São Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Mirassol FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Oct | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–3 | L |
| 02 Oct | Fortaleza EC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | Ceará SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | São Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Gremio FBPA | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| São Paulo FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #5 |
| 36 | Points | 46 |
| 27 | Played | 28 |
| 10 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 32 | Scored | 43 |
| 30 | Conceded | 35 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 37% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sao Paulo FC is hosting EC Bahia for another epic battle.
- 5' EC Bahia have won 359 goals from 333 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 7' Brilliant from the ! Luciano makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 7.
- 12' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sao Paulo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 17' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nicolas Acevedo made 293 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 22' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 27' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 31' David Duarte was booked on 31.
- 36' The referee has no hesitation. Ademir Santos is booked for EC Bahia — card on 36.
- 41' Goal! Damian Bobadilla scores his 6 goal in 12 matches.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Mateo Sanabria. He replaces Tiago on 46 minute.
- 51' Enzo Diaz is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
- 54' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Luciano on 54 minutes.
- 59' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kayky is hanging Mateo Sanabria on the field on 59 minute.
- 60' The supporters are chanting for Erick. He replaces Gilberto on 60 minute.
- 65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 66' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Lucas Moura by Gonzalo Tapia on 66 minute.
- 71' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 76' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 78' Luiz Gustavo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pablo Maia on 78 minute.
- 79' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Luciano by Ferreira on 79 minute.
- 84' EC Bahia come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 87' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Damian Bobadilla by Felipe Negrucci on 87 minute.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Rodrigo Nestor.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sao Paulo FC 2-0 EC Bahia.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 5
- 7
- 20
- 28
- 35
- 13
- 29
- 23
- 21
- 42
Bench
- 25
- 16
- 77
- 11
- 36
- 22
- 15
- 50
- 43
- 14
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
- 7
- 12
-
13
Santiago Arias ↓ Gilberto 46'
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↓ Luciano Juba 46'
- 11
- 33
- 21
- 26
-
77
Tiago ↓ Mateo Sanabria 46'
Bench
-
2
Gilberto ↑ 46'
- 4
- 8
- 1
- 14
-
46
Luciano Juba ↑ 46'
- 15
- 37
- 5
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↑ 46'
- 3
- 66
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Clayson | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
| Robert Arboleda | 1 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.61
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
78%
Draw or EC Bahia
48%
São Paulo FC or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: São Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 16% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.