SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Sportpark Ronhof | Thomas Sommer.
- SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 2 games · 1 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Lars Erbst
- Assistant 1 Manuel Bergmann
- Assistant 2 Cengiz Kabalakli (Germany)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Energie Cottbus | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Hannover 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabrück | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Mar | Karlsruher SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Mar | SV 07 Elversberg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Hannover 96 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Feb | FC Schalke 04 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Feb | Arminia Bielefeld | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | SG Dynamo Dresden | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Arminia Bielefeld | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Mar | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Feb | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | Hertha BSC | H | 5–2 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 this season
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 and SC Paderborn 07 has kicked off!
- 5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 and SC Paderborn 07 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 25' SC Paderborn 07 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 30' SC Paderborn 07 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 40' SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 45' It’s high time Ralf Kettemann made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 51' What a moment for Stefano Marino! That strike on 51 puts his side firmly in control.
- 56' Steffen Tigges needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 61' SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Paderborn 07 backline.
- 64' The supporters are chanting for Lukas Reich. He replaces Jannik Dehm on 64 minute.
- 65' The SC Paderborn 07 bench stirs into life. Ruben Muller is withdrawn and Filip Bilbija gets his opportunity.
- 67' The referee shows SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 player a card on 67.
- 68' Mattes Hansen is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
- 69' Another substitution for SC Paderborn 07 to replace Mattes Hansen by Santiago Castaneda on 69 minute.
- 74' Silas Prufrock has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 75' Fresh legs for SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903! Marco John comes on to replace Maximilian Dietz.
- 80' The travelling SC Paderborn 07 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 81' SC Paderborn 07 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jonah Sticker is hanging Tjark Scheller on the field on 81 minute.
- 82' SC Paderborn 07 ring the changes. Stefano Marino has done his job and it is now time for Nick Batzner to step up.
- 84' It’s gonna be a card for Santiago Castaneda.
- 86' What a moment for Filip Bilbija! That strike on 86 puts his side firmly in control.
- 87' Aiman Dardari has so much to prove this time. He replaces Philipp Ziereis on 87 minute.
- 90' SC Paderborn 07 receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from SC Paderborn 07 to claim maximum points.
Lineups
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 23
- 13
- 30
- 10
- 4
- 15
- 9
- 47
- 33
- 5
- 43
Bench
- 26
- 37
- 18
- 28
- 24
- 2
- 16
- 25
- 11
Coach
Heiko Vogel
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 20
- 23
- 26
-
30
Stefano Marino ↓ Nick Batzner 82'
- 4
- 41
- 17
- 22
- 14
-
25
Tjark Scheller ↓ Jonah Sticker 81'
-
2
Ruben Muller ↓ Filip Bilbija 65'
Bench
- 8
- 1
- 11
-
27
Steffen Tigges ↑ 64'
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↑ 65'
-
9
Nick Batzner ↑ 82'
-
5
Santiago Castaneda ↑ 69'
-
3
Jonah Sticker ↑ 81'
- 10
Coach
Ralf Kettemann
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Branimir Hrgota | 3 |
| Armindo Sieb | 2 |
| Adriano Grimaldi | 2 |
| Stefano Marino | 1 |
| Tim Lemperle | 1 |
| Damian Michalski | 1 |
| Gian-Luca Itter | 1 |
| Noah Loosli | 1 |
Head to Head
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 Form
2026-04-05
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
0–2
SC Paderborn 07
L
2026-03-20
Karlsruher SC
3–1
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
L
2026-03-13
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
2–0
SV 07 Elversberg
W
2026-03-08
Hannover 96
1–2
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
W
2026-02-28
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
1–1
FC Schalke 04
D
2026-02-20
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
2–1
Arminia Bielefeld
W
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2026-04-05
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
0–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2026-03-21
SC Paderborn 07
2–1
SG Dynamo Dresden
W
2026-03-14
Arminia Bielefeld
2–2
SC Paderborn 07
D
2026-03-07
SC Paderborn 07
1–1
Eintracht Braunschweig
D
2026-02-28
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2026-02-22
SC Paderborn 07
5–2
Hertha BSC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.16
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 or SC Paderborn 07 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 or Draw
63%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
67%
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 or SC Paderborn 07
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 0
9.1%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.8%
0 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
| Handicap | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 19% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 20% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

