City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | Watford FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Feb | Sheffield United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Feb | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Jan | Preston North End FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Bristol City FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #2 |
| 18 | Points | 29 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 3 / 7 | W / D / L | 8 / 5 / 2 |
| 16 | Scored | 30 |
| 24 | Conceded | 19 |
| -8 | GD | +11 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.93 |
| 33% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season
Bristol City FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
Bristol City FC are 17th (18 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Bristol City FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/3
46-60
1/7
61-75
1/2
76+
7/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Bristol City FC
| Scott Twine | 5 G | |
| Dominic Ballard | 4 G | |
| Lorent Tolaj | 2 G | 1 A |
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 13 G | |
| Amario Cozier-Duberry | 3 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Bristol City FC get us underway at Ashton Gate.
- 5' Bristol City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Morgan Whittaker, a England forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Scott Twine is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Middlesbrough FC.
- 20' A quiet spell here at Ashton Gate. Middlesbrough FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nahki Wells made 393 appearances and scored 80 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Bristol City FC in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past Middlesbrough FC's compact 4-4-2.
- 37' Brilliant from the forward! Tommy Conway makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 37.
- 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Carrick will be considering his options from the bench.
- 47' Middlesbrough FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 52' It looks like no one’s ball. Bristol City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 57' The referee has no hesitation. Anfernee Dijksteel is booked for Middlesbrough FC — card on 57.
- 62' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 63' The crowd applauds Anis Mehmeti as he leaves the pitch. George Earthy steps in for Bristol City FC.
- 68' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 69' The Bristol City FC bench stirs into life. Sinclair Armstrong is withdrawn and Nahki Wells gets his opportunity.
- 72' GOAL! George Earthy fires home to make it 1-1!
- 77' Both keepers have barely been tested. Bristol City FC and Middlesbrough FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 78' The referee has no hesitation. Hayden Hackney is booked for Middlesbrough FC — card on 78.
- 82' What a strike from George Earthy! The score is 2-1.
- 83' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. Kelechi Iheanacho is replaced by Finn Azaz on 83 minute.
- 88' Marcus Forss is replacing Morgan Whittaker for the Middlesbrough FC side.
- 90' The whistle greets Scott Twine as he departs to be replaced by Joe Williams.
- Bristol City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Bristol City FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 6
- 14
- 16
-
10
Scott Twine ↓ Joe Williams 90'
-
17
Mark Sykes ↓ Yu Hirakawa 63'
- 12
- 19
-
24
Haydon Roberts ↓ Cameron Pring 63'
-
11
Anis Mehmeti ↓ George Earthy 63'
- 1
- 30
Bench
-
3
Cameron Pring ↑ 63'
-
21
Nahki Wells ↑ 69'
-
8
Joe Williams ↑ 90'
- 27
- 29
- 23
- 20
-
40
George Earthy ↑ 63'
-
7
Yu Hirakawa ↑ 63'
Coach
Liam Manning
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
9
Kelechi Iheanacho ↓ Finn Azaz 83'
- 32
- 6
- 15
- 10
- 30
-
11
Morgan Whittaker ↓ Marcus Forss 88'
- 7
- 18
- 3
- 22
Bench
-
21
Marcus Forss ↑ 88'
- 12
- 25
- 4
- 23
-
20
Finn Azaz ↑ 83'
- 29
- 49
- 99
Coach
Michael Carrick
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nahki Wells | 3 |
| Britt Assombalonga | 3 |
| Matty Crooks | 3 |
| George Earthy | 2 |
| Aaron Ramsey | 2 |
| Famara Diedhiou | 2 |
| Andreas Weimann | 2 |
| Harry Cornick | 1 |
Head to Head
Bristol City FC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
2025-02-21
Bristol City FC
2–1
Middlesbrough FC
L
2025-02-15
Middlesbrough FC
0–1
Watford FC
L
2025-02-12
Sheffield United FC
3–1
Middlesbrough FC
L
2025-02-03
Middlesbrough FC
2–3
Sunderland AFC
L
2025-01-25
Preston North End FC
2–1
Middlesbrough FC
L
2025-01-21
Middlesbrough FC
2–0
West Bromwich Albion FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.59
Bristol City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bristol City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Bristol City FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
53%
Bristol City FC or Middlesbrough FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.1%
0 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
5.4%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC
| Handicap | Bristol City FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 18% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

