Bristol City FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2024-25

Bristol City FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Middlesbrough FC

Fri 21 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Ashton Gate 21,894 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 37' Tommy Conway

George Earthy 72' 1–1

George Earthy 82' 2–1

Y 57' Anfernee Dijksteel

Y 78' Hayden Hackney

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol City FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Ashton Gate.

Bristol City FC 46 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Tom Nield
Assistant 1
Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Bristol City FC 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals Middlesbrough FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-02-21 Bristol City FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC 2024-10-19 Middlesbrough FC 0–2 Bristol City FC 2024-02-10 Middlesbrough FC 1–2 Bristol City FC 2023-11-25 Bristol City FC 3–2 Middlesbrough FC 2023-04-10 Bristol City FC 2–2 Middlesbrough FC

Recent Form

Bristol City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	Middlesbrough FC	H	2–1	W
15 Feb	Cardiff City FC	A	1–1	D
12 Feb	Stoke City FC	H	2–0	W
09 Feb	Swansea City AFC	H	0–1	L
01 Feb	Oxford United FC	A	1–1	D
25 Jan	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	2–1	W

Middlesbrough FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	Bristol City FC	A	1–2	L
15 Feb	Watford FC	H	0–1	L
12 Feb	Sheffield United FC	A	1–3	L
03 Feb	Sunderland AFC	H	2–3	L
25 Jan	Preston North End FC	A	1–2	L
21 Jan	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Bristol City FC		Middlesbrough FC
#12	Position	#5
62	Points	80
46	Played	46
17 / 11 / 18	W / D / L	22 / 14 / 10
59	Scored	72
59	Conceded	47
+0	GD	+25
1.35	PPG	1.74
37%	Win %	48%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Bristol City FC are 12th (62 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Ashton Gate will turn into a battlefield for Bristol City FC and Middlesbrough FC.
5' Scott Twine is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bristol City FC so far.
10' Bristol City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Middlesbrough FC backline.
15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
20' Middlesbrough FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
25' It looks surprising Middlesbrough FC does not make any changes. Max Bird has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Bristol City FC and Middlesbrough FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
37' Middlesbrough FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Tommy Conway on 37.
42' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Bristol City FC and Middlesbrough FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
47' The home supporters are growing impatient. Bristol City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
52' named a 3-4-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
57' Anfernee Dijksteel was booked on 57.
62' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dael Fry suffering a number of foals already.
63' George Earthy is replacing Anis Mehmeti for the Bristol City FC side.
68' Bristol City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 68.
69' Bristol City FC ring the changes. Sinclair Armstrong has done his job and it is now time for Nahki Wells to step up.
72' GOAL! George Earthy fires home to make it 1-1!
77' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
78' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hayden Hackney on 78.
82' George Earthy does the damage! The net is bulging and Bristol City FC surge ahead!
83' The crowd applauds Kelechi Iheanacho as he leaves the pitch. Finn Azaz steps in for Middlesbrough FC.
88' The whistle greets Morgan Whittaker as he departs to be replaced by Marcus Forss.
90' It is a substitution in Bristol City FC team. Scott Twine is replaced by Joe Williams on 90 minute.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Bristol City FC 2-1 Middlesbrough FC.

Lineups

Bristol City FC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

3
Cameron Pring ↑ 63'
21
Nahki Wells ↑ 69'
8
Joe Williams ↑ 90'
27
Harry Cornick
29
Marcus McGuane
23
Stefan Bajic
20
Sam Bell
40
George Earthy ↑ 63'
7
Yu Hirakawa ↑ 63'

Coach Liam Manning

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Carrick

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nahki Wells	3
Britt Assombalonga	3
Matty Crooks	3
Andreas Weimann	2
George Earthy	2
Aaron Ramsey	2
Famara Diedhiou	2
Matt Crooks	1

Head to Head

Bristol City FC Form

2025-02-21 Bristol City FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC W 2025-02-15 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Bristol City FC D 2025-02-12 Bristol City FC 2–0 Stoke City FC W 2025-02-09 Bristol City FC 0–1 Swansea City AFC L 2025-02-01 Oxford United FC 1–1 Bristol City FC D 2025-01-25 Bristol City FC 2–1 Blackburn Rovers FC W

Middlesbrough FC Form

2025-02-21 Bristol City FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-02-15 Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Watford FC L 2025-02-12 Sheffield United FC 3–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-02-03 Middlesbrough FC 2–3 Sunderland AFC L 2025-01-25 Preston North End FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-01-21 Middlesbrough FC 2–0 West Bromwich Albion FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.64 Bristol City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.26 Middlesbrough FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Bristol City FC52% Draw24% Middlesbrough FC24%

Actual: Bristol City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.9

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Bristol City FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Middlesbrough FC

48%

Bristol City FC or Middlesbrough FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Bristol City FC33% Draw45% Middlesbrough FC22%

Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

8.2%

0 – 0

7.3%

2 – 0

7.3%

1 – 2

6.9%

0 – 1

2 – 2

5.7%

3 – 1

4.9%

0 – 2

4.3%

3 – 0

3.9%

3 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC

Handicap	Bristol City FC covers	Push	Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	21%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	16%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.