SE Palmeiras vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 25 games · 52 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Bruno de Araujo (Brazil)
- Assistant 1 Rodrigo Correa (Brazil)
- Assistant 2 Thiago Neto Correa (Brazil)
9 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 7.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Botafogo FR | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Mar | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Chapecoense AF | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Mar | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Feb | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #15 |
| 52 | Points | 28 |
| 25 | Played | 24 |
| 15 / 7 / 3 | W / D / L | 7 / 7 / 10 |
| 45 | Scored | 27 |
| 21 | Conceded | 32 |
| +24 | GD | -5 |
| 2.08 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 60% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
SE Palmeiras are 1st (52 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Jhon Arias | 4 G | 2 A |
| Ramon Sosa | 4 G | 2 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — SE Palmeiras and Gremio FBPA get this one started.
- 5' SE Palmeiras currently sit 1 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' SE Palmeiras have won 585 goals from 391 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' Gremio FBPA seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 25' Gremio FBPA is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' Jhon Arias is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SE Palmeiras tonight.
- 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 40' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 40.
- 44' Magnificent from Marlon Freitas! That is 13 goals in 152 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 46' Dodi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Erick Noriega at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' SE Palmeiras are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gremio FBPA backline.
- 54' Assisted by Gustavo Martins with the perfectly-timed delivery and Carlos Vinicius makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 59' Both keepers have barely been tested. SE Palmeiras and Gremio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 64' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Juan Ignacio Nardoni suffering a number of foals already.
- 67' Arthur Santana gets the nod from SE Palmeiras. He replaces Jefte and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' Luis Castro is having his name booked by the referee on 70.
- 71' SE Palmeiras manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Felipe Anderson is hanging Mauricio on the field on 71 minute.
- 72' Marlon Freitas is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 72' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Ramon Sosa comes on to replace Jose Manuel Lopez.
- 74' Controversy at the stadium! Gustavo Martins argues furiously but the card stands.
- 76' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Jose Enamorado is replaced by Martin Braithwaite.
- 80' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 80 minute. Juan Ignacio Nardoni leaves to be changed by Bernardo Zortea.
- 84' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Allan has done his job and it is now time for Lucas Evangelista to step up.
- 86' Dodi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 86.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 3
- 1
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Felipe Anderson 71'
- 17
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↓ Ramon Sosa 72'
- 26
-
11
Jhon Arias ↓ Khellven 84'
- 4
-
6
Jefte ↓ Arthur Santana 67'
-
40
Allan ↓ Lucas Evangelista 84'
Bench
- 15
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↑ 71'
-
30
Lucas Evangelista ↑ 84'
- 14
-
12
Khellven ↑ 84'
- 32
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↑ 72'
- 31
- 48
-
56
Arthur Santana ↑ 67'
- 45
- 50
Coach
Abel Ferreira
Gremio FBPA Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1
- 95
- 7
-
21
Tete ↓ Francis Amuzu 46'
-
19
Erick Noriega ↓ Dodi 46'
- 5
- 6
-
11
Miguel Monsalve ↓ Gabriel Mec 46'
- 44
- 99
- 54
Bench
- 4
-
17
Dodi ↑ 46'
- 14
-
22
Martin Braithwaite ↑ 76'
-
9
Francis Amuzu ↑ 46'
- 12
- 3
- 65
- 39
-
50
Bernardo Zortea ↑ 80'
-
37
Gabriel Mec ↑ 46'
- 47
Coach
Luis Castro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 7 |
| Diego Souza | 3 |
| Estevao | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Marlon Freitas | 2 |
| Deyverson | 2 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.93
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
84%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
39%
SE Palmeiras or Gremio FBPA
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.1%
1 – 0
11.1%
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
4.5%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
4.1%
4 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 24% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

