Cruzeiro EC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cruzeiro EC vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Mineirao.
- Cruzeiro EC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | SC Internacional | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Aug | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jul | Ceará SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | SC Recife | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Cruzeiro EC | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #8 |
| 24 | Points | 25 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 6 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 7 |
| 24 | Scored | 23 |
| 28 | Conceded | 20 |
| -4 | GD | +3 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 33% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
31%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Cruzeiro EC are 11th (24 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 4 G | |
| Matheus Pereira | 3 G | 2 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Cruzeiro EC and Sao Paulo FC get this one started.
- 5' It’s high time Leonardo Jardim made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' Cruzeiro EC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' Argentina international Lucas Villalba has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 23' Luciano was booked on 23.
- 28' Controversy at the stadium! Lucas Villalba argues furiously but the card stands.
- 33' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cruzeiro EC and Sao Paulo FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 38' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 38 minutes.
- 43' The home supporters are growing impatient. Cruzeiro EC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 46' Another substitution for Cruzeiro EC to replace Kaio Jorge by Gabriel Barbosa on 46 minute.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Cassio made 370 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 61' Controversy at the stadium! Rodrigo Huendra argues furiously but the card stands.
- 64' Matheus Pereira adds to his 0 season tally! Cruzeiro EC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 69' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cruzeiro EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 70' A moment of madness from Patryck on 70 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
- 73' Wanderson makes way for Carlos Eduardo at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cruzeiro EC.
- 78' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leonardo Jardim will be considering his options from the bench.
- 79' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Juan Dinenno comes on to replace Luciano.
- 83' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Patryck is replaced by Wendell.
- 86' Cruzeiro EC make a change. Matheus Pereira trudges off to be replaced by Kaua Prates on 86 minutes.
- 87' Cruzeiro EC player sees a card in front of him.
- 88' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Damian Bobadilla gets a card.
- Full Time. Cruzeiro EC beats Sao Paulo FC
Lineups
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
-
16
Lucas Silva ↓ Luis Sinisterra 86'
- 8
- 1
- 15
- 12
-
10
Matheus Pereira ↓ Kaua Prates 86'
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Gabriel Barbosa 46'
-
94
Wanderson ↓ Carlos Eduardo 73'
- 25
- 6
Bench
- 11
-
17
Luis Sinisterra ↑ 86'
- 5
-
9
Gabriel Barbosa ↑ 46'
- 7
-
21
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 73'
- 77
- 14
- 34
- 41
- 70
-
36
Kaua Prates ↑ 86'
Coach
Leonardo Jardim
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Luciano ↓ Juan Dinenno 79'
- 6
- 28
- 35
- 32
-
11
Ferreira ↓ Gonzalo Tapia 79'
- 36
-
29
Pablo Maia ↓ Henrique Fabiano 83'
- 23
- 15
- 21
Bench
- 33
-
18
Wendell ↑ 83'
- 50
- 12
- 43
-
37
Henrique Fabiano ↑ 83'
-
19
Juan Dinenno ↑ 79'
- 34
- 56
- 42
-
14
Gonzalo Tapia ↑ 79'
- 45
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ferreira | 4 |
| Thiago Neves | 2 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Alexandre Pato | 1 |
| Rafinha | 1 |
| Luciano | 1 |
| Lucas Moura | 1 |
Head to Head
Cruzeiro EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.14
Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Cruzeiro EC or Sao Paulo FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Cruzeiro EC or Draw
65%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
64%
Cruzeiro EC or Sao Paulo FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
10.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
7%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.4%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC
| Handicap | Cruzeiro EC covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 18% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

