Wednesday , 11 November 2026

São Paulo FC vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
São Paulo FC
0 – 1
Full Time
Ceará SC
Mon 29 Sep 2025 · 23:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 37' Dieguinho
Y 52' Lourenco
Robert Arboleda 82' Y
Y 87' Guilherme Luiz
Juan Dinenno 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs Ceará SC — Serie A at Morumbi.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 34 76
2 SE Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro EC 34 60
4 Fluminense FC 34 57
5 CA Paranaense 34 54
6 EC Bahia 34 53
7 CA Mineiro 34 50
8 RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos FC 34 47
10 São Paulo FC 34 44
11 Botafogo FR 34 42
12 Coritiba FBC 34 42
13 CR Vasco da Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol FC 34 40
15 SC Internacional 34 38
16 EC Vitoria 34 38
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 34 37
18 Gremio FBPA 34 37
19 Clube do Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense AF 33 21

Head-to-Head

3
9
1
São Paulo FC 13 games · Avg 1.6 goals Ceará SC
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-29 São Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC 2025-04-26 Ceará SC 1–1 São Paulo FC 2022-09-18 Ceará SC 0–2 São Paulo FC 2022-05-28 São Paulo FC 2–2 Ceará SC 2021-10-14 São Paulo FC 1–1 Ceará SC

Recent Form

São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep Ceará SC H 0–1 L
21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
31 Aug Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
24 Aug CA Mineiro H 2–0 W
16 Aug SC Recife A 2–2 D
Ceará SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep São Paulo FC A 1–0 W
20 Sep EC Bahia H 1–1 D
14 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 2–2 D
30 Aug EC Juventude H 0–1 L
24 Aug Gremio FBPA A 0–0 D
16 Aug RB Bragantino H 1–0 W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
8% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Sao Paulo FC host Ceará SC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Morumbi. Ceará SC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Brazil international Vinicius Zanocelo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Rafael Toloi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Ceará SC.
  • 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rodrigo Huendra, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 31' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Jose Sabino on, Rafael Toloi off on 31 minutes.
  • 36' The travelling Ceará SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 37' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Dieguinho on 37 minutes.
  • 42' Cedric is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Ceará SC so far.
  • 46' Another change for Ceara SC made on 46 minute. Paulo Baya leaves to be changed by Pedro Henrique.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lourenco on 52.
  • 56' A stunning finish from Pedro Henrique — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 63' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Ferreira by Lucca Marques on 63 minute.
  • 68' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Ceará SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 70' Cedric makes way for Juan Dinenno at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
  • 72' The Ceara SC bench stirs into life. Dieguinho is withdrawn and Vinicius Zanocelo gets his opportunity.
  • 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 82' Robert Arboleda was booked on 82.
  • 85' Guilherme Luiz gets the nod from Ceara SC. He replaces Antonio Galeano and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' Ceara SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 87.
  • 90' Juan Dinenno picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' Vina is ready to make an impact after coming on for Pedro Raul at the 90 minute mark.
  • It finishes all square. Sao Paulo FC and Ceará SC share the spoils 0-1.

Lineups

São Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Ceará SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leo Condé

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jonathan Calleri 3
Gabriel Dias 2
Fabinho 2
Leo Chu 2
Pedro Henrique 2
Luciano 1
Jorginho 1
Bruno Peres 1

Head to Head

2025-09-29 São Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC 2025-04-26 Ceará SC 1–1 São Paulo FC 2022-09-18 Ceará SC 0–2 São Paulo FC 2022-05-28 São Paulo FC 2–2 Ceará SC 2021-10-14 São Paulo FC 1–1 Ceará SC

São Paulo FC Form

2025-09-29 São Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC L 2025-09-21 Santos FC 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-09-14 São Paulo FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2025-08-31 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-08-24 São Paulo FC 2–0 CA Mineiro W 2025-08-16 SC Recife 2–2 São Paulo FC D

Ceará SC Form

2025-09-29 São Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC W 2025-09-20 Ceará SC 1–1 EC Bahia D 2025-09-14 CR Vasco da Gama 2–2 Ceará SC D 2025-08-30 Ceará SC 0–1 EC Juventude L 2025-08-24 Gremio FBPA 0–0 Ceará SC D 2025-08-16 Ceará SC 1–0 RB Bragantino W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Ceará SC xG
I would bet for: São Paulo FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC37% Draw32% Ceará SC31%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Ceará SC
63%
São Paulo FC or Ceará SC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC26% Draw54% Ceará SC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
2.8%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push Ceará SC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 21% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.