EC Bahia vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | São Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 May | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 May | Mirassol FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 May | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Fortaleza EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #10 |
| 53 | Points | 44 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 11 / 9 | W / D / L | 12 / 8 / 14 |
| 50 | Scored | 39 |
| 45 | Conceded | 39 |
| +5 | GD | +0 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 41% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between EC Bahia and Sao Paulo FC is underway.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Zubeldía might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' Ecuador international Robert Arboleda has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' Ademir Santos, a Brazil , has 22 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 30' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rafael Monteiro, as he is very good at scoring at Arena Fonte Nova with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 45' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Damian Bobadilla has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 53' A goal from the Brazil international Willian Jose! He fires home on 53 to make it 1-0!
- 58' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 59' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 64' EC Bahia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sao Paulo FC backline.
- 68' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Caio Alexandre is replaced by Nicolas Acevedo on 68 minute.
- 69' Lucca Marques gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Wendell and will look to change the dynamic.
- 73' Willian Jose makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and EC Bahia are in front.
- 78' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Willian Jose is withdrawn and Luciano Rodriguez gets his opportunity.
- 83' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 85' A goal from the Brazil international Luciano! He fires home on 85 to make it 2-1!
- 87' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kayky.
- 88' The crowd applauds Pablo Maia as he leaves the pitch. Rodrigo Huendra steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
- 89' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Santiago Arias on, Gilberto off on 89 minutes.
- 90' Rodrigo Huendra was booked on 90.
- 90' Henrique Fabiano is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lucas Ferreira at the 90 minute mark.
- The points are shared — EC Bahia 2-1 Sao Paulo FC. Honours even.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Michel Araujo 68'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 68'
-
2
Gilberto ↓ Santiago Arias 89'
- 22
- 12
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
Bench
- 96
- 8
-
13
Santiago Arias ↑ 89'
- 25
- 11
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 68'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 68'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 68'
- 3
- 77
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 78'
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 5
-
6
Cedric ↓ Nahuel Ferraresi 69'
-
18
Wendell ↓ Lucca Marques 69'
- 35
- 13
-
29
Pablo Maia ↓ Rodrigo Huendra 88'
- 23
- 21
- 49
- 48
Bench
- 93
- 28
-
32
Nahuel Ferraresi ↑ 69'
- 36
-
15
Rodrigo Huendra ↑ 88'
- 12
- 43
-
37
Henrique Fabiano ↑ 90'
- 42
-
45
Lucca Marques ↑ 69'
- 39
- 47
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Damian Bobadilla | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Lucas Moura | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
73%
Draw or São Paulo FC
55%
EC Bahia or São Paulo FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 22% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.