Bristol City FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bristol City FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Ashton Gate.
- Bristol City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Nield
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
4 games this season
🟨 1.5/game
⚽ 2.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Feb | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Feb | Swansea City AFC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Feb | Oxford United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jan | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | Bristol City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | Watford FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Feb | Sheffield United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Feb | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Jan | Preston North End FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Bristol City FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #3 |
| 13 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 1 |
| 11 | Scored | 16 |
| 12 | Conceded | 12 |
| -1 | GD | +4 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 50% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season
Bristol City FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
Bristol City FC are 8th (13 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Bristol City FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Bristol City FC
| Dominic Ballard | 3 G | |
| Lorent Tolaj | 2 G | 1 A |
| Scott Twine | 2 G |
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Bristol City FC is hosting Middlesbrough FC for another epic battle.
- 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nahki Wells suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Aidan Morris has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 292 appearances.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sinclair Armstrong, as he is very good at scoring at Ashton Gate with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
- 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Liam Manning might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 35' Bristol City FC is showing some good football. However, Bristol City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 37' Middlesbrough FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Tommy Conway on 37.
- 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 47' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Middlesbrough FC that had 388 games and scored 475 goals.
- 52' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 57' A moment of madness from Anfernee Dijksteel on 57 minutes earns him a card. Middlesbrough FC will be frustrated.
- 62' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 63' Another change for Bristol City FC made on 63 minute. Anis Mehmeti leaves to be changed by George Earthy.
- 68' Over 68 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 69' Nahki Wells is replacing Sinclair Armstrong for the Bristol City FC side.
- 72' A stunning finish from George Earthy — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 77' It is a cagey affair so far. Bristol City FC in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past Middlesbrough FC's compact 4-4-2.
- 78' Hayden Hackney has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
- 82' George Earthy with the second goal in the match!
- 83' The crowd applauds Kelechi Iheanacho as he leaves the pitch. Finn Azaz steps in for Middlesbrough FC.
- 88' Marcus Forss is replacing Morgan Whittaker for the Middlesbrough FC side.
- 90' Fresh legs for Bristol City FC! Joe Williams comes on to replace Scott Twine.
- Bristol City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Bristol City FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 6
- 14
- 16
-
10
Scott Twine ↓ Joe Williams 90'
-
17
Mark Sykes ↓ Yu Hirakawa 63'
- 12
- 19
-
24
Haydon Roberts ↓ Cameron Pring 63'
-
11
Anis Mehmeti ↓ George Earthy 63'
- 1
- 30
Bench
-
3
Cameron Pring ↑ 63'
-
21
Nahki Wells ↑ 69'
-
8
Joe Williams ↑ 90'
- 27
- 29
- 23
- 20
-
40
George Earthy ↑ 63'
-
7
Yu Hirakawa ↑ 63'
Coach
Liam Manning
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
9
Kelechi Iheanacho ↓ Finn Azaz 83'
- 32
- 6
- 15
- 10
- 30
-
11
Morgan Whittaker ↓ Marcus Forss 88'
- 7
- 18
- 3
- 22
Bench
-
21
Marcus Forss ↑ 88'
- 12
- 25
- 4
- 23
-
20
Finn Azaz ↑ 83'
- 29
- 49
- 99
Coach
Michael Carrick
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nahki Wells | 3 |
| Britt Assombalonga | 3 |
| Matty Crooks | 3 |
| George Earthy | 2 |
| Aaron Ramsey | 2 |
| Famara Diedhiou | 2 |
| Andreas Weimann | 2 |
| Jason Knight | 1 |
Head to Head
Bristol City FC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
2025-02-21
Bristol City FC
2–1
Middlesbrough FC
L
2025-02-15
Middlesbrough FC
0–1
Watford FC
L
2025-02-12
Sheffield United FC
3–1
Middlesbrough FC
L
2025-02-03
Middlesbrough FC
2–3
Sunderland AFC
L
2025-01-25
Preston North End FC
2–1
Middlesbrough FC
L
2025-01-21
Middlesbrough FC
2–0
West Bromwich Albion FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.88
Bristol City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bristol City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Bristol City FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
48%
Bristol City FC or Middlesbrough FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC
| Handicap | Bristol City FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 20% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

