SC Recife vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Recife vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.
- SC Recife 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Aug | Grêmio FBPA | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | Santos FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Jul | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Jul | Botafogo FR | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | SC Recife | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Jul | EC Juventude | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
20%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Ilha do Retiro. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' GOAL! Lucas Lima scores on 5.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Sao Paulo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' SC Recife is showing some good football. However, SC Recife are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sao Paulo FC that had 371 games and scored 405 goals.
- 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
- 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 35' Andre Silva has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nahuel Ferraresi made 8 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 44' A meaty challenge results in booking for Christian Rivera on 44.
- 46' Another change for SC Recife made on 46 minute. Igor Carius leaves to be changed by Kevyson.
- 50' What a strike from Derik Lacerda! The score is 2-0.
- 52' It’s gonna be a card for Derik Lacerda.
- 57' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Juan Dinenno by Andre Silva on 57 minute.
- 58' A meaty challenge results in booking for Maik on 58.
- 63' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 66' Goal! Lucas Moura scores his 49 goal in 385 matches.
- 68' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Luan by Damian Bobadilla on 68 minute.
- 73' Pedro Augusto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matheusinho on 73 minute.
- 74' Another change for SC Recife made on 74 minute. Derik Lacerda leaves to be changed by Pablo Felipe.
- 79' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 81' SC Recife receives a card for a hard tackle on 81.
- 82' Another change for SC Recife made on 82 minute. Leo Augusto leaves to be changed by Chrystian Barletta.
- 87' The travelling Sao Paulo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 90' SC Recife receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- 90' The whistle greets Lucas Lima as he departs to be replaced by Joao Silva.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
SC Recife Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 40
- 15
-
16
Igor Carius ↓ Kevyson 46'
-
10
Lucas Lima ↓ Joao Silva 90'
- 33
- 38
-
18
Derik Lacerda ↓ Pablo Felipe 74'
-
17
Matheusinho ↓ Pedro Augusto 73'
- 14
- 58
Bench
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↑ 74'
- 19
- 11
- 22
- 9
-
28
Pedro Augusto ↑ 73'
- 13
-
3
Kevyson ↑ 46'
-
6
Joao Silva ↑ 90'
-
30
Chrystian Barletta ↑ 82'
- 20
- 46
Coach
Daniel Paulista
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
33
Luan ↓ Damian Bobadilla 68'
-
28
Alan Franco ↓ Nahuel Ferraresi 57'
- 35
-
11
Ferreira ↓ Henrique Fabiano 57'
- 36
- 29
-
15
Rodrigo Huendra ↓ Lucas Moura 46'
- 50
-
19
Juan Dinenno ↓ Andre Silva 57'
- 42
- 14
Bench
- 6
-
7
Lucas Moura ↑ 46'
- 13
-
17
Andre Silva ↑ 57'
-
32
Nahuel Ferraresi ↑ 57'
- 12
-
21
Damian Bobadilla ↑ 68'
- 43
-
37
Henrique Fabiano ↑ 57'
- 34
- 56
- 46
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Marlone | 1 |
| Maik | 1 |
| Diego Souza | 1 |
| Nene | 1 |
| Santiago Trellez | 1 |
| Luciano | 1 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Recife Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.1
SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
SC Recife or Sao Paulo FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
SC Recife or Draw
62%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
68%
SC Recife or Sao Paulo FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SC Recife win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
10.7%
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
3.4%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — SC Recife
| Handicap | SC Recife covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.