Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 24 Jan 2025 · 19:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 22,103 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 13' David Zec
Patrick Wimmer 50' 1–1
Jonas Wind 53' 2–1
2–2 80' Steven Skrzybski

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Assistant 1 Lasse Koslowski
  • Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
1
VfL Wolfsburg 3 games · Avg 2.3 goals Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Holstein Kiel H 2–2 D
18 Jan FC Bayern München A 2–3 L
14 Jan Borussia Mönchengladbach H 5–1 W
11 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–0 W
22 Dec Borussia Dortmund H 1–3 L
13 Dec SC Freiburg A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan VfL Wolfsburg A 2–2 D
18 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–3 L
14 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 4–2 W
11 Jan SC Freiburg A 2–3 L
21 Dec FC Augsburg H 5–1 W
14 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–4 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between VfL Wolfsburg and Holstein Kiel is underway.
  • 5' The travelling Holstein Kiel supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Holstein Kiel have won 176 goals from 281 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 13' David Zec has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 13 minutes.
  • 18' Holstein Kiel come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 23' Controversy at the stadium! David Zec argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 28' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 33' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 38' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 38 minutes.
  • 43' Joakim Maehle needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 35 Yellow cards this season.
  • 46' The whistle greets Kilian Fischer as he departs to be replaced by Patrick Wimmer.
  • 50' What an equalizer from Patrick Wimmer!
  • 53' Magnificent from Jonas Wind! That is 42 goals in 105 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 58' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 59' The whistle greets Shuto Machino as he departs to be replaced by Steven Skrzybski.
  • 60' A meaty challenge results in booking for Patrick Wimmer on 60.
  • 65' It looks like no one’s ball. Holstein Kiel is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 68' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 68 minute. Magnus Knudsen leaves to be changed by Jann-Fiete Arp.
  • 71' Fresh legs for VfL Wolfsburg! Sebastiaan Bornauw comes on to replace Mattias Svanberg.
  • 76' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 79' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Dominik Javorcek by John Tolkin on 79 minute.
  • 80' Steven Skrzybski doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 83' The VfL Wolfsburg bench stirs into life. Tiago Tomas is withdrawn and Aster Vranckx gets his opportunity.
  • 87' Time for substitution for VfL Wolfsburg. Konstantinos Koulierakis is replaced by Lukas Nmecha.
  • 90' VfL Wolfsburg player sees a card in front of him.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — VfL Wolfsburg 2-2 Holstein Kiel.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.92 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg50% Draw24% Holstein Kiel26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
74%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
50%
VfL Wolfsburg or Holstein Kiel
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg37% Draw42% Holstein Kiel21%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
5.5%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 21% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.