AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio — Serie A at San Siro.
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- Cagliari Calcio 38 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Guida
- Referee Marco Serra
- Referee Alessandro Lo Cicero
- Referee Rodolfo Di Vuolo
- Referee Luca Massimi
- Referee Andrea Zingarelli
13 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 3.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug | Cagliari Calcio | H | 4–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | UC Sampdoria | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 May | Atalanta BC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 May | Cagliari Calcio | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 May | Torino FC | A | 7–0 | W |
| 09 May | Juventus FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug | AC Milan | A | 1–4 | L |
| 23 Aug | Spezia Calcio | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 May | Genoa CFC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 May | AC Milan | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 May | ACF Fiorentina | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 May | Benevento Calcio | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | Cagliari Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #14 |
| 70 | Points | 43 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 10 / 17 |
| 53 | Scored | 40 |
| 35 | Conceded | 53 |
| +18 | GD | -13 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.13 |
| 53% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' AC Milan have kicked off against Cagliari Calcio. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Dalbert Henrique on 5 minutes.
- 6' A moment of madness from Dalbert Henrique on 6 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Cagliari Calcio will be frustrated.
- 11' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 12' Sandro Tonali does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
- 15' What composure from Alessandro Deiola! The Italy international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 17' Against the run of play, Brahim Diaz has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 22' Nahitan Nandez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 24' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Olivier Giroud makes it 3-1.
- 29' It looks like no one’s ball. Cagliari Calcio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 34' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their trying to find a way past Cagliari Calcio's compact .
- 38' That is a Yellow card for Cagliari Calcio. Alessandro Deiola will be fuming at that decision.
- 41' The referee calls foul for Kevin Strootman. He receives a Yellow card.
- 43' Olivier Giroud is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 48' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 48 minutes.
- 53' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Babis Lykogiannis has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 58' Diego Godin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 523 appearances.
- 62' Diego Godin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 62.
- 64' The crowd applauds Luca Ceppitelli as he leaves the pitch. Gabriele Zappa steps in for Cagliari Calcio.
- 68' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Rafael Leao is withdrawn and Ante Rebic gets his opportunity.
- 73' Poor challenge from Brahim Diaz. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 75' Another change for Cagliari Calcio made on 75 minute. Dalbert Henrique leaves to be changed by Babis Lykogiannis.
- 80' The 36-year-old Kevin Strootman has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 84' Cagliari Calcio receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 84.
- 85' Daniel Maldini has so much to prove this time. He replaces Brahim Diaz on 85 minute.
- 90' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Samu Castillejo on, Olivier Giroud off on 90 minutes.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. AC Milan take all three points.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
10
Brahim Diaz ↓ Daniel Maldini 85'
- 23
- 16
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Ante Rebic 68'
- 19
- 24
- 2
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↓ Ismael Bennacer 68'
- 33
- 56
Bench
- 5
- 1
-
12
Ante Rebic ↑ 68'
-
25
Alessandro Florenzi ↑ 68'
- 13
-
7
Samu Castillejo ↑ 90'
- 77
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↑ 68'
- 46
- 20
-
27
Daniel Maldini ↑ 85'
Coach
Stefano Pioli
Cagliari Calcio Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
-
16
Kevin Strootman ↓ Diego Farias 75'
- 2
- 23
- 10
- 30
- 29
- 14
- 18
- 8
- 44
Bench
-
20
Gaston Pereiro ↑ 85'
-
22
Babis Lykogiannis ↑ 75'
-
–
Diego Farias ↑ 75'
- 1
- 27
- 21
-
25
Gabriele Zappa ↑ 64'
- 40
-
32
Damir Ceter ↑ 85'
- 15
Coach
Leonardo Semplici
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 4 |
| Ismael Bennacer | 3 |
| Christian Pulisic | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Gabriele Zappa | 2 |
| Nadir Zortea | 2 |
| Alessandro Deiola | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7
Cagliari Calcio xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
88%
Draw or Cagliari Calcio
32%
AC Milan or Cagliari Calcio
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.1%
1 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
6.4%
4 – 0
4.7%
0 – 1
3.6%
4 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
3.2%
1 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Cagliari Calcio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 21% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| -0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
50%
✓
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

