Saturday , 17 October 2026

Chapecoense AF vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Mon 16 Mar 2026 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Chapecoense AF vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Bruno Pereira (Brazil)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Gremio FBPA H 1–1 D
12 Mar Sao Paulo FC A 0–2 L
11 Feb Coritiba FBC H 3–3 D
05 Feb CR Vasco da Gama A 1–1 D
28 Jan Santos FC H 4–2 W
10 Dec Fluminense FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Chapecoense AF A 1–1 D
13 Mar RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
26 Feb CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
12 Feb Sao Paulo FC A 0–2 L
05 Feb Botafogo FR H 5–3 W
28 Jan Fluminense FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Chapecoense AF Gremio FBPA
#20 Position #18
18 Points 31
29 Played 30
3 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
30 Scored 32
61 Conceded 40
-31 GD -8
0.62 PPG 1.03
10% Win % 23%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
10% Clean Sheets
Chapecoense AF this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Chapecoense AF are 20th (18 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chapecoense AF
0-15
1/6
16-30
4/11
31-45
4/6
46-60
3/6
61-75
2/8
76+
5/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chapecoense AF
Marcinho 5 G 2 A
Walter Clar 3 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Chapecoense AF Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 Chapecoense AF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Chapecoense AF or Gremio FBPA 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Chapecoense AF34% Draw27% Gremio FBPA39%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Chapecoense AF or Draw
62%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
66%
Chapecoense AF or Gremio FBPA
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Chapecoense AF26% Draw44% Gremio FBPA30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 1
6.7%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.9%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Chapecoense AF

Handicap Chapecoense AF covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 17% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 19% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Chapecoense AF keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.