Saturday , 17 October 2026

SE Palmeiras vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026
SE Palmeiras
2 – 1
Full Time
Gremio FBPA
Fri 3 Apr 2026 · 00:30 UTC Allianz Parque 13,572 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marlon Freitas 44' 1–0
1–1 54' Carlos Vinicius
Marlon Freitas 72' 2–1
Y 40' Pedro Gabriel
Y 70' Luis Castro
Y 74' Gustavo Martins
Y 86' Dodi

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Allianz Parque.

Match Details

  • Referee Bruno de Araujo (Brazil)
  • Assistant 1 Rodrigo Correa (Brazil)
  • Assistant 2 Thiago Neto Correa (Brazil)
11 games this season 🟨 2.2/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 Mirassol FC 31 36
14 EC Vitoria 30 36
15 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
16 SC Internacional 31 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

11
5
3
SE Palmeiras 19 games · Avg 2.4 goals Gremio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2026-04-03 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2025-11-26 Gremio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras 2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-11-09 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-07-04 Gremio FBPA 2–2 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Apr Gremio FBPA H 2–1 W
22 Mar Sao Paulo FC A 1–0 W
18 Mar Botafogo FR H 2–1 W
15 Mar Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
26 Feb Fluminense FC H 2–1 W
Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Apr SE Palmeiras A 1–2 L
22 Mar CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
19 Mar EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
16 Mar Chapecoense AF A 1–1 D
13 Mar RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
26 Feb CA Mineiro H 2–1 W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras Gremio FBPA
#2 Position #18
63 Points 31
30 Played 30
18 / 9 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
52 Scored 32
22 Conceded 40
+30 GD -8
2.10 PPG 1.03
60% Win % 23%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
37% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

SE Palmeiras are 2nd (63 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/1
31-45
6/1
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 9 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Vitor Roque 5 G
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gustavo Gomez 4 G 2 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and SE Palmeiras launch into their encounter with Gremio FBPA.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SE Palmeiras that had 396 games and scored 592 goals.
  • 10' Viery has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' Erick Noriega has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' Bernardo Zortea, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' Both keepers have barely been tested. SE Palmeiras and Gremio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 40' The referee shows Gremio FBPA player a card on 40.
  • 44' Marlon Freitas adds to his 2 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 46' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Erick Noriega exits the field as Dodi enters on 46.
  • 51' Gremio FBPA are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 54' The deadlock is broken! Carlos Vinicius gets on the scoresheet on 54 minutes.
  • 59' The 38-year-old Weverton has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 64' It looks like no one’s ball. SE Palmeiras is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 67' A change in the SE Palmeiras ranks — Jefte exits the field as Arthur Santana enters on 67.
  • 70' It’s gonna be a card for Luis Castro.
  • 71' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Mauricio is replaced by Felipe Anderson on 71 minute.
  • 72' Marlon Freitas adds to his 2 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 72' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Jose Manuel Lopez by Ramon Sosa on 72 minute.
  • 74' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gustavo Martins on 74 minutes.
  • 76' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Jose Enamorado has done his job and it is now time for Martin Braithwaite to step up.
  • 80' Bernardo Zortea is ready to make an impact after coming on for Juan Ignacio Nardoni at the 80 minute mark.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Lucas Evangelista. He replaces Allan on 84 minute.
  • 86' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Dodi will be fuming at that decision.
  • Another three points for SE Palmeiras.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

Gremio FBPA Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Castro

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Raphael Veiga 7
Diego Souza 3
Estevao 2
Willian 2
Carlos Vinicius 2
Willian 2
Marlon Freitas 2
Deyverson 2

Head to Head

2026-04-03 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2025-11-26 Gremio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras 2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-11-09 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-07-04 Gremio FBPA 2–2 SE Palmeiras

SE Palmeiras Form

2026-04-03 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Gremio FBPA W 2026-03-22 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 SE Palmeiras W 2026-03-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Botafogo FR W 2026-03-15 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Mirassol FC W 2026-03-12 CR Vasco da Gama 2–1 SE Palmeiras L 2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC W

Gremio FBPA Form

2026-04-03 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2026-03-22 CR Vasco da Gama 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2026-03-19 Gremio FBPA 2–0 EC Vitoria W 2026-03-16 Chapecoense AF 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2026-03-13 Gremio FBPA 1–1 RB Bragantino D 2026-02-26 Gremio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.88 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras61% Draw23% Gremio FBPA16%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
84%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
39%
SE Palmeiras or Gremio FBPA
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SE Palmeiras43% Draw45% Gremio FBPA12%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
11.8%
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.7%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.8%
4 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 19% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 24% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
45% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.