SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Sportpark Ronhof | Thomas Sommer.
- SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 34 games · 37 pts (2025/26)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Lars Erbst
- Assistant 1 Manuel Bergmann
- Assistant 2 Cengiz Kabalakli (Germany)
14 games this season
🟨 0.5/game
⚽ 4.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Mar | Karlsruher SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Mar | SV 07 Elversberg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Hannover 96 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Feb | FC Schalke 04 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Feb | Arminia Bielefeld | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | SG Dynamo Dresden | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Arminia Bielefeld | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Mar | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Feb | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | Hertha BSC | H | 5–2 | W |
Season Stats
| SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | SC Paderborn 07 | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #3 |
| 37 | Points | 62 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 7 / 17 | W / D / L | 18 / 8 / 8 |
| 49 | Scored | 59 |
| 68 | Conceded | 45 |
| -19 | GD | +14 |
| 1.09 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 29% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 this season
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 this season
26%
Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season
SC Paderborn 07 this season
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 are 16th (37 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
–/–
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Sportpark Ronhof | Thomas Sommer. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Dennis Seimen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 10' SC Paderborn 07 is showing some good football. However, SC Paderborn 07 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with SC Paderborn 07 winning 100% of all matches.
- 20' It looks like no one’s ball. SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mattes Hansen, as he is very good at scoring at Sportpark Ronhof | Thomas Sommer with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 35' SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 50' SC Paderborn 07 looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Filip Bilbija scoring 1 goals.
- 51' GOAL! Stefano Marino scores on 51. Assisted by Laurin Curda
- 56' SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
- 61' SC Paderborn 07 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 64' Another substitution for SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 to replace Jannik Dehm by Lukas Reich on 64 minute.
- 65' Another substitution for SC Paderborn 07 to replace Ruben Muller by Filip Bilbija on 65 minute.
- 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Philipp Ziereis on 67.
- 68' Mattes Hansen was booked on 68.
- 69' Time for substitution for SC Paderborn 07. Mattes Hansen is replaced by Santiago Castaneda.
- 74' It looks surprising SC Paderborn 07 does not make any changes. Tjark Scheller has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 75' SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marco John is hanging Maximilian Dietz on the field on 75 minute.
- 80' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 80 minutes.
- 81' The SC Paderborn 07 manager makes a substitution. Tjark Scheller departs to be replaced by Jonah Sticker.
- 82' Nick Batzner is replacing Stefano Marino for the SC Paderborn 07 side.
- 84' The referee calls foul for Santiago Castaneda. He receives a card.
- 86' Goal! Filip Bilbija scores his 24 goal in 169 matches.
- 87' Aiman Dardari is replacing Philipp Ziereis for the SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 side.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Filip Bilbija.
- The final score is 0-2.
Lineups
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 23
- 13
- 30
- 10
- 4
- 15
- 9
- 47
- 33
- 5
- 43
Bench
- 26
- 37
- 18
- 28
- 24
- 2
- 16
- 25
- 11
Coach
Heiko Vogel
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 20
- 23
- 26
-
30
Stefano Marino ↓ Nick Batzner 82'
- 4
- 41
- 17
- 22
- 14
-
25
Tjark Scheller ↓ Jonah Sticker 81'
-
2
Ruben Muller ↓ Filip Bilbija 65'
Bench
- 8
- 1
- 11
-
27
Steffen Tigges ↑ 64'
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↑ 65'
-
9
Nick Batzner ↑ 82'
-
5
Santiago Castaneda ↑ 69'
-
3
Jonah Sticker ↑ 81'
- 10
Coach
Ralf Kettemann
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Branimir Hrgota | 3 |
| Armindo Sieb | 2 |
| Adriano Grimaldi | 2 |
| Filip Bilbija | 1 |
| Stefano Marino | 1 |
| Tim Lemperle | 1 |
| Damian Michalski | 1 |
| Gian-Luca Itter | 1 |
Head to Head
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 Form
2026-04-05
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
0–2
SC Paderborn 07
L
2026-03-20
Karlsruher SC
3–1
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
L
2026-03-13
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
2–0
SV 07 Elversberg
W
2026-03-08
Hannover 96
1–2
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
W
2026-02-28
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
1–1
FC Schalke 04
D
2026-02-20
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
2–1
Arminia Bielefeld
W
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2026-04-05
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
0–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2026-03-21
SC Paderborn 07
2–1
SG Dynamo Dresden
W
2026-03-14
Arminia Bielefeld
2–2
SC Paderborn 07
D
2026-03-07
SC Paderborn 07
1–1
Eintracht Braunschweig
D
2026-02-28
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2026-02-22
SC Paderborn 07
5–2
Hertha BSC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 or Draw
54%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
72%
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 or SC Paderborn 07
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 3
5.8%
1 – 0
4.7%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
| Handicap | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 21% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 15% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

