Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Ceará SC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 1
Full Time
Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Aylon 59' Y
Y 78' Tiago
Fernandinho 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep EC Bahia H 1–1 D
14 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 2–2 D
30 Aug EC Juventude H 0–1 L
24 Aug Gremio FBPA A 0–0 D
16 Aug RB Bragantino H 1–0 W
10 Aug SE Palmeiras A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Ceará SC A 1–1 D
15 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 1–2 L
31 Aug Mirassol FC A 1–5 L
24 Aug Santos FC H 2–0 W
17 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–1 W
10 Aug Fluminense FC H 3–3 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Ceará SC have kicked off against EC Bahia. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Fernando Sobral has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' Ceará SC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against EC Bahia's shape.
  • 20' Santiago Ramos has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' Aylon is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Ceará SC tonight.
  • 30' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leo Condé will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' It’s a booking for Ceara SC player. Fernando Sobral gets a card.
  • 46' Another change for EC Bahia made on 46 minute. Michel Araujo leaves to be changed by Kayky.
  • 48' The deadlock is broken! Lourenco gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
  • 53' Willian Jose is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
  • 56' A stunning finish from Willian Jose — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 59' A moment of madness from Aylon on 59 minutes earns him a card. Ceara SC will be frustrated.
  • 63' Pedro Henrique has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aylon on 63 minute.
  • 67' Vinicius Zanocelo gets the nod from Ceara SC. He replaces Fernando Sobral and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 75' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Willian Jose departs to be replaced by Tiago.
  • 78' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
  • 83' Ceará SC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 84' Fernandinho gets the nod from Ceara SC. He replaces Paulo Baya and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' The referee calls foul for Fernandinho. He receives a card.
  • 90' Iago Borduchi is replacing Mateo Sanabria for the EC Bahia side.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.32 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Ceará SC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC42% Draw30% EC Bahia28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
71%
Draw or EC Bahia
58%
Ceará SC or EC Bahia
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC29% Draw50% EC Bahia21%
Actual: Ceará SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.