Saturday , 14 November 2026

Ceará SC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 1
Full Time
Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Aylon 59' Y
Y 78' Tiago
Fernandinho 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep EC Bahia H 1–1 D
14 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 2–2 D
30 Aug EC Juventude H 0–1 L
24 Aug Gremio FBPA A 0–0 D
16 Aug RB Bragantino H 1–0 W
10 Aug SE Palmeiras A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Ceará SC A 1–1 D
15 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 1–2 L
31 Aug Mirassol FC A 1–5 L
24 Aug Santos FC H 2–0 W
17 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–1 W
10 Aug Fluminense FC H 3–3 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 11 G 2 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 4 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Castelao that hosts another battle between Ceará SC and EC Bahia.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Castelao. Ceará SC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' Ceará SC is showing some good football. However, Ceará SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Ceará SC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. Ceará SC and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 45' Controversy at the stadium! Fernando Sobral argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 46' Another change for EC Bahia made on 46 minute. Michel Araujo leaves to be changed by Kayky.
  • 48' Against the run of play, Lourenco has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 53' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Fernando Sobral has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 56' A goal from the Brazil international Willian Jose! He fires home on 56 to make it 0-2!
  • 59' Aylon picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 63' Fresh legs for Ceara SC! Pedro Henrique comes on to replace Aylon.
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Vinicius Zanocelo. He replaces Fernando Sobral on 67 minute.
  • 72' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Ceará SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 75' The crowd applauds Willian Jose as he leaves the pitch. Tiago steps in for EC Bahia.
  • 78' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
  • 83' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 84' Fernandinho gets the nod from Ceara SC. He replaces Paulo Baya and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' The referee shows Ceara SC player a card on 86.
  • 90' EC Bahia ring the changes. Mateo Sanabria has done his job and it is now time for Iago Borduchi to step up.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.32 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Ceará SC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC42% Draw30% EC Bahia28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
71%
Draw or EC Bahia
58%
Ceará SC or EC Bahia
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC29% Draw50% EC Bahia21%
Actual: Ceará SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.