Sunday , 16 August 2026

Real Madrid CF vs AC Milan, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

UEFA Champions League · 2024-25
Real Madrid CF
1 – 3
Full Time
AC Milan
Tue 5 Nov 2024 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 75,561 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Malick Thiaw
Vinicius Junior pen 23' 1–1
1–2 39' Alvaro Morata
1–3 73' Tijjani Reijnders
Y 21' Alvaro Morata
Eduardo Camavinga 58' Y
Eder Militao 68' Y
Lucas Vazquez 68' Y
Vinicius Junior 71' Y
Y 85' Youssouf Fofana

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs AC Milan — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Slavko Vincic
  • Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
  • Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
18 games this season 🟨 3.1/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Arsenal FC 8 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 21
3 Liverpool FC 8 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur FC 8 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 16
6 Chelsea FC 8 16
7 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 16
8 Manchester City FC 8 16
9 Real Madrid CF 8 15
10 FC Internazionale Milano 8 15
11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 8 14
12 Newcastle United FC 8 14
13 Juventus FC 8 13
14 Club Atlético de Madrid 8 13
15 Atalanta BC 8 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 11
18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 8 11
19 Club Brugge KV 8 10
20 Galatasaray SK 8 10
21 AS Monaco FC 8 10
22 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 8 10
23 FK Bodo/Glimt 8 9
24 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 8 9
25 Olympique de Marseille 8 9
26 Paphos FC 8 9
27 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 9
28 PSV 8 8
29 Athletic Club 8 8
30 SSC Napoli 8 8
31 FC Kobenhavn 8 8
32 AFC Ajax 8 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 4
34 SK Slavia Praha 8 3
35 Villarreal CF 8 1
36 FK Kairat 8 1

Head-to-Head

1
Real Madrid CF 1 games · Avg 4.0 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2024-11-05 Real Madrid CF 1–3 AC Milan

Recent Form

Real Madrid CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov AC Milan H 1–3 L
26 Oct FC Barcelona H 0–4 L
22 Oct Borussia Dortmund H 5–2 W
19 Oct RC Celta de Vigo A 2–1 W
05 Oct Villarreal CF H 2–0 W
02 Oct Lille OSC A 0–1 L
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Real Madrid CF A 3–1 W
02 Nov AC Monza A 1–0 W
29 Oct SSC Napoli H 0–2 L
22 Oct Club Brugge KV H 3–1 W
19 Oct Udinese Calcio H 1–0 W
06 Oct ACF Fiorentina A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 15 G 1 A
Vinicius Junior 5 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Real Madrid CF and AC Milan is underway.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 12' Malick Thiaw does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
  • 17' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 21' It’s gonna be a card for Alvaro Morata.
  • 23' Vinicius Junior makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Real Madrid CF are in front.
  • 28' Andriy Lunin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 33' Antonio Rudiger has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 23 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 38' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 39' What composure from Alvaro Morata! The Spain international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • 44' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 46' Eduardo Camavinga gets the nod from Real Madrid CF. He replaces Aurelien Tchouameni and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' AC Milan come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 56' Christian Pulisic, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 58' It’s gonna be a card for Eduardo Camavinga.
  • 63' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Luka Modric is replaced by Dani Ceballos on 63 minute.
  • 68' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Eder Militao on 68 minutes.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Tammy Abraham. He replaces Alvaro Morata on 70 minute.
  • 71' It’s gonna be a card for Vinicius Junior.
  • 73' What a moment for Tijjani Reijnders! That strike on 73 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 74' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Ferland Mendy by Fran Garcia on 74 minute.
  • 77' The whistle greets Rafael Leao as he departs to be replaced by Noah Okafor.
  • 82' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Strahinja Pavlovic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 85' Youssouf Fofana was booked on 85.
  • 90' Emerson Royal makes way for Davide Calabria at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 1-3 the final result. Real Madrid CF will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paulo Fonseca

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.28 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF28% Draw26% AC Milan46%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
55%
Draw or AC Milan
72%
Real Madrid CF or AC Milan
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF21% Draw43% AC Milan36%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.4%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.9%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 21% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.