EC Bahia vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | São Paulo FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Nov | CA Paranaense | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | Cuiabá EC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Nov | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Cuiabá EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Nov | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #10 |
| 53 | Points | 44 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 11 / 9 | W / D / L | 12 / 8 / 14 |
| 50 | Scored | 39 |
| 45 | Conceded | 39 |
| +5 | GD | +0 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 41% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. EC Bahia kicks off things out of here…
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Caio Paulista has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' Alisson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Pablo Maia is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
- 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 45' Luciano needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 50' A quiet spell here at Arena Fonte Nova. Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 54' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Yago Felipe on 54 minutes.
- 57' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Yago Felipe is replaced by Everaldo.
- 62' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Michel Araujo suffering a number of foals already.
- 66' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Lucas Moura has done his job and it is now time for Luciano to step up.
- 71' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 76' EC Bahia make a change. Thaciano trudges off to be replaced by Ademir Santos on 76 minutes.
- 77' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Wellington Rato is replaced by Nathan.
- 78' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Juan Santos is replaced by Talles Costa on 78 minute.
- 81' Lucas Beraldo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 81.
- 85' EC Bahia ring the changes. Cauly has done his job and it is now time for Rafael Ratao to step up.
- 86' Kanu picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 88' Sao Paulo FC make a change. Welington trudges off to be replaced by Caio Paulista on 88 minutes.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rafael Ratao on 90.
- It finishes all square. EC Bahia and Sao Paulo FC share the spoils 0-1.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
28
Thaciano ↓ Ademir Santos 76'
-
20
Yago Felipe ↓ Everaldo 57'
- 2
- –
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Rafael Ratao 85'
- 31
-
–
Luciano Juba ↓ Camilo Candido 76'
- 26
-
10
Gabriel Teixeira ↓ Lucas Mugni 78'
- 5
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 76'
- 1
- 18
-
19
Lucas Mugni ↑ 78'
- 40
-
11
Rafael Ratao ↑ 85'
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 57'
- 33
- 29
- 21
-
–
Camilo Candido ↑ 76'
- 3
Coach
Rogério Ceni
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 5
-
7
Lucas Moura ↓ Luciano 66'
- 13
-
6
Welington ↓ Caio Paulista 88'
-
15
Michel Araujo ↓ David 66'
-
27
Wellington Rato ↓ Nathan 77'
- 29
- 35
- 23
-
31
Juan Santos ↓ Talles Costa 78'
Bench
-
22
David ↑ 66'
-
10
Luciano ↑ 66'
- 93
- 8
-
38
Caio Paulista ↑ 88'
- 28
-
37
Talles Costa ↑ 78'
- 39
- 4
- 20
-
45
Nathan ↑ 77'
- –
Coach
Dorival Júnior
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Damian Bobadilla | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Lucas Moura | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Marcos Victor | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.93
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
São Paulo FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.95
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 2.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 3.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
64%
Draw or São Paulo FC
69%
EC Bahia or São Paulo FC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.8%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 3
2.4%
1 – 3
2.3%
3 – 1
1.9%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 19% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 21% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.