Sao Paulo FC vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs Ceará SC — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
- Ceará SC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 23 | 34 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 22 | 32 |
| 10 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 22 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Santos FC | 22 | 23 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 22 | 23 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 22 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep | Ceará SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Sep | Santos FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sep | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | SC Recife | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | EC Bahia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | EC Juventude | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
8%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sao Paulo FC to score. At the same time, Ceará SC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' Sao Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 25' Ferreira has been relatively quiet despite scoring 25 goals in his last 327 appearances.
- 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Richardson, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 31' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Rafael Toloi exits the field as Jose Sabino enters on 31.
- 36' international Guilherme Luiz has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 37' The referee calls foul for Dieguinho. He receives a card.
- 42' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 46' Pedro Henrique is replacing Paulo Baya for the Ceara SC side.
- 51' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 52' Lourenco picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 56' Pedro Henrique has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 56 minutes.
- 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 63' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Ferreira exits the field as Lucca Marques enters on 63.
- 68' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sao Paulo FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 70' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Juan Dinenno on, Cedric off on 70 minutes.
- 72' Fresh legs for Ceara SC! Vinicius Zanocelo comes on to replace Dieguinho.
- 77' It looks like no one’s ball. Sao Paulo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 82' The referee calls foul for Robert Arboleda. He receives a card.
- 85' The Ceara SC bench stirs into life. Antonio Galeano is withdrawn and Guilherme Luiz gets his opportunity.
- 87' Guilherme Luiz has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 87.
- 90' Juan Dinenno was booked on 90.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Vina. He replaces Pedro Raul on 90 minute.
- Another three points for Ceará SC.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 5
- 6
- 2
- 28
- 13
- 11
- 23
- 15
- 21
Bench
- 7
- 16
- 18
- 77
- 35
- 22
- 29
- 50
- 43
- 19
- 14
- 45
Ceará SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
-
97
Lourenco ↓ Fernando Sobral 72'
- 94
-
9
Pedro Raul ↓ Vina 90'
- 79
- 70
-
17
Paulo Baya ↓ Pedro Henrique 46'
- 44
-
20
Dieguinho ↓ Vinicius Zanocelo 72'
- 27
- 23
Bench
- 3
- 33
- 1
- 30
- 2
- 10
-
7
Pedro Henrique ↑ 46'
-
88
Fernando Sobral ↑ 72'
-
25
Vinicius Zanocelo ↑ 72'
- 75
-
29
Vina ↑ 90'
-
80
Guilherme Luiz ↑ 85'
Coach
Leo Condé
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Calleri | 3 |
| Leo Chu | 2 |
| Pedro Henrique | 2 |
| Gabriel Dias | 2 |
| Fabinho | 2 |
| Dani Alves | 1 |
| Stiven Mendoza | 1 |
| Felipe Silva | 1 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Ceará SC xG
I would bet for:
Sao Paulo FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Ceará SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.09
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Ceará SC
63%
Sao Paulo FC or Ceará SC
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
2.8%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | Ceará SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 21% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 18% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.