AC Milan vs SSC Napoli, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs SSC Napoli — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- SSC Napoli 38 games · 76 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Andrea Colombo (Italy)
- Assistant 1 Alessio Berti
- Assistant 2 Valerio Vecchi
5 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 6.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | SSC Napoli | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | Club Brugge KV | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | ACF Fiorentina | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | US Lecce | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | SSC Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #2 |
| 70 | Points | 76 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 23 / 7 / 8 |
| 53 | Scored | 58 |
| 35 | Conceded | 36 |
| +18 | GD | +22 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 53% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). SSC Napoli are 2nd (76 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! AC Milan welcome SSC Napoli for this crunch clash at Giuseppe Meazza.
- 5' Assisted by Andre Zambo Anguissa with the perfectly-timed delivery and Romelu Lukaku makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and SSC Napoli are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' Mike Maignan, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past SSC Napoli's compact 4-3-3.
- 30' It’s high time Antonio Conte made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Paulo Fonseca might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 40' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
- 43' The Georgia Khvicha Kvaratskhelia breaks the deadlock on 43 minutes. 0-2!
- 48' Italy international Filippo Terracciano has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 53' Youssouf Fofana is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Milan so far.
- 58' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 63' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Noah Okafor exits the field as Rafael Leao enters on 63.
- 68' Over 68 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 69' Matteo Politano makes way for Pasquale Mazzocchi at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from SSC Napoli.
- 73' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mathias Olivera on 73.
- 77' SSC Napoli ring the changes. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has done his job and it is now time for Giovanni Simeone to step up.
- 82' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SSC Napoli backline.
- 87' Francesco Camarda is replacing Ruben Loftus-Cheek for the AC Milan side.
- 90' Time for substitution for SSC Napoli. Billy Gilmour is replaced by Michael Folorunsho.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SSC Napoli players.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 22
- 7
- 8
- 29
- 16
- 21
-
17
Noah Okafor ↓ Rafael Leao 63'
- 31
- 28
- 42
- 80
Bench
- 23
-
10
Rafael Leao ↑ 63'
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↑ 63'
- 2
- 57
- 33
- 18
- 20
-
73
Francesco Camarda ↑ 87'
- 96
- 30
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
SSC Napoli Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
11
Romelu Lukaku ↓ David Neres 77'
- 8
- 99
- 1
- 21
- 4
- 22
- 17
- 13
- 77
- 6
Bench
-
30
Pasquale Mazzocchi ↑ 69'
-
7
David Neres ↑ 77'
- 37
-
18
Giovanni Simeone ↑ 77'
- 25
- 26
- 81
- 5
-
90
Michael Folorunsho ↑ 90'
- 16
-
23
Alessio Zerbin ↑ 90'
- 12
Coach
Antonio Conte
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Matteo Politano | 5 |
| Olivier Giroud | 5 |
| Dries Mertens | 3 |
| Giacomo Bonaventura | 2 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Piotr Zielinski | 2 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.07
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
SSC Napoli xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or SSC Napoli 68% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SSC Napoli win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
65%
Draw or SSC Napoli
67%
AC Milan or SSC Napoli
68%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SSC Napoli win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
13.7%
0 – 1
11.2%
1 – 0
10.9%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
2.5%
0 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | SSC Napoli covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 20% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 20% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.