EC Bahia vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Alex Gomes Stefano (Brazil)
- Assistant 1 Guilherme Dias (Brazil)
- Assistant 2 Luiz Claudio Regazzone
4 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 4.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | São Paulo FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | Criciúma EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | Fortaleza EC | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | Criciúma EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | Cuiaba EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | Botafogo FR | H | 5–6 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #11 |
| 46 | Points | 36 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 11 |
| 43 | Scored | 32 |
| 35 | Conceded | 30 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 43% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for EC Bahia to score. At the same time, Sao Paulo FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Sao Paulo FC have won 411 goals from 377 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' Brazil international Marcos Felipe has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Moura, as he is very good at scoring at Arena Fonte Nova with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Bahia and Sao Paulo FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 35' EC Bahia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
- 36' That is a card for Sao Paulo FC. Marcos Antonio will be fuming at that decision.
- 41' A stunning finish from Luiz Gustavo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 46' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sao Paulo FC that had 377 games and scored 411 goals.
- 51' Controversy at the stadium! Jean Lucas argues furiously but the card stands.
- 55' The referee calls foul for Jose Sabino. He receives a card.
- 59' Jamal Lewis makes way for Robert Arboleda at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
- 61' Controversy at the stadium! Kanu argues furiously but the card stands.
- 61' Nicolas Acevedo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jean Lucas on 61 minute.
- 62' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Cauly by Rafael Ratao on 62 minute.
- 63' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Ferreira departs to be replaced by Wellington Rato.
- 66' Goal! Wellington Rato scores his 13 goal in 152 matches.
- 70' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Carlos De Pena on, Caio Alexandre off on 70 minutes.
- 75' EC Bahia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 80' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alan Franco is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
- 81' A meaty challenge results in booking for Gabriel Xavier on 81.
- 82' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Rafinha comes on to replace Igor Vinicius.
- 87' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 0-3 the final result. EC Bahia will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Nicolas Acevedo 61'
- 10
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Everaldo 62'
- 22
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Rafael Ratao 62'
- 13
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↓ Carlos De Pena 70'
- 46
- 3
- 17
Bench
- 20
- 2
- 31
- 15
- 40
-
21
Rafael Ratao ↑ 62'
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 62'
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 70'
- 33
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 61'
- 23
- 77
São Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Luciano ↓ Rodrigo Nestor 82'
-
2
Igor Vinicius ↓ Rafinha 82'
- 7
-
3
Jamal Lewis ↓ Robert Arboleda 59'
- 16
- 9
-
20
Marcos Antonio ↓ Liziero 59'
- 28
- 35
-
47
Ferreira ↓ Wellington Rato 63'
- 23
Bench
- 33
- 93
-
5
Robert Arboleda ↑ 59'
-
26
Liziero ↑ 59'
-
13
Rafinha ↑ 82'
- 17
- 32
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 82'
- 22
-
27
Wellington Rato ↑ 63'
- 39
- 21
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Rossi | 1 |
| Luiz Gustavo | 1 |
| Wellington Rato | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.99
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
São Paulo FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
57%
Draw or São Paulo FC
73%
EC Bahia or São Paulo FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: São Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 1
11.8%
0 – 0
11.6%
0 – 2
8.6%
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

