AC Monza vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Ermanno Feliciani (Italy)
- Assistant 1 Filippo Bercigli
- Assistant 2 Pierantonio Perotti
5 games this season
🟨 2.4/game
⚽ 7.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | AC Milan | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Oct | Atalanta BC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | Venezia FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Oct | Hellas Verona FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | AS Roma | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Sep | SSC Napoli | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | AC Monza | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | SSC Napoli | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | Club Brugge KV | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | ACF Fiorentina | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Monza | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #4 |
| 7 | Points | 24 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 2 / 1 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 1 |
| 17 | Scored | 23 |
| 25 | Conceded | 13 |
| -8 | GD | +10 |
| 0.64 | PPG | 2.18 |
| 18% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
10%
Clean Sheets
AC Monza this season
AC Monza this season
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
AC Monza are 18th (7 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Monza
0-15
1/5
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/5
46-60
4/6
61-75
3/5
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Monza
| Gustavo Varela | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jay Robinson | 2 G | 1 A |
| Andrea Colpani | 1 G |
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. AC Monza is hosting AC Milan for another epic battle.
- 5' The 28-year-old Christian Pulisic has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mattia Valoti, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Brianteo with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 526 games and scored 619 goals.
- 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 25' Theo Hernandez, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 30' Samuel Chukwueze is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Monza tonight.
- 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paulo Fonseca will be considering his options from the bench.
- 40' AC Milan is showing some good football. However, AC Milan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 43' What composure from Tijjani Reijnders! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 47' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alvaro Morata on 47 minutes.
- 52' Poor challenge from Milan Duric. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 57' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 62' With 0 assists to his name this season, Stefano Turati is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Monza.
- 63' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rafael Leao is hanging Noah Okafor on the field on 63 minute.
- 65' The AC Monza manager makes a substitution. Dany Mota Carvalho departs to be replaced by Samuele Vignato.
- 70' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Davide Calabria suffering a number of foals already.
- 75' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 78' AC Monza ring the changes. Milan Duric has done his job and it is now time for Mirko Maric to step up.
- 81' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Ruben Loftus-Cheek comes on to replace Samuel Chukwueze.
- 83' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Warren Bondo on 83 minutes.
- 87' The AC Monza bench stirs into life. Warren Bondo is withdrawn and Mattia Valoti gets his opportunity.
- 89' Yunus Musah gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Christian Pulisic and will look to change the dynamic.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
AC Monza Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 47
- 22
- 4
- 13
-
11
Milan Duric ↓ Mirko Maric 78'
- 30
- 14
- 44
-
38
Warren Bondo ↓ Mattia Valoti 87'
- 42
- 77
Bench
- 5
- 21
- 32
-
33
Danilo D'Ambrosio ↑ 65'
-
27
Mattia Valoti ↑ 87'
-
10
Gianluca Caprari ↑ 78'
- 19
-
24
Mirko Maric ↑ 78'
-
80
Samuele Vignato ↑ 65'
- 84
- 69
- 52
Coach
Alessandro Nesta
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 7
- 29
- 16
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↓ Yunus Musah 89'
- 19
- 21
-
17
Noah Okafor ↓ Rafael Leao 63'
- 31
- 28
- 42
Bench
- 22
- 90
-
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↑ 81'
- 23
-
10
Rafael Leao ↑ 63'
-
2
Davide Calabria ↑ 89'
- 57
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 89'
- 73
- 96
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brahim Diaz | 2 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 2 |
| Divock Origi | 1 |
| Matteo Pessina | 1 |
| Lorenzo Colombo | 1 |
| Rafael Leao | 1 |
| Warren Bondo | 1 |
| Filippo Ranocchia | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Monza Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14
AC Monza xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.24
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
AC Monza or Draw
46%
Draw or AC Milan
78%
AC Monza or AC Milan
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
7%
0 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
2 – 1
4.8%
0 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 4
4%
0 – 4
3.5%
Asian Handicap — AC Monza
| Handicap | AC Monza covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +1 | 39% | 22% | 39% |
| +1.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +2 | 61% | 18% | 21% |
| +2.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
Clean Sheet
AC Monza keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.