EC Bahia vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Alex Gomes Stefano (Brazil)
- Assistant 1 Guilherme Dias (Brazil)
- Assistant 2 Luiz Claudio Regazzone
6 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 6.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | São Paulo FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | Criciúma EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | Fortaleza EC | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | Criciúma EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | Cuiabá EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | Botafogo FR | H | 5–6 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #10 |
| 53 | Points | 44 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 11 / 9 | W / D / L | 12 / 8 / 14 |
| 50 | Scored | 39 |
| 45 | Conceded | 39 |
| +5 | GD | +0 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 41% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and EC Bahia launch into their encounter with São Paulo FC.
- 5' The 35-year-old Robert Arboleda has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and São Paulo FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 35' Kanu has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 36' Sao Paulo FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 36.
- 41' Luiz Gustavo doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 46' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and São Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 51' It’s gonna be a card for Jean Lucas.
- 55' Jose Sabino picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 59' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Jamal Lewis is replaced by Robert Arboleda.
- 61' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Kanu gets a card.
- 61' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Nicolas Acevedo on, Jean Lucas off on 61 minutes.
- 62' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Cauly departs to be replaced by Rafael Ratao.
- 63' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Ferreira is withdrawn and Wellington Rato gets his opportunity.
- 66' Brilliant from the ! Wellington Rato makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 66.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Carlos De Pena. He replaces Caio Alexandre on 70 minute.
- 75' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 80' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with EC Bahia winning 50% of all matches.
- 81' The referee shows EC Bahia player a card on 81.
- 82' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Igor Vinicius departs to be replaced by Rafinha.
- 87' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from São Paulo FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Nicolas Acevedo 61'
- 10
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Everaldo 62'
- 22
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Rafael Ratao 62'
- 13
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↓ Carlos De Pena 70'
- 46
- 3
- 17
Bench
- 20
- 2
- 31
- 15
- 40
-
21
Rafael Ratao ↑ 62'
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 62'
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 70'
- 33
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 61'
- 23
- 77
São Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Luciano ↓ Rodrigo Nestor 82'
-
2
Igor Vinicius ↓ Rafinha 82'
- 7
-
3
Jamal Lewis ↓ Robert Arboleda 59'
- 16
- 9
-
20
Marcos Antonio ↓ Liziero 59'
- 28
- 35
-
47
Ferreira ↓ Wellington Rato 63'
- 23
Bench
- 33
- 93
-
5
Robert Arboleda ↑ 59'
-
26
Liziero ↑ 59'
-
13
Rafinha ↑ 82'
- 17
- 32
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 82'
- 22
-
27
Wellington Rato ↑ 63'
- 39
- 21
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Damian Bobadilla | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Lucas Moura | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Rossi | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.98
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
São Paulo FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
56%
Draw or São Paulo FC
73%
EC Bahia or São Paulo FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: São Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 1
11.9%
0 – 0
11.5%
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
8%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
4%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 16% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 23% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

