Sunday , 16 August 2026

CR Vasco da Gama vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 14 Sep 2025 · 23:30 UTC Sao Januario HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CR Vasco da Gama vs Ceará SCSerie A at Sao Januario.

Match Details

  • Referee Matheus Delgado Candancan (Brazil)
7 games this season 🟨 0.3/game 3.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Ceará SC H 2–2 D
31 Aug SC Recife A 3–2 W
24 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–3 L
20 Aug EC Juventude A 0–2 L
17 Aug Santos FC A 6–0 W
10 Aug CA Mineiro H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 2–2 D
30 Aug EC Juventude H 0–1 L
24 Aug Gremio FBPA A 0–0 D
16 Aug RB Bragantino H 1–0 W
10 Aug SE Palmeiras A 1–2 L
03 Aug CR Flamengo H 1–1 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
19% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/4
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 4 G 2 A
Thiago Mendes 3 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Ceará SC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CR Vasco da Gama and Ceará SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 12' Magnificent from Philippe Coutinho! That is 47 goals in 513 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 16' Brilliant from the ! Antonio Galeano makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 16.
  • 21' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 26' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Richardson on 26 minutes.
  • 31' Ceará SC have won 233 goals from 238 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 36' CR Vasco da Gama are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Ceará SC backline.
  • 41' Matheus Bahia, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 46' The CR Vasco da Gama manager makes a substitution. Tucurui departs to be replaced by Carlos Gomez.
  • 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 56' Ceará SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 57' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Cauan Lucas on 57 minutes.
  • 62' CR Vasco da Gama currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 64' The Ceara SC manager makes a substitution. Lourenco departs to be replaced by Rodriguinho.
  • 65' CR Vasco da Gama player sees a card in front of him.
  • 65' Carlos Cuesta is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lucas Freitas at the 65 minute mark.
  • 70' It looks surprising Ceará SC does not make any changes. Paulo Baya has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 72' Rodriguinho has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 72.
  • 77' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 78' A change in the Ceara SC ranks — Richardson exits the field as Fernando Sobral enters on 78.
  • 80' Carlos Cuesta does the damage! The net is bulging and CR Vasco da Gama surge ahead!
  • 84' Pedro Henrique gets the nod from Ceara SC. He replaces Pedro Raul and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Paulinho has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nuno Moreira on 86 minute.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Fabiano Silva on 90 minutes earns him a card. Ceara SC will be frustrated.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.47 CR Vasco da Gama xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Ceará SC xG
I would bet for: CR Vasco da Gama or Ceará SC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CR Vasco da Gama40% Draw27% Ceará SC33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

CR Vasco da Gama or Draw
67%
Draw or Ceará SC
60%
CR Vasco da Gama or Ceará SC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CR Vasco da Gama28% Draw45% Ceará SC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — CR Vasco da Gama

Handicap CR Vasco da Gama covers Push Ceará SC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
25%
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.