Wednesday , 11 November 2026

São Paulo FC vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
São Paulo FC
2 – 3
Full Time
SE Palmeiras
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 11' Raphael Veiga
Damian Bobadilla 22' Y
Y 55' Andreas Pereira
Pablo Maia 64' Y
Y 80' Vitor Roque
Enzo Diaz 80' Y
Y 90' Anibal Moreno
Y 91' Emiliano Martinez

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Morumbi.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 34 76
2 SE Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro EC 34 60
4 Fluminense FC 34 57
5 CA Paranaense 34 54
6 EC Bahia 34 53
7 CA Mineiro 34 50
8 RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos FC 34 47
10 São Paulo FC 34 44
11 Botafogo FR 34 42
12 Coritiba FBC 34 42
13 CR Vasco da Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol FC 34 40
15 SC Internacional 34 38
16 EC Vitoria 34 38
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 34 37
18 Gremio FBPA 34 37
19 Clube do Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense AF 33 21

Head-to-Head

3
5
13
São Paulo FC 21 games · Avg 2.4 goals SE Palmeiras
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-05 São Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras 2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 São Paulo FC 2024-08-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 São Paulo FC 2024-04-29 São Paulo FC 0–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 São Paulo FC

Recent Form

São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct SE Palmeiras H 2–3 L
02 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
29 Sep Ceará SC H 0–1 L
21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
31 Aug Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct São Paulo FC A 3–2 W
01 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 3–0 W
28 Sep EC Bahia A 0–1 L
21 Sep Fortaleza EC H 4–1 W
13 Sep SC Internacional H 4–1 W
31 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D

Season Stats

São Paulo FC SE Palmeiras
#10 Position #2
44 Points 73
34 Played 34
12 / 8 / 14 W / D / L 21 / 10 / 3
39 Scored 62
39 Conceded 23
+0 GD +39
1.29 PPG 2.15
35% Win % 62%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
47% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 10 G 7 A
Mauricio 10 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 6 G 3 A
Vitor Roque 5 G 1 A
Allan 4 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and São Paulo FC launch into their encounter with SE Palmeiras.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. São Paulo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. São Paulo FC and SE Palmeiras are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 11' SE Palmeiras player sees a card in front of him.
  • 15' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Luciano makes it 0-1.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 22' A meaty challenge results in booking for Damian Bobadilla on 22.
  • 27' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 32' São Paulo FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 34' Assisted by Enzo Diaz with the perfectly-timed delivery and Gonzalo Tapia makes no mistake. 0-2!
  • 39' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 44' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both São Paulo FC and SE Palmeiras are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 46' Mauricio is replacing Raphael Veiga for the SE Palmeiras side.
  • 51' It is a cagey affair so far. São Paulo FC in their trying to find a way past SE Palmeiras's compact .
  • 55' Controversy at the stadium! Andreas Pereira argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 55' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Alisson comes on to replace Damian Bobadilla.
  • 60' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 64' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Pablo Maia.
  • 66' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Marcos Antonio by Rodrigo Huendra on 66 minute.
  • 70' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Vitor Roque makes it 0-3.
  • 74' Jose Manuel Lopez adds to his 8 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 0-4 — and this changes everything.
  • 79' Felipe Anderson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SE Palmeiras so far.
  • 80' A moment of madness from Vitor Roque on 80 minutes earns him a card. SE Palmeiras will be frustrated.
  • 82' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Gonzalo Tapia is replaced by Lucas Moura on 82 minute.
  • 87' It looks surprising SE Palmeiras does not make any changes. Marcos Antonio has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 89' GOAL! Ramon Sosa fires home to make it 0-5!
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Anibal Moreno on 90 minutes.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-3.

Lineups

São Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Breno Lopes 3
Luciano 3
Jose Manuel Lopez 3
Vitor Roque 3
Gabriel Menino 2
Dudu 2
Willian 2
Joaquin Piquerez 2

Head to Head

2025-10-05 São Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras 2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 São Paulo FC 2024-08-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 São Paulo FC 2024-04-29 São Paulo FC 0–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 São Paulo FC

São Paulo FC Form

2025-10-05 São Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras L 2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 São Paulo FC W 2025-09-29 São Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC L 2025-09-21 Santos FC 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-09-14 São Paulo FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2025-08-31 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 São Paulo FC L

SE Palmeiras Form

2025-10-05 São Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-10-01 SE Palmeiras 3–0 CR Vasco da Gama W 2025-09-28 EC Bahia 1–0 SE Palmeiras L 2025-09-21 SE Palmeiras 4–1 Fortaleza EC W 2025-09-13 SE Palmeiras 4–1 SC Internacional W 2025-08-31 SC Corinthians Paulista 1–1 SE Palmeiras D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.86 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC21% Draw26% SE Palmeiras53%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
47%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
79%
São Paulo FC or SE Palmeiras
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC15% Draw47% SE Palmeiras38%
Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 1
12.2%
1 – 1
12.1%
0 – 2
10.8%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 3
6%
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
2.8%
0 – 4
2.6%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 12% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 24% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 17% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
43% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.