Saturday , 29 August 2026

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara, RFPL 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2026-27
Sat 29 Aug 2026 · 17:00 UTC

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May PFK Sochi A 1–1 D
10 May FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 1–1 D
03 May FK Nizhny Novgorod H 2–0 W
26 Apr FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–2 L
23 Apr FK Baltika Kaliningrad H 1–1 D
19 Apr FK Spartak Moskva A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May FK Akron Tolyatti H 4–1 W
10 May FK Orenburg A 0–1 L
01 May FK Spartak Moskva H 2–1 W
25 Apr FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 2–0 W
21 Apr PFK Sochi A 1–2 L
18 Apr PFC CSKA Moskva H 1–1 D

Season Stats

RFK Akhmat Grozny PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
#9 Position #11
37 Points 32
30 Played 30
9 / 10 / 11 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 14
35 Scored 35
39 Conceded 50
-4 GD -15
1.23 PPG 1.07
30% Win % 27%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts).

H2H

Predictions

1.68 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

RFK Akhmat Grozny51% Draw26% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara23%

Both Teams to Score

Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.66

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
78%
Draw or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
49%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
74%

Half-Time Result

RFK Akhmat Grozny37% Draw46% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara17%

Correct Score

1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.3%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap RFK Akhmat Grozny covers Push PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 23% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
38%
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.