São Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024

São Paulo FC

3 – 1

Full Time

EC Bahia

Sun 30 Jun 2024 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi 49,037 HT 45' · FT 45'

Jonathan Calleri 30' 1–0

Ferreira 32' 2–0

2–1 49' Gilberto

Luciano 65' 3–1

Ferreira 33' Y

Y 44' Kanu

Luciano 65' Y

Alisson 86' Y

Luiz Gustavo 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Morumbi.

São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	34	76
2	SE Palmeiras	34	73
3	Cruzeiro EC	34	60
4	Fluminense FC	34	57
5	CA Paranaense	34	54
6	EC Bahia	34	53
7	CA Mineiro	34	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	47
9	Santos FC	34	47
10	São Paulo FC	34	44
11	Botafogo FR	34	42
12	Coritiba FBC	34	42
13	CR Vasco da Gama	33	41
14	Mirassol FC	34	40
15	SC Internacional	34	38
16	EC Vitoria	34	38
17	SC Corinthians Paulista	34	37
18	Gremio FBPA	34	37
19	Clube do Remo	34	29
20	Chapecoense AF	33	21

Head-to-Head

São Paulo FC 19 games · Avg 2.3 goals EC Bahia

Last 5 meetings

2024-06-30 São Paulo FC 3–1 EC Bahia 2023-11-29 EC Bahia 0–1 São Paulo FC 2023-07-30 São Paulo FC 0–0 EC Bahia 2021-11-07 EC Bahia 1–0 São Paulo FC 2021-07-10 São Paulo FC 1–0 EC Bahia

Recent Form

São Paulo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Jun	EC Bahia	H	3–1	W
27 Jun	Criciúma EC	H	2–1	W
23 Jun	CR Vasco da Gama	A	1–4	L
19 Jun	Cuiabá EC	H	0–1	L
16 Jun	SC Corinthians Paulista	A	2–2	D
13 Jun	SC Internacional	A	0–0	D

EC Bahia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Jun	São Paulo FC	A	1–3	L
27 Jun	CR Vasco da Gama	H	2–1	W
23 Jun	Cruzeiro EC	H	4–1	W
20 Jun	CR Flamengo	A	1–2	L
16 Jun	Criciúma EC	A	2–2	D
14 Jun	Fortaleza EC	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

São Paulo FC		EC Bahia
#10	Position	#6
44	Points	53
34	Played	34
12 / 8 / 14	W / D / L	14 / 11 / 9
39	Scored	50
39	Conceded	45
+0	GD	+5
1.29	PPG	1.56
35%	Win %	41%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

32% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

4/4

31-45

8/6

46-60

–/11

61-75

7/2

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

EC Bahia

0-15

5/3

16-30

4/6

31-45

10/7

46-60

3/2

61-75

5/7

76+

9/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC

Jonathan Calleri	10 G	2 A
Luciano	9 G	1 A
Artur Guimaraes	4 G	1 A
Ferreira	4 G

EC Bahia

Luciano Juba	11 G	2 A
Jean Lucas	4 G	4 A
Erick	4 G
Everaldo	4 G
Willian Jose	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Sao Paulo FC welcome EC Bahia for this crunch clash at Morumbi.
5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rogério Ceni will be considering his options from the bench.
10' Sao Paulo FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rogério Ceni might look to freshen things up shortly.
20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gabriel Teixeira, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
30' Magnificent from Jonathan Calleri! That is 66 goals in 279 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
32' Against the run of play, Ferreira has scored! This game has turned on its head.
33' A moment of madness from Ferreira on 33 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
38' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
43' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
44' Controversy at the stadium! Kanu argues furiously but the card stands.
49' Goal! Gilberto scores his 18 goal in 404 matches.
54' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
59' Ademir Santos has been relatively quiet despite scoring 35 goals in his last 161 appearances.
61' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Jean Lucas is replaced by Gabriel Teixeira on 61 minute.
65' Luciano doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
65' Luciano picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
69' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Everton Ribeiro exits the field as Carlos De Pena enters on 69.
70' Everaldo makes way for Oscar Estupinan at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
75' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
80' Caio Alexandre is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
84' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 84 minute. Welington leaves to be changed by Patryck.
86' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Alisson gets a card.
89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Luiz Gustavo.
90' The supporters are chanting for Juan Santos. He replaces Luciano on 90 minute.
With this win, Sao Paulo FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

São Paulo FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

EC Bahia Lineups

4-1-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rogério Ceni

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luciano	6
Lucas Moura	2
Edigar Junio	2
Edigar Junio	2
Damian Bobadilla	2
Ferreira	2
Willian Jose	2
Diego Souza	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.55 São Paulo FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.05 EC Bahia xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

São Paulo FC50% Draw27% EC Bahia23%

Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.6

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw

76%

Draw or EC Bahia

50%

São Paulo FC or EC Bahia

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

São Paulo FC34% Draw47% EC Bahia19%

Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13%

1 – 0

10.6%

0 – 0

9.5%

2 – 1

2 – 0

8.7%

0 – 1

6.8%

1 – 2

6.1%

2 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

4.4%

0 – 2

3 – 2

2.6%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap	São Paulo FC covers	Push	EC Bahia covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	15%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	23%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	15%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

São Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

São Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

EC Bahia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

São Paulo FC Form

EC Bahia Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Clean Sheet