VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

VfL Wolfsburg

2 – 2

Full Time

Holstein Kiel

Fri 24 Jan 2025 · 19:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 22,103 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 13' David Zec

Patrick Wimmer 50' 1–1

Jonas Wind 53' 2–1

2–2 80' Steven Skrzybski

Y 23' David Zec

Patrick Wimmer 60' Y

Joakim Maehle 90' Y

Y 90' Nicolai Remberg

Y 90' Jann-Fiete Arp

Y 90' Benedikt Pichler

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Sven Jablonski
Assistant 1 Lasse Koslowski
Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger

25 games this season 🟨 0.6/game ⚽ 4.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 3 games · Avg 2.3 goals Holstein Kiel

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-24 VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 Holstein Kiel 2024-08-31 Holstein Kiel 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Jan	Holstein Kiel	H	2–2	D
18 Jan	FC Bayern München	A	2–3	L
14 Jan	Borussia Monchengladbach	H	5–1	W
11 Jan	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	1–0	W
22 Dec	Borussia Dortmund	H	1–3	L
13 Dec	SC Freiburg	A	2–3	L

Holstein Kiel

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Jan	VfL Wolfsburg	A	2–2	D
18 Jan	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	1–3	L
14 Jan	Borussia Dortmund	H	4–2	W
11 Jan	SC Freiburg	A	2–3	L
21 Dec	FC Augsburg	H	5–1	W
14 Dec	Borussia Monchengladbach	A	1–4	L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfL Wolfsburg

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/2

46-60

2/3

61-75

–/3

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. VfL Wolfsburg is hosting Holstein Kiel for another epic battle.
5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
13' What a moment for David Zec! That strike on 13 puts his side firmly in control.
18' Over 18 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
23' That looks like a foul for a card for David Zec.
28' Andu Yobel Kelati is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Holstein Kiel so far.
33' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
38' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
43' VfL Wolfsburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Holstein Kiel backline.
46' Another change for VfL Wolfsburg made on 46 minute. Kilian Fischer leaves to be changed by Patrick Wimmer.
50' Goal! Patrick Wimmer scores his 17 goal in 4 matches.
53' Against the run of play, Jonas Wind has scored! This game has turned on its head.
58' It’s high time Ralph Hasenhuttl made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
59' Shuto Machino makes way for Steven Skrzybski at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Holstein Kiel.
60' It’s a booking for VfL Wolfsburg player. Patrick Wimmer gets a card.
65' VfL Wolfsburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
68' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Magnus Knudsen departs to be replaced by Jann-Fiete Arp.
71' Fresh legs for VfL Wolfsburg! Sebastiaan Bornauw comes on to replace Mattias Svanberg.
76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Holstein Kiel that had 277 games and scored 170 goals.
79' Holstein Kiel make a change. Dominik Javorcek trudges off to be replaced by John Tolkin on 79 minutes.
80' A goal from the Germany international Steven Skrzybski! He fires home on 80 to make it 2-2!
83' Tiago Tomas makes way for Aster Vranckx at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfL Wolfsburg.
87' Fresh legs for VfL Wolfsburg! Lukas Nmecha comes on to replace Konstantinos Koulierakis.
90' The referee calls foul for Joakim Maehle. He receives a card.
The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

4-1-3-2

Starting XI

1
Kamil Grabara
27
Maximilian Arnold
31
Yannick Gerhardt ↓ Andreas Skov Olsen 46'
32
Mattias Svanberg ↓ Sebastiaan Bornauw 71'
21
Joakim Maehle
18
Denis Vavro
23
Jonas Wind
11
Tiago Tomas ↓ Aster Vranckx 83'
2
Kilian Fischer ↓ Patrick Wimmer 46'
9
Mohammed Amoura
4
Konstantinos Koulierakis ↓ Lukas Nmecha 87'

Bench

Coach Ralph Hasenhuttl

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

18
Shuto Machino ↓ Steven Skrzybski 59'
1
Timon Weiner
24
Magnus Knudsen ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 68'
8
Finn Porath
17
Timo Becker
3
Marco Komenda
33
Dominik Javorcek ↓ John Tolkin 79'
22
Nicolai Remberg
19
Phil Harres ↓ Benedikt Pichler 79'
16
Andu Yobel Kelati ↓ Armin Gigovic 79'
26
David Zec

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Maximilian Arnold	1
Sebastiaan Bornauw	1
Jonas Wind	1
Patrick Wimmer	1
Steven Skrzybski	1
David Zec	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.92 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 Holstein Kiel xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg50% Draw24% Holstein Kiel26%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.24

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

74%

Draw or Holstein Kiel

50%

VfL Wolfsburg or Holstein Kiel

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg37% Draw42% Holstein Kiel21%

Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.8%

2 – 1

9.2%

2 – 0

7.2%

1 – 0

6.8%

1 – 2

6.3%

2 – 2

Actual

3 – 1

5.9%

0 – 0

5.5%

3 – 0

4.5%

0 – 1

4.4%

3 – 2

3.9%

0 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	15%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	21%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	14%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Holstein Kiel Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

Holstein Kiel Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Clean Sheet