Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Bristol City FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Fri 21 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Ashton Gate 21,894 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 37' Tommy Conway
George Earthy 72' 1–1
George Earthy 82' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol City FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Ashton Gate.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
4 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 2.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Middlesbrough FC H 2–1 W
15 Feb Cardiff City FC A 1–1 D
12 Feb Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
09 Feb Swansea City AFC H 0–1 L
01 Feb Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
25 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
15 Feb Watford FC H 0–1 L
12 Feb Sheffield United FC A 1–3 L
03 Feb Sunderland AFC H 2–3 L
25 Jan Preston North End FC A 1–2 L
21 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Bristol City FC Middlesbrough FC
#8 Position #3
13 Points 15
8 Played 8
4 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 3 / 1
11 Scored 16
12 Conceded 12
-1 GD +4
1.63 PPG 1.88
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Bristol City FC are 8th (13 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bristol City FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bristol City FC
Dominic Ballard 3 G
Lorent Tolaj 2 G 1 A
Scott Twine 2 G
Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 6 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Bristol City FC is hosting Middlesbrough FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nahki Wells suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' Aidan Morris has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 292 appearances.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sinclair Armstrong, as he is very good at scoring at Ashton Gate with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Liam Manning might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 35' Bristol City FC is showing some good football. However, Bristol City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 37' Middlesbrough FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Tommy Conway on 37.
  • 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 47' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Middlesbrough FC that had 388 games and scored 475 goals.
  • 52' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 57' A moment of madness from Anfernee Dijksteel on 57 minutes earns him a card. Middlesbrough FC will be frustrated.
  • 62' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 63' Another change for Bristol City FC made on 63 minute. Anis Mehmeti leaves to be changed by George Earthy.
  • 68' Over 68 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 69' Nahki Wells is replacing Sinclair Armstrong for the Bristol City FC side.
  • 72' A stunning finish from George Earthy — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 77' It is a cagey affair so far. Bristol City FC in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past Middlesbrough FC's compact 4-4-2.
  • 78' Hayden Hackney has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
  • 82' George Earthy with the second goal in the match!
  • 83' The crowd applauds Kelechi Iheanacho as he leaves the pitch. Finn Azaz steps in for Middlesbrough FC.
  • 88' Marcus Forss is replacing Morgan Whittaker for the Middlesbrough FC side.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Bristol City FC! Joe Williams comes on to replace Scott Twine.
  • Bristol City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.88 Bristol City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bristol City FC52% Draw23% Middlesbrough FC25%
Actual: Bristol City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Bristol City FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
48%
Bristol City FC or Middlesbrough FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bristol City FC34% Draw41% Middlesbrough FC25%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC

Handicap Bristol City FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 20% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.