Saturday , 26 September 2026

EC Bahia vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2023
EC Bahia
0 – 1
Full Time
São Paulo FC
Wed 29 Nov 2023 · 23:00 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'
Yago Felipe 54' Y
Y 81' Lucas Beraldo
Kanu 86' Y
Rafael Ratao 90' Y
Y 90' Talles Costa
Lucas Mugni 90' Y
Y 90' Caio Paulista

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 São Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

3
8
7
EC Bahia 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals São Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-11-29 EC Bahia 0–1 São Paulo FC 2023-07-30 São Paulo FC 0–0 EC Bahia 2021-11-07 EC Bahia 1–0 São Paulo FC 2021-07-10 São Paulo FC 1–0 EC Bahia 2020-11-28 EC Bahia 1–3 São Paulo FC

Recent Form

EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov São Paulo FC H 0–1 L
25 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 5–1 W
12 Nov CA Paranaense H 1–1 D
09 Nov Cuiaba EC H 0–3 L
04 Nov Gremio FBPA A 0–1 L
31 Oct Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov EC Bahia A 1–0 W
26 Nov Cuiaba EC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
12 Nov Santos FC A 0–0 D
08 Nov RB Bragantino H 1–0 W
02 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

EC Bahia São Paulo FC
#5 Position #11
46 Points 36
28 Played 27
12 / 10 / 6 W / D / L 10 / 6 / 11
43 Scored 32
35 Conceded 30
+8 GD +2
1.64 PPG 1.33
43% Win % 37%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. EC Bahia kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Robert Arboleda suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' Yago Felipe has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' EC Bahia have won 359 goals from 333 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 30' EC Bahia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sao Paulo FC's shape.
  • 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Bahia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 40' Gabriel Teixeira, a Brazil , has 9 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 50' The energy levels are beginning to show. Dorival Júnior might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 54' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Yago Felipe.
  • 57' Everaldo gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Yago Felipe and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 62' With 0 assists to his name this season, Rafinha is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 66' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Lucas Moura departs to be replaced by Luciano.
  • 71' Brazil international Lucas Beraldo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 76' EC Bahia ring the changes. Thaciano has done his job and it is now time for Ademir Santos to step up.
  • 77' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Wellington Rato is replaced by Nathan.
  • 78' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Talles Costa on, Juan Santos off on 78 minutes.
  • 81' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Lucas Beraldo gets a Yellow card.
  • 85' The crowd applauds Cauly as he leaves the pitch. Rafael Ratao steps in for EC Bahia.
  • 86' Kanu picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 88' Caio Paulista is ready to make an impact after coming on for Welington at the 88 minute mark.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Rafael Ratao.
  • Sao Paulo FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rogério Ceni

São Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Dorival Júnior

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano 6
Edigar Junio 2
Willian Jose 2
Edigar Junio 2
Ferreira 2
Rossi 1
Luiz Gustavo 1
Wellington Rato 1

Head to Head

2023-11-29 EC Bahia 0–1 São Paulo FC 2023-07-30 São Paulo FC 0–0 EC Bahia 2021-11-07 EC Bahia 1–0 São Paulo FC 2021-07-10 São Paulo FC 1–0 EC Bahia 2020-11-28 EC Bahia 1–3 São Paulo FC

EC Bahia Form

2023-11-29 EC Bahia 0–1 São Paulo FC L 2023-11-25 SC Corinthians Paulista 1–5 EC Bahia W 2023-11-12 EC Bahia 1–1 CA Paranaense D 2023-11-09 EC Bahia 0–3 Cuiaba EC L 2023-11-04 Gremio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia L 2023-10-31 EC Bahia 1–0 Fluminense FC W

São Paulo FC Form

2023-11-29 EC Bahia 0–1 São Paulo FC W 2023-11-26 São Paulo FC 0–0 Cuiaba EC D 2023-11-23 Fluminense FC 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2023-11-12 Santos FC 0–0 São Paulo FC D 2023-11-08 São Paulo FC 1–0 RB Bragantino W 2023-11-02 São Paulo FC 1–0 Cruzeiro EC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.93 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 69% + São Paulo FC or Draw 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia31% Draw33% São Paulo FC36%
Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.94
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
64%
Draw or São Paulo FC
69%
EC Bahia or São Paulo FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia21% Draw56% São Paulo FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.8%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12%
0 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 3
2.3%
1 – 3
2.3%
3 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 19% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 21% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.