Real Madrid CF vs AC Milan, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs AC Milan — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- AC Milan 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Slavko Vincic
- Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
- Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
9 games this season
🟨 5.4/game
⚽ 12.8 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern Munchen | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | AC Milan | H | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Oct | FC Barcelona | H | 0–4 | L |
| 22 Oct | Borussia Dortmund | H | 5–2 | W |
| 19 Oct | RC Celta de Vigo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | Villarreal CF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Oct | Lille OSC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | Real Madrid CF | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | AC Monza | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | SSC Napoli | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | Club Brugge KV | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | ACF Fiorentina | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 G | 1 A |
| Federico Valverde | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Santiago Bernabeu will turn into a battlefield for Real Madrid CF and AC Milan.
- 5' Kylian Mbappe, a France , has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 12' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Malick Thiaw makes it 0-1.
- 17' Real Madrid CF currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 21' The referee has no hesitation. Alvaro Morata is booked for AC Milan — card on 21.
- 23' Vinicius Junior does the damage! The net is bulging and Real Madrid CF surge ahead!
- 28' The home supporters are growing impatient. Real Madrid CF must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 33' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 38' Tijjani Reijnders needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 12 Yellow cards this season.
- 39' A goal from the Spain international Alvaro Morata! He fires home on 39 to make it 1-2!
- 44' Over 44 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 46' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Aurelien Tchouameni departs to be replaced by Eduardo Camavinga.
- 51' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 56' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 58' That is a card for Real Madrid CF. Eduardo Camavinga will be fuming at that decision.
- 63' The crowd applauds Luka Modric as he leaves the pitch. Dani Ceballos steps in for Real Madrid CF.
- 68' Controversy at the stadium! Eder Militao argues furiously but the card stands.
- 70' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Alvaro Morata departs to be replaced by Tammy Abraham.
- 71' That looks like a foul for a card for Vinicius Junior.
- 73' What a moment for Tijjani Reijnders! That strike on 73 puts his side firmly in control.
- 74' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Ferland Mendy exits the field as Fran Garcia enters on 74.
- 77' AC Milan ring the changes. Rafael Leao has done his job and it is now time for Noah Okafor to step up.
- 82' USA international Yunus Musah has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 85' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 85.
- 90' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Emerson Royal is replaced by Davide Calabria.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AC Milan players.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
- 9
-
23
Ferland Mendy ↓ Fran Garcia 74'
- 14
- 13
-
10
Luka Modric ↓ Dani Ceballos 63'
- 17
-
8
Federico Valverde ↓ Brahim Diaz 46'
- 7
- 3
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↓ Rodrygo 74'
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 46'
- 18
-
19
Dani Ceballos ↑ 63'
-
11
Rodrygo ↑ 74'
-
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 46'
- 15
- 16
- 34
-
20
Fran Garcia ↑ 74'
- 26
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
-
22
Emerson Royal ↓ Davide Calabria 90'
-
7
Alvaro Morata ↓ Tammy Abraham 70'
- 23
- 29
- 16
-
10
Rafael Leao ↓ Noah Okafor 77'
- 11
- 19
- 28
- 80
Bench
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↑ 70'
-
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↑ 70'
- 21
-
2
Davide Calabria ↑ 90'
- 57
-
17
Noah Okafor ↑ 77'
-
31
Strahinja Pavlovic ↑ 90'
- 42
- 73
- 96
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 1 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 1 |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 |
| Malick Thiaw | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.28
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
55%
Draw or AC Milan
72%
Real Madrid CF or AC Milan
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.4%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.9%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 21% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.