EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Nov | CA Paranaense | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Nov | Grêmio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Nov | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #8 |
| 26 | Points | 25 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 7 |
| 25 | Scored | 23 |
| 23 | Conceded | 20 |
| +2 | GD | +3 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 41% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Sao Paulo FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Sao Paulo FC have won 405 goals from 371 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' Robert Arboleda, a Ecuador , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 25' Sao Paulo FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 35' Vitor Hugo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 40' A quiet spell here at Arena Fonte Nova. Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 50' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 54' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Yago Felipe gets a Yellow card.
- 57' Everaldo is replacing Yago Felipe for the EC Bahia side.
- 62' Luciano has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 39 cards already picked up this season.
- 66' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Luciano comes on to replace Lucas Moura.
- 71' David has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 76' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Thaciano is replaced by Ademir Santos on 76 minute.
- 77' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Wellington Rato by Nathan on 77 minute.
- 78' The whistle greets Juan Santos as he departs to be replaced by Talles Costa.
- 81' The referee calls foul for Lucas Beraldo. He receives a Yellow card.
- 85' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Cauly exits the field as Rafael Ratao enters on 85.
- 86' The referee shows EC Bahia player a Yellow card on 86.
- 88' Caio Paulista gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Welington and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Poor challenge from Rafael Ratao. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
28
Thaciano ↓ Ademir Santos 76'
-
20
Yago Felipe ↓ Everaldo 57'
- 2
- –
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Rafael Ratao 85'
- 31
-
–
Luciano Juba ↓ Camilo Candido 76'
- 26
-
10
Gabriel Teixeira ↓ Lucas Mugni 78'
- 5
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 76'
- 1
- 18
-
19
Lucas Mugni ↑ 78'
- 40
-
11
Rafael Ratao ↑ 85'
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 57'
- 33
- 29
- 21
-
–
Camilo Candido ↑ 76'
- 3
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 5
-
7
Lucas Moura ↓ Luciano 66'
- 13
-
6
Welington ↓ Caio Paulista 88'
-
15
Michel Araujo ↓ David 66'
-
27
Wellington Rato ↓ Nathan 77'
- 29
- 35
- 23
-
31
Juan Santos ↓ Talles Costa 78'
Bench
-
22
David ↑ 66'
-
10
Luciano ↑ 66'
- 93
- 8
-
38
Caio Paulista ↑ 88'
- 28
-
37
Talles Costa ↑ 78'
- 39
- 4
- 20
-
45
Nathan ↑ 77'
- –
Coach
Dorival Júnior
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Clayson | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
| Robert Arboleda | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.91
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Sao Paulo FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sao Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
62%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
71%
EC Bahia or Sao Paulo FC
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.9%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 3
2.8%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
1.8%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 18% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.