Thursday , 2 July 2026

Ceará SC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 1
Full Time
Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Aylon 59' Y
Y 78' Tiago
Fernandinho 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs EC BahiaSerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep EC Bahia H 1–1 D
14 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 2–2 D
30 Aug EC Juventude H 0–1 L
24 Aug Grêmio FBPA A 0–0 D
16 Aug RB Bragantino H 1–0 W
10 Aug SE Palmeiras A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Ceará SC A 1–1 D
15 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 1–2 L
31 Aug Mirassol FC A 1–5 L
24 Aug Santos FC H 2–0 W
17 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–1 W
10 Aug Fluminense FC H 3–3 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
1/
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: EC Bahia gets underway.
  • 5' Ceará SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Willian Jose, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 15' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Ceará SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Ceará SC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 45' Ceara SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
  • 46' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Michel Araujo departs to be replaced by Kayky.
  • 48' Lourenco puts Ceara SC on the lead.
  • 53' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 325 games and scored 348 goals.
  • 56' GOAL! Willian Jose scores on 56. Assisted by Everton Ribeiro
  • 59' Ceara SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 59.
  • 63' Ceara SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Pedro Henrique is hanging Aylon on the field on 63 minute.
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Vinicius Zanocelo. He replaces Fernando Sobral on 67 minute.
  • 72' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 72 minutes.
  • 75' The whistle greets Willian Jose as he departs to be replaced by Tiago.
  • 78' Tiago is having his name booked by the referee on 78.
  • 83' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Ceara SC team. Paulo Baya is replaced by Fernandinho on 84 minute.
  • 86' That looks like a foul for a card for Fernandinho.
  • 90' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Mateo Sanabria is replaced by Iago Borduchi.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.32 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Ceará SC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC42% Draw30% EC Bahia28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
71%
Draw or EC Bahia
58%
Ceará SC or EC Bahia
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC29% Draw50% EC Bahia21%
Actual: Ceará SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
36%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.