São Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Mirassol FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Oct | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–3 | L |
| 02 Oct | Fortaleza EC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | Ceará SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | São Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Gremio FBPA | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| São Paulo FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #6 |
| 44 | Points | 53 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 8 / 14 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 9 |
| 39 | Scored | 50 |
| 39 | Conceded | 45 |
| +0 | GD | +5 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 35% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' São Paulo FC have kicked off against EC Bahia. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 7' Assisted by Maik with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luciano makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 12' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 342 games and scored 373 goals.
- 17' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 22' Maik has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 387 appearances.
- 27' Maik picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 31' It’s gonna be a card for David Duarte.
- 36' Ademir Santos is having his name booked by the referee on 36.
- 41' What a moment for Damian Bobadilla! That strike on 41 puts his side firmly in control.
- 46' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Tiago is replaced by Mateo Sanabria.
- 51' São Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 54' Luciano catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 54.
- 59' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Kayky comes on to replace Mateo Sanabria.
- 60' Erick gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Gilberto and will look to change the dynamic.
- 65' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rogério Ceni might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 66' Gonzalo Tapia has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Moura on 66 minute.
- 71' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 76' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 78' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Pablo Maia is replaced by Luiz Gustavo on 78 minute.
- 79' The crowd applauds Luciano as he leaves the pitch. Ferreira steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
- 84' Mateo Sanabria needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 87' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Damian Bobadilla is withdrawn and Felipe Negrucci gets his opportunity.
- 90' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
- 2-0 the final result. EC Bahia will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 5
- 7
- 20
- 28
- 35
- 13
- 29
- 23
- 21
- 42
Bench
- 25
- 16
- 77
- 11
- 36
- 22
- 15
- 50
- 43
- 14
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
- 7
- 12
-
13
Santiago Arias ↓ Gilberto 46'
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↓ Luciano Juba 46'
- 11
- 33
- 21
- 26
-
77
Tiago ↓ Mateo Sanabria 46'
Bench
-
2
Gilberto ↑ 46'
- 4
- 8
- 1
- 14
-
46
Luciano Juba ↑ 46'
- 15
- 37
- 5
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↑ 46'
- 3
- 66
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Damian Bobadilla | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Lucas Moura | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Rossi | 1 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
78%
Draw or EC Bahia
48%
São Paulo FC or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: São Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
11%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.