Wednesday , 11 November 2026

Fortaleza EC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Fortaleza EC
0 – 2
Full Time
São Paulo FC
Thu 2 Oct 2025 · 22:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
R 22' Emiliano Rigoni
Gaston Avila 45' Y
Lucas Gazal 58' Y
Tomas Pochettino 87' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 34 76
2 SE Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro EC 34 60
4 Fluminense FC 34 57
5 CA Paranaense 34 54
6 EC Bahia 34 53
7 CA Mineiro 34 50
8 RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos FC 34 47
10 São Paulo FC 34 44
11 Botafogo FR 34 42
12 Coritiba FBC 34 42
13 CR Vasco da Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol FC 34 40
15 SC Internacional 34 38
16 EC Vitoria 34 38
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 34 37
18 Gremio FBPA 34 37
19 Clube do Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense AF 33 21

Head-to-Head

5
4
5
Fortaleza EC 14 games · Avg 1.8 goals São Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 São Paulo FC 2025-05-03 São Paulo FC 0–0 Fortaleza EC 2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 São Paulo FC 2024-04-14 São Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-09-21 São Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct São Paulo FC H 0–2 L
27 Sep SC Recife H 1–0 W
21 Sep SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
13 Sep EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
31 Aug SC Internacional A 1–2 L
24 Aug Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
29 Sep Ceará SC H 0–1 L
21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
31 Aug Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
24 Aug CA Mineiro H 2–0 W

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Fortaleza EC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' São Paulo FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 11' A goal from the Chile international Gonzalo Tapia! He fires home on 11 to make it 0-1!
  • 16' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fortaleza EC and São Paulo FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 21' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 22' It’s gonna be a card for Emiliano Rigoni.
  • 27' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fortaleza EC and São Paulo FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 32' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 37' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fortaleza EC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 42' São Paulo FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 45' Controversy at the stadium! Gaston Avila argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 46' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Rodrigo Huendra by Enzo Diaz on 46 minute.
  • 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 56' São Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 58' Fortaleza EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 58.
  • 61' Lucas Crispim makes way for Adam Bareiro at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fortaleza EC.
  • 62' Tomas Pochettino is replacing Yago Pikachu for the Fortaleza EC side.
  • 67' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. São Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 68' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Cedric by Mailton dos Santos on 68 minute.
  • 73' The crowd applauds Deyverson as he leaves the pitch. Marinho steps in for Fortaleza EC.
  • 77' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Gonzalo Tapia is withdrawn and Luciano gets his opportunity.
  • 79' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alisson is hanging Wendell on the field on 79 minute.
  • 84' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 85' GOAL! Luciano fires home to make it 0-2!
  • 87' Tomas Pochettino picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • São Paulo FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

São Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano 3
Robson 3
Wellington Paulista 2
Juan Lucero 2
David 2
Juninho Capixaba 1
James Rodriguez 1
Dani Alves 1

Head to Head

2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 São Paulo FC 2025-05-03 São Paulo FC 0–0 Fortaleza EC 2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 São Paulo FC 2024-04-14 São Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-09-21 São Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC Form

2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 São Paulo FC L 2025-09-27 Fortaleza EC 1–0 SC Recife W 2025-09-21 SE Palmeiras 4–1 Fortaleza EC L 2025-09-13 Fortaleza EC 2–0 EC Vitoria W 2025-08-31 SC Internacional 2–1 Fortaleza EC L 2025-08-24 Fortaleza EC 0–1 Mirassol FC L

São Paulo FC Form

2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 São Paulo FC W 2025-09-29 São Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC L 2025-09-21 Santos FC 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-09-14 São Paulo FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2025-08-31 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-08-24 São Paulo FC 2–0 CA Mineiro W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.05 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC37% Draw32% São Paulo FC31%
Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
69%
Draw or São Paulo FC
63%
Fortaleza EC or São Paulo FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC24% Draw55% São Paulo FC21%
Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
12.7%
0 – 1
11.5%
2 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 1
2.5%
3 – 0
2.4%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 21% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 19% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.