Saturday , 26 September 2026

São Paulo FC vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
São Paulo FC
2 – 3
Full Time
SE Palmeiras
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 11' Raphael Veiga
Damian Bobadilla 22' Y
Y 55' Andreas Pereira
Pablo Maia 64' Y
Y 80' Vitor Roque
Enzo Diaz 80' Y
Y 90' Anibal Moreno
Y 91' Emiliano Martinez

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Morumbi.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 São Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

3
5
13
São Paulo FC 21 games · Avg 2.4 goals SE Palmeiras
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-05 São Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras 2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 São Paulo FC 2024-08-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 São Paulo FC 2024-04-29 São Paulo FC 0–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 São Paulo FC

Recent Form

São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct SE Palmeiras H 2–3 L
02 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
29 Sep Ceará SC H 0–1 L
21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
31 Aug Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct São Paulo FC A 3–2 W
01 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 3–0 W
28 Sep EC Bahia A 0–1 L
21 Sep Fortaleza EC H 4–1 W
13 Sep SC Internacional H 4–1 W
31 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D

Season Stats

São Paulo FC SE Palmeiras
#11 Position #2
36 Points 57
27 Played 28
10 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 16 / 9 / 3
32 Scored 47
30 Conceded 21
+2 GD +26
1.33 PPG 2.04
37% Win % 57%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 8 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Vitor Roque 5 G
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gustavo Gomez 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Morumbi that hosts another battle between Sao Paulo FC and SE Palmeiras.
  • 5' Sao Paulo FC have won 413 goals from 378 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 11' The referee has no hesitation. Raphael Veiga is booked for SE Palmeiras — card on 11.
  • 15' A goal from the Brazil international Luciano! He fires home on 15 to make it 1-0!
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sao Paulo FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 22' The referee has no hesitation. Damian Bobadilla is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 22.
  • 27' With 2 assists to his name this season, Anibal Moreno is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mauricio, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 34' GOAL! Gonzalo Tapia scores on 34. Assisted by Enzo Diaz
  • 39' SE Palmeiras fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Agustin Giay suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 46 minute. Raphael Veiga leaves to be changed by Mauricio.
  • 51' Alan Franco needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 33 Yellow cards this season.
  • 55' The referee calls foul for Andreas Pereira. He receives a card.
  • 55' Alisson gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Damian Bobadilla and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 60' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 64' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Pablo Maia.
  • 66' Rodrigo Huendra is replacing Marcos Antonio for the Sao Paulo FC side.
  • 70' What a strike from Vitor Roque! The score is 2-1.
  • 74' Magnificent from Jose Manuel Lopez! That is 32 goals in 169 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 79' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 79 minutes.
  • 80' The referee has no hesitation. Vitor Roque is booked for SE Palmeiras — card on 80.
  • 82' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 82 minute. Gonzalo Tapia leaves to be changed by Lucas Moura.
  • 87' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sao Paulo FC and SE Palmeiras are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 89' Ramon Sosa adds to his 3 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 2-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Anibal Moreno.
  • The final score is 2-3.

Lineups

São Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Breno Lopes 3
Luciano 3
Jose Manuel Lopez 3
Vitor Roque 3
Gabriel Menino 2
Dudu 2
Willian 2
Joaquin Piquerez 2

Head to Head

2025-10-05 São Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras 2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 São Paulo FC 2024-08-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 São Paulo FC 2024-04-29 São Paulo FC 0–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 São Paulo FC

São Paulo FC Form

2025-10-05 São Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras L 2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 São Paulo FC W 2025-09-29 São Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC L 2025-09-21 Santos FC 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-09-14 São Paulo FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2025-08-31 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 São Paulo FC L

SE Palmeiras Form

2025-10-05 São Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-10-01 SE Palmeiras 3–0 CR Vasco da Gama W 2025-09-28 EC Bahia 1–0 SE Palmeiras L 2025-09-21 SE Palmeiras 4–1 Fortaleza EC W 2025-09-13 SE Palmeiras 4–1 SC Internacional W 2025-08-31 SC Corinthians Paulista 1–1 SE Palmeiras D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.91 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC22% Draw27% SE Palmeiras51%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
50%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
78%
São Paulo FC or SE Palmeiras
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC16% Draw47% SE Palmeiras37%
Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 1
11.9%
0 – 2
10.1%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.1%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 13% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 47% — 53%
+1 47% 24% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
41% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.