Thursday , 2 July 2026

SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 5 Apr 2026 · 11:30 UTC Sportpark Ronhof | Thomas Sommer 12,085 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 51' Stefano Marino
0–2 86' Filip Bilbija

Overview

Match Preview

SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 vs SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga at Sportpark Ronhof | Thomas Sommer.

Match Details

  • Referee Lars Erbst
  • Assistant 1 Manuel Bergmann
  • Assistant 2 Cengiz Kabalakli (Germany)
14 games this season 🟨 0.5/game 4.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr SC Paderborn 07 H 0–2 L
20 Mar Karlsruher SC A 1–3 L
13 Mar SV 07 Elversberg H 2–0 W
08 Mar Hannover 96 A 2–1 W
28 Feb FC Schalke 04 H 1–1 D
20 Feb Arminia Bielefeld H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 A 2–0 W
21 Mar SG Dynamo Dresden H 2–1 W
14 Mar Arminia Bielefeld A 2–2 D
07 Mar Eintracht Braunschweig H 1–1 D
28 Feb 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 2–1 W
22 Feb Hertha BSC H 5–2 W

Season Stats

SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 SC Paderborn 07
#16 Position #3
37 Points 62
34 Played 34
10 / 7 / 17 W / D / L 18 / 8 / 8
49 Scored 59
68 Conceded 45
-19 GD +14
1.09 PPG 1.82
29% Win % 53%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 this season
26% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 are 16th (37 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
/3
61-75
/
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SpVgg Greuther Furth 190328% Draw26% SC Paderborn 0746%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 or Draw
54%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
72%
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 or SC Paderborn 07
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SpVgg Greuther Furth 190320% Draw43% SC Paderborn 0737%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 3
5.8%
1 – 0
4.7%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903

Handicap SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 21% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 keeps clean sheet
16%
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.