Wednesday , 11 November 2026

Mirassol FC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 19 Oct 2025 · 21:30 UTC Campos Maia HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Mirassol FC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Campos Maia.

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
Mirassol FC 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals São Paulo FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct São Paulo FC H 3–0 W
15 Oct SC Internacional H 3–1 W
09 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–1 W
05 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–3 L
01 Oct RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
28 Sep CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Mirassol FC A 0–3 L
16 Oct Gremio FBPA A 0–2 L
05 Oct SE Palmeiras H 2–3 L
02 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
29 Sep Ceará SC H 0–1 L
21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Mirassol FC São Paulo FC
#14 Position #10
40 Points 44
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 12 / 8 / 14
39 Scored 39
48 Conceded 39
-9 GD +0
1.18 PPG 1.29
29% Win % 35%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Mirassol FC are 14th (40 pts). São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/6
16-30
7/2
31-45
7/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/8
76+
5/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 7 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A
São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Mirassol FC launch into their encounter with Sao Paulo FC.
  • 1' A goal from the Brazil international Alesson! He fires home on 1 to make it 1-0!
  • 6' Brazil international Marcos Antonio has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 11' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 16' A quiet spell here at Campos Maia. Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Sao Paulo FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 26' Sao Paulo FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 31' Cristian Renato has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 33' A moment of madness from Enzo Diaz on 33 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
  • 35' A goal from the Brazil international Reinaldo! He fires home on 35 to make it 2-0!
  • 40' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 40.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Carlos Eduardo is booked for Mirassol FC — card on 45.
  • 50' Sao Paulo FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 55' It’s high time Ivan Baitello made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 60' Danielzinho has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 69' Carlos Eduardo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 69 minutes.
  • 72' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Lucas Moura departs to be replaced by Emiliano Rigoni.
  • 73' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Gonzalo Tapia by Luciano on 73 minute.
  • 77' The crowd applauds Carlos Eduardo as he leaves the pitch. Matheus Bianqui steps in for Mirassol FC.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Mailton dos Santos. He replaces Maik on 81 minute.
  • 83' Robert Arboleda has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
  • 87' It’s a booking for Mirassol FC player. Neto Moura gets a card.
  • 89' Yago Felipe is replacing Alesson for the Mirassol FC side.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Yago Felipe argues furiously but the card stands.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Mirassol FC and Sao Paulo FC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.73 Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Mirassol FC to win 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mirassol FC60% Draw24% São Paulo FC16%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Mirassol FC or Draw
84%
Draw or São Paulo FC
40%
Mirassol FC or São Paulo FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mirassol FC41% Draw47% São Paulo FC12%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.5%
2 – 0
12.1%
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.3%
0 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
3.9%
2 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC

Handicap Mirassol FC covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 19% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 25% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.