Saturday , 26 September 2026

Mirassol FC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 19 Oct 2025 · 21:30 UTC Campos Maia HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Mirassol FC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Campos Maia.

Head-to-Head

2
1
Mirassol FC 3 games · Avg 2.0 goals São Paulo FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct São Paulo FC H 3–0 W
15 Oct SC Internacional H 3–1 W
09 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–1 W
05 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–3 L
01 Oct RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
28 Sep CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Mirassol FC A 0–3 L
16 Oct Gremio FBPA A 0–2 L
05 Oct SE Palmeiras H 2–3 L
02 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
29 Sep Ceará SC H 0–1 L
21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Mirassol FC São Paulo FC
#15 Position #11
32 Points 36
28 Played 27
8 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 10 / 6 / 11
33 Scored 32
42 Conceded 30
-9 GD +2
1.14 PPG 1.33
29% Win % 37%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Mirassol FC are 15th (32 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/5
16-30
7/2
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/8
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 6 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A
São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Mirassol FC is hosting Sao Paulo FC for another epic battle.
  • 1' The deadlock is broken! Alesson gets on the scoresheet on 1 minutes.
  • 6' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mailton dos Santos made 479 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 11' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Mirassol FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 16' Mirassol FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sao Paulo FC backline.
  • 21' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 26' It looks like no one’s ball. Sao Paulo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 31' Mirassol FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 33' The referee calls foul for Enzo Diaz. He receives a card.
  • 35' Against the run of play, Reinaldo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 40' Nahuel Ferraresi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 40.
  • 45' Carlos Eduardo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 55' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 60' Sao Paulo FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 65' Brazil international Neto Moura has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 69' What a moment for Carlos Eduardo! That strike on 69 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 72' Lucas Moura makes way for Emiliano Rigoni at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
  • 73' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luciano is hanging Gonzalo Tapia on the field on 73 minute.
  • 77' Matheus Bianqui is ready to make an impact after coming on for Carlos Eduardo at the 77 minute mark.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Maik is replaced by Mailton dos Santos on 81 minute.
  • 83' Robert Arboleda was booked on 83.
  • 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Neto Moura on 87 minutes.
  • 89' Mirassol FC make a change. Alesson trudges off to be replaced by Yago Felipe on 89 minutes.
  • 90' That is a card for Mirassol FC. Yago Felipe will be fuming at that decision.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Mirassol FC take all three points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.73 Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Mirassol FC to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mirassol FC59% Draw24% São Paulo FC17%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Mirassol FC or Draw
83%
Draw or São Paulo FC
41%
Mirassol FC or São Paulo FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mirassol FC40% Draw46% São Paulo FC14%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.7%
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.8%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC

Handicap Mirassol FC covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 18% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 25% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.