AC Monza vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Ermanno Feliciani (Italy)
- Assistant 1 Filippo Bercigli
- Assistant 2 Pierantonio Perotti
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | AC Milan | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Oct | Atalanta BC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | Venezia FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Oct | Hellas Verona FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | AS Roma | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Sep | SSC Napoli | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | AC Monza | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | SSC Napoli | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | Club Brugge KV | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | ACF Fiorentina | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Monza | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #5 |
| 4 | Points | 11 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 1 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 0 |
| 8 | Scored | 10 |
| 12 | Conceded | 4 |
| -4 | GD | +6 |
| 0.80 | PPG | 2.20 |
| 20% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
AC Monza this season
AC Monza this season
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
AC Monza are 16th (4 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Monza
0-15
–/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/3
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Monza
| Gustavo Varela | 4 G |
| Andrea Colpani | 1 G |
| Jay Robinson | 1 G |
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! AC Monza welcome AC Milan for this crunch clash at Stadio Brianteo.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 30' Strahinja Pavlovic is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Monza so far.
- 35' AC Monza currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 40' AC Monza is showing some good football. However, AC Monza are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 43' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Tijjani Reijnders makes it 0-1.
- 47' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 47.
- 52' Milan Duric is having his name booked by the referee on 52.
- 57' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 62' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 63' The supporters are chanting for Rafael Leao. He replaces Noah Okafor on 63 minute.
- 65' The whistle greets Dany Mota Carvalho as he departs to be replaced by Samuele Vignato.
- 70' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 521 games and scored 609 goals.
- 75' AC Milan come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 78' AC Monza ring the changes. Milan Duric has done his job and it is now time for Mirko Maric to step up.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for Ruben Loftus-Cheek. He replaces Samuel Chukwueze on 81 minute.
- 83' The referee calls foul for Warren Bondo. He receives a card.
- 87' Mattia Valoti gets the nod from AC Monza. He replaces Warren Bondo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 89' Yunus Musah gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Christian Pulisic and will look to change the dynamic.
- 0-1 the final result. AC Monza will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
AC Monza Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 47
- 22
- 4
- 13
-
11
Milan Duric ↓ Mirko Maric 78'
- 30
- 14
- 44
-
38
Warren Bondo ↓ Mattia Valoti 87'
- 42
- 77
Bench
- 5
- 21
- 32
-
33
Danilo D'Ambrosio ↑ 65'
-
27
Mattia Valoti ↑ 87'
-
10
Gianluca Caprari ↑ 78'
- 19
-
24
Mirko Maric ↑ 78'
-
80
Samuele Vignato ↑ 65'
- 84
- 69
- 52
Coach
Alessandro Nesta
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 7
- 29
- 16
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↓ Yunus Musah 89'
- 19
- 21
-
17
Noah Okafor ↓ Rafael Leao 63'
- 31
- 28
- 42
Bench
- 22
- 90
-
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↑ 81'
- 23
-
10
Rafael Leao ↑ 63'
-
2
Davide Calabria ↑ 89'
- 57
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 89'
- 73
- 96
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brahim Diaz | 2 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 2 |
| Christian Pulisic | 1 |
| Dany Mota Carvalho | 1 |
| Divock Origi | 1 |
| Matteo Pessina | 1 |
| Lorenzo Colombo | 1 |
| Rafael Leao | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Monza Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.97
AC Monza xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.36
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + AC Milan to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
AC Monza or Draw
41%
Draw or AC Milan
81%
AC Monza or AC Milan
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
9.9%
1 – 2
9.3%
1 – 1
9%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 3
7.6%
1 – 3
7.3%
0 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 4
4.5%
1 – 4
4.4%
2 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — AC Monza
| Handicap | AC Monza covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 9% | 87% |
| -0.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| +0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +1 | 33% | 22% | 45% |
| +1.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +2 | 55% | 20% | 25% |
| +2.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
Clean Sheet
AC Monza keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

