EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 23 games · 34 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 23 | 34 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 22 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Nov | CA Paranaense | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Nov | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Nov | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #12 |
| 34 | Points | 27 |
| 23 | Played | 22 |
| 8 / 10 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 6 / 9 |
| 32 | Scored | 27 |
| 28 | Conceded | 26 |
| +4 | GD | +1 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 1.23 |
| 35% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
EC Bahia are 5th (34 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/3
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Sao Paulo FC get us underway at Arena Fonte Nova.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Arena Fonte Nova. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' Cauly, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 30' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 35' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 40' Alisson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 328 appearances.
- 45' The 31-year-old Thaciano has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 50' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 54' The referee has no hesitation. Yago Felipe is booked for EC Bahia — Yellow card on 54.
- 57' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Yago Felipe exits the field as Everaldo enters on 57.
- 62' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yago Felipe is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
- 66' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Lucas Moura by Luciano on 66 minute.
- 71' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 76' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Thaciano is replaced by Ademir Santos on 76 minute.
- 77' The crowd applauds Wellington Rato as he leaves the pitch. Nathan steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
- 78' Talles Costa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Juan Santos at the 78 minute mark.
- 81' Lucas Beraldo picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 85' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rafael Ratao is hanging Cauly on the field on 85 minute.
- 86' Poor challenge from Kanu. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 88' The supporters are chanting for Caio Paulista. He replaces Welington on 88 minute.
- 90' Rafael Ratao was booked on 90.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
28
Thaciano ↓ Ademir Santos 76'
-
20
Yago Felipe ↓ Everaldo 57'
- 2
- –
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Rafael Ratao 85'
- 31
-
–
Luciano Juba ↓ Camilo Candido 76'
- 26
-
10
Gabriel Teixeira ↓ Lucas Mugni 78'
- 5
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 76'
- 1
- 18
-
19
Lucas Mugni ↑ 78'
- 40
-
11
Rafael Ratao ↑ 85'
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 57'
- 33
- 29
- 21
-
–
Camilo Candido ↑ 76'
- 3
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 5
-
7
Lucas Moura ↓ Luciano 66'
- 13
-
6
Welington ↓ Caio Paulista 88'
-
15
Michel Araujo ↓ David 66'
-
27
Wellington Rato ↓ Nathan 77'
- 29
- 35
- 23
-
31
Juan Santos ↓ Talles Costa 78'
Bench
-
22
David ↑ 66'
-
10
Luciano ↑ 66'
- 93
- 8
-
38
Caio Paulista ↑ 88'
- 28
-
37
Talles Costa ↑ 78'
- 39
- 4
- 20
-
45
Nathan ↑ 77'
- –
Coach
Dorival Júnior
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 1 |
| Diego Souza | 1 |
| Lucas Moura | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.93
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Sao Paulo FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sao Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.96
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 2.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 3.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
64%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
69%
EC Bahia or Sao Paulo FC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.6%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 3
2.4%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
1.9%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 19% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 21% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.