Saturday , 14 November 2026

Bristol City FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Fri 21 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Ashton Gate 21,894 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 37' Tommy Conway
George Earthy 72' 1–1
George Earthy 82' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol City FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Ashton Gate.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
6 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 4.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Middlesbrough FC H 2–1 W
15 Feb Cardiff City FC A 1–1 D
12 Feb Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
09 Feb Swansea City AFC H 0–1 L
01 Feb Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
25 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
15 Feb Watford FC H 0–1 L
12 Feb Sheffield United FC A 1–3 L
03 Feb Sunderland AFC H 2–3 L
25 Jan Preston North End FC A 1–2 L
21 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Bristol City FC Middlesbrough FC
#17 Position #2
18 Points 29
15 Played 15
5 / 3 / 7 W / D / L 8 / 5 / 2
16 Scored 30
24 Conceded 19
-8 GD +11
1.20 PPG 1.93
33% Win % 53%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Bristol City FC are 17th (18 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bristol City FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/3
46-60
1/7
61-75
1/2
76+
7/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bristol City FC
Scott Twine 5 G
Dominic Ballard 4 G
Lorent Tolaj 2 G 1 A
Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 13 G
Amario Cozier-Duberry 3 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Bristol City FC get us underway at Ashton Gate.
  • 5' Bristol City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Morgan Whittaker, a England forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Scott Twine is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Middlesbrough FC.
  • 20' A quiet spell here at Ashton Gate. Middlesbrough FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nahki Wells made 393 appearances and scored 80 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Bristol City FC in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past Middlesbrough FC's compact 4-4-2.
  • 37' Brilliant from the forward! Tommy Conway makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 37.
  • 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Carrick will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 47' Middlesbrough FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 52' It looks like no one’s ball. Bristol City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 57' The referee has no hesitation. Anfernee Dijksteel is booked for Middlesbrough FC — card on 57.
  • 62' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 63' The crowd applauds Anis Mehmeti as he leaves the pitch. George Earthy steps in for Bristol City FC.
  • 68' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 69' The Bristol City FC bench stirs into life. Sinclair Armstrong is withdrawn and Nahki Wells gets his opportunity.
  • 72' GOAL! George Earthy fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 77' Both keepers have barely been tested. Bristol City FC and Middlesbrough FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 78' The referee has no hesitation. Hayden Hackney is booked for Middlesbrough FC — card on 78.
  • 82' What a strike from George Earthy! The score is 2-1.
  • 83' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. Kelechi Iheanacho is replaced by Finn Azaz on 83 minute.
  • 88' Marcus Forss is replacing Morgan Whittaker for the Middlesbrough FC side.
  • 90' The whistle greets Scott Twine as he departs to be replaced by Joe Williams.
  • Bristol City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.59 Bristol City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bristol City FC47% Draw24% Middlesbrough FC29%
Actual: Bristol City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Bristol City FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
53%
Bristol City FC or Middlesbrough FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bristol City FC29% Draw43% Middlesbrough FC28%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.1%
0 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
5.4%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC

Handicap Bristol City FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 18% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.