São Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | EC Bahia | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Jun | Criciúma EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jun | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Jun | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jun | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Jun | SC Internacional | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | São Paulo FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Jun | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Jun | CR Flamengo | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Jun | Criciúma EC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Jun | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| São Paulo FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #5 |
| 36 | Points | 46 |
| 27 | Played | 28 |
| 10 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 32 | Scored | 43 |
| 30 | Conceded | 35 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 37% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Sao Paulo FC and EC Bahia has kicked off!
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gabriel Teixeira suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' Sao Paulo FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against EC Bahia's 4-1-3-2 shape.
- 25' With 2 assists to his name this season, Jean Lucas is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
- 30' Brilliant from the ! Jonathan Calleri makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 30.
- 32' Goal! Ferreira scores his 25 goal in 332 matches.
- 33' Ferreira catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 33.
- 38' Everaldo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
- 43' EC Bahia has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 44' A moment of madness from Kanu on 44 minutes earns him a card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- 49' Gilberto has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 49 minutes.
- 54' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 59' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 61' Gabriel Teixeira is replacing Jean Lucas for the EC Bahia side.
- 65' A goal from the Brazil international Luciano! He fires home on 65 to make it 3-1!
- 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Luciano on 65.
- 69' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Everton Ribeiro is replaced by Carlos De Pena.
- 70' Oscar Estupinan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Everaldo at the 70 minute mark.
- 75' A quiet spell here at Morumbi. Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 80' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sao Paulo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 84' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Welington exits the field as Patryck enters on 84.
- 86' Sao Paulo FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
- 89' Luiz Gustavo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 89.
- 90' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Juan Santos on, Luciano off on 90 minutes.
- 3-1 the final result. EC Bahia will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 93
- 5
- 2
- 7
- 16
- 9
- 28
- 47
- 6
Bench
- 33
- 35
- 8
- 17
- 11
- 36
- 15
- 27
- 4
- 50
- 31
- –
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-3-2Starting XI
- 16
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 61'
- 10
- 2
- 22
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Ademir Santos 70'
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Oscar Estupinan 70'
- 19
- 46
- 3
Bench
- 20
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 70'
- 15
-
29
Oscar Estupinan ↑ 70'
- 40
- 21
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 69'
- 33
-
11
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 61'
- 23
- 5
- 66
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Rossi | 1 |
| Caio Paulista | 1 |
| Damian Bobadilla | 1 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
76%
Draw or EC Bahia
51%
São Paulo FC or EC Bahia
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: São Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 23% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.