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Santos FC vs Grêmio FBPA, 2018

Campeonato Brasileiro da Serie A · 2018
1 0
Full Time
Sun 19 Nov 2017 · 22:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Santos FC vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A .

Head-to-Head

1
1
1
Santos FC 3 games · Avg 3.0 goals Grêmio FBPA

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Nov Grêmio FBPA H 1–0 W
17 Nov EC Bahia A 1–3 L
13 Nov Chapecoense AF A 0–2 L
09 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 1–2 L
04 Nov CA Mineiro H 3–1 W
28 Oct Sao Paulo FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Nov Santos FC A 0–1 L
16 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
12 Nov EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
05 Nov CR Flamengo H 3–1 W
22 Oct SE Palmeiras H 1–3 L
19 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–0 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Santos FC vs Grêmio FBPA — let the football do the talking.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Santos FC take all three points.

Lineups

Santos FC Lineups

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 Santos FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 69% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Santos FC47% Draw31% Grêmio FBPA22%
Actual: Santos FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.96
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Santos FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
53%
Santos FC or Grêmio FBPA
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Santos FC30% Draw55% Grêmio FBPA15%
Actual: Santos FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.8%
2 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 2
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Santos FC

Handicap Santos FC covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 25% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Santos FC keeps clean sheet
47%
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.