Hull City AFC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hull City AFC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at The MKM Stadium.
- Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Will Finnie
- Assistant 1 James Wilson
- Assistant 2 Andrew Fox
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | Stoke City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Jan | Sheffield United FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 21 Jan | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Jan | Millwall FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jan | Doncaster Rovers FC | H | 4–5 | L |
| 04 Jan | Leeds United FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | Hull City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jan | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Jan | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Jan | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Hull City AFC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #17 |
| 73 | Points | 55 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 21 / 10 / 15 | W / D / L | 15 / 10 / 21 |
| 70 | Scored | 51 |
| 66 | Conceded | 56 |
| +4 | GD | -5 |
| 1.59 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 46% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Hull City AFC are 6th (73 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Hull City AFC vs Stoke City FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 6' A goal from the Belgium international Eliot Matazo! He fires home on 6 to make it 1-0!
- 11' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 16' Joon-ho Bae, a South Korea , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 21' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stoke City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 26' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matty Jacob, as he is very good at scoring at The MKM Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 30' A change in the Stoke City FC ranks — Lynden Gooch exits the field as Junior Tchamadeu enters on 30.
- 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Abu Kamara made 368 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 40' Stoke City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 43' A stunning finish from Ali Al-Hamadi — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 48' Stoke City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 53' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mark Robins will be considering his options from the bench.
- 56' Time for substitution for Hull City AFC. Abu Kamara is replaced by Louie Barry.
- 60' Matty Jacob catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 60.
- 60' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lewis Koumas is hanging Josh Wilson-Esbrand on the field on 60 minute.
- 65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 70' Viktor Johansson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 71' Matt Crooks is replacing Eliot Matazo for the Hull City AFC side.
- 74' Andrew Moran has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 74 minutes.
- 79' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 83' The Hull City AFC bench stirs into life. Joe Gelhardt is withdrawn and Nordin Amrabat gets his opportunity.
- 84' The crowd applauds Wouter Burger as he leaves the pitch. Emre Tezgel steps in for Stoke City FC.
- 89' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 90' Enda Stevens is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Stoke City FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Hull City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
30
Joe Gelhardt ↓ Nordin Amrabat 83'
- 27
- 19
-
12
Joao Pedro Galvao ↓ Kyle Joseph 56'
- 5
- 6
- 1
-
36
Eliot Matazo ↓ Matt Crooks 71'
-
23
Cody Drameh ↓ Rocco Coyle 56'
- 29
-
44
Abu Kamara ↓ Louie Barry 56'
Bench
- 26
-
–
Louie Barry ↑ 56'
-
28
Kyle Joseph ↑ 56'
- 48
- 32
- 20
-
24
Matt Crooks ↑ 71'
-
37
Nordin Amrabat ↑ 83'
-
42
Rocco Coyle ↑ 56'
Coach
Ruben Selles
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
2
Lynden Gooch ↓ Junior Tchamadeu 30'
- 3
-
6
Wouter Burger ↓ Emre Tezgel 84'
- 5
- 12
- 1
- 33
-
9
Ali Al-Hamadi ↓ Andrew Moran 60'
- 26
- 35
- 10
Bench
- 23
- 13
- 7
-
22
Junior Tchamadeu ↑ 30'
-
37
Emre Tezgel ↑ 84'
-
24
Andrew Moran ↑ 60'
- 18
-
11
Lewis Koumas ↑ 60'
- 50
Coach
Mark Robins
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jarrod Bowen | 3 |
| Nick Powell | 3 |
| Lewis Baker | 2 |
| Regan Slater | 2 |
| Sam Clucas | 2 |
| Jacob Brown | 2 |
| Ben Wilmot | 2 |
| Eliot Matazo | 1 |
Head to Head
Hull City AFC Form
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65
Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Hull City AFC or Stoke City FC 73% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Stoke City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Hull City AFC or Draw
66%
Draw or Stoke City FC
61%
Hull City AFC or Stoke City FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
0 – 1
5.6%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC
| Handicap | Hull City AFC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 19% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 17% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

