EC Bahia vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | São Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 May | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 May | Mirassol FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 May | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Fortaleza EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #11 |
| 46 | Points | 36 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 11 |
| 43 | Scored | 32 |
| 35 | Conceded | 30 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 43% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — EC Bahia and Sao Paulo FC get this one started.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' EC Bahia have won 359 goals from 333 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' The 31-year-old David Duarte has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 20' Jean Lucas, a Brazil , has 31 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 25' Marcos Felipe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sao Paulo FC so far.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lucca Marques is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
- 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rodrigo Huendra made 377 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 45' Willian Jose has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Sao Paulo FC winning 0% of all matches.
- 53' The Brazil Willian Jose breaks the deadlock on 53 minutes. 1-0!
- 58' Brazil international Ryan Rodrigues has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 59' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 59.
- 64' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rogério Ceni will be considering his options from the bench.
- 68' The crowd applauds Caio Alexandre as he leaves the pitch. Nicolas Acevedo steps in for EC Bahia.
- 69' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Lucca Marques comes on to replace Wendell.
- 73' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Willian Jose makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 78' Luciano Rodriguez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Willian Jose at the 78 minute mark.
- 83' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and Sao Paulo FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 85' Against the run of play, Luciano has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 87' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kayky.
- 88' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Pablo Maia exits the field as Rodrigo Huendra enters on 88.
- 89' The supporters are chanting for Santiago Arias. He replaces Gilberto on 89 minute.
- 90' Rodrigo Huendra picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Henrique Fabiano on, Lucas Ferreira off on 90 minutes.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sao Paulo FC.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Michel Araujo 68'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 68'
-
2
Gilberto ↓ Santiago Arias 89'
- 22
- 12
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
Bench
- 96
- 8
-
13
Santiago Arias ↑ 89'
- 25
- 11
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 68'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 68'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 68'
- 3
- 77
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 78'
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 5
-
6
Cedric ↓ Nahuel Ferraresi 69'
-
18
Wendell ↓ Lucca Marques 69'
- 35
- 13
-
29
Pablo Maia ↓ Rodrigo Huendra 88'
- 23
- 21
- 49
- 48
Bench
- 93
- 28
-
32
Nahuel Ferraresi ↑ 69'
- 36
-
15
Rodrigo Huendra ↑ 88'
- 12
- 43
-
37
Henrique Fabiano ↑ 90'
- 42
-
45
Lucca Marques ↑ 69'
- 39
- 47
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Luiz Gustavo | 1 |
| Wellington Rato | 1 |
| Clayson | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
73%
Draw or São Paulo FC
55%
EC Bahia or São Paulo FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.7%
1 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 22% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.