Hull City AFC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hull City AFC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at The MKM Stadium.
- Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Will Finnie
- Assistant 1 James Wilson
- Assistant 2 Andrew Fox
5 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 12.4 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | Stoke City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Jan | Sheffield United FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 21 Jan | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Jan | Millwall FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jan | Doncaster Rovers FC | H | 4–5 | L |
| 04 Jan | Leeds United FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | Hull City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jan | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Jan | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Jan | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Stoke City FC
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 1 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Hull City AFC host Stoke City FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' The 30-year-old Michael Rose has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 6' A goal from the Belgium international Eliot Matazo! He fires home on 6 to make it 1-0!
- 11' Over 11 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 16' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 21' England international Abu Kamara has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' The whistle greets Lynden Gooch as he departs to be replaced by Junior Tchamadeu.
- 35' Stoke City FC come into this ranked 20 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 40' Hull City AFC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 43' Ali Al-Hamadi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 43 minutes.
- 48' Hull City AFC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Stoke City FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
- 56' Hull City AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Louie Barry is hanging Abu Kamara on the field on 56 minute.
- 60' Matty Jacob catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 60.
- 60' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lewis Koumas is hanging Josh Wilson-Esbrand on the field on 60 minute.
- 65' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stoke City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 70' Stoke City FC is showing some good football. However, Stoke City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 71' A tactical swap from Hull City AFC — Matt Crooks on, Eliot Matazo off on 71 minutes.
- 74' Andrew Moran doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 79' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hull City AFC that had 382 games and scored 433 goals.
- 83' Another substitution for Hull City AFC to replace Joe Gelhardt by Nordin Amrabat on 83 minute.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Emre Tezgel. He replaces Wouter Burger on 84 minute.
- 89' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 90' That is a card for Stoke City FC. Enda Stevens will be fuming at that decision.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Stoke City FC players.
Lineups
Hull City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
30
Joe Gelhardt ↓ Nordin Amrabat 83'
- 27
- 19
-
12
Joao Pedro Galvao ↓ Kyle Joseph 56'
- 5
- 6
- 1
-
36
Eliot Matazo ↓ Matt Crooks 71'
-
23
Cody Drameh ↓ Rocco Coyle 56'
- 29
-
44
Abu Kamara ↓ Louie Barry 56'
Bench
- 26
-
–
Louie Barry ↑ 56'
-
28
Kyle Joseph ↑ 56'
- 48
- 32
- 20
-
24
Matt Crooks ↑ 71'
-
37
Nordin Amrabat ↑ 83'
-
42
Rocco Coyle ↑ 56'
Coach
Ruben Selles
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
2
Lynden Gooch ↓ Junior Tchamadeu 30'
- 3
-
6
Wouter Burger ↓ Emre Tezgel 84'
- 5
- 12
- 1
- 33
-
9
Ali Al-Hamadi ↓ Andrew Moran 60'
- 26
- 35
- 10
Bench
- 23
- 13
- 7
-
22
Junior Tchamadeu ↑ 30'
-
37
Emre Tezgel ↑ 84'
-
24
Andrew Moran ↑ 60'
- 18
-
11
Lewis Koumas ↑ 60'
- 50
Coach
Mark Robins
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jarrod Bowen | 3 |
| Nick Powell | 3 |
| Jacob Brown | 2 |
| Ben Wilmot | 2 |
| Lewis Baker | 2 |
| Regan Slater | 2 |
| Sam Clucas | 2 |
| Leonardo Lopes | 1 |
Head to Head
Hull City AFC Form
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48
Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Hull City AFC or Stoke City FC 72% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Stoke City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Hull City AFC or Draw
65%
Draw or Stoke City FC
63%
Hull City AFC or Stoke City FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
7.1%
1 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
0 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC
| Handicap | Hull City AFC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

