VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.
- VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sven Jablonski
- Assistant 1 Lasse Koslowski
- Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger
3 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 6.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan | Holstein Kiel | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jan | FC Bayern München | A | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Jan | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 5–1 | W |
| 11 Jan | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Dec | Borussia Dortmund | H | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Dec | SC Freiburg | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jan | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | H | 4–2 | W |
| 11 Jan | SC Freiburg | A | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Dec | FC Augsburg | H | 5–1 | W |
| 14 Dec | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 1–4 | L |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between VfL Wolfsburg and Holstein Kiel is underway.
- 5' The travelling Holstein Kiel supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' Holstein Kiel have won 176 goals from 281 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 13' David Zec has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 13 minutes.
- 18' Holstein Kiel come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 23' Controversy at the stadium! David Zec argues furiously but the card stands.
- 28' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 33' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 38' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 38 minutes.
- 43' Joakim Maehle needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 35 Yellow cards this season.
- 46' The whistle greets Kilian Fischer as he departs to be replaced by Patrick Wimmer.
- 50' What an equalizer from Patrick Wimmer!
- 53' Magnificent from Jonas Wind! That is 42 goals in 105 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 58' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 59' The whistle greets Shuto Machino as he departs to be replaced by Steven Skrzybski.
- 60' A meaty challenge results in booking for Patrick Wimmer on 60.
- 65' It looks like no one’s ball. Holstein Kiel is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 68' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 68 minute. Magnus Knudsen leaves to be changed by Jann-Fiete Arp.
- 71' Fresh legs for VfL Wolfsburg! Sebastiaan Bornauw comes on to replace Mattias Svanberg.
- 76' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 79' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Dominik Javorcek by John Tolkin on 79 minute.
- 80' Steven Skrzybski doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 83' The VfL Wolfsburg bench stirs into life. Tiago Tomas is withdrawn and Aster Vranckx gets his opportunity.
- 87' Time for substitution for VfL Wolfsburg. Konstantinos Koulierakis is replaced by Lukas Nmecha.
- 90' VfL Wolfsburg player sees a card in front of him.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — VfL Wolfsburg 2-2 Holstein Kiel.
Lineups
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
4-1-3-2Starting XI
- 1
- 27
- 31
- 32
- 21
- 18
- 23
-
11
Tiago Tomas ↓ Aster Vranckx 83'
-
2
Kilian Fischer ↓ Patrick Wimmer 46'
- 9
- 4
Bench
-
10
Lukas Nmecha ↑ 87'
- 29
- 8
- 17
-
3
Sebastiaan Bornauw ↑ 71'
-
7
Andreas Skov Olsen ↑ 46'
-
6
Aster Vranckx ↑ 83'
-
39
Patrick Wimmer ↑ 46'
- 24
Coach
Ralph Hasenhuttl
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 18
- 1
-
24
Magnus Knudsen ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 68'
- 8
- 17
- 3
-
33
Dominik Javorcek ↓ John Tolkin 79'
- 22
-
19
Phil Harres ↓ Benedikt Pichler 79'
- 16
- 26
Bench
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 68'
-
7
Steven Skrzybski ↑ 59'
-
9
Benedikt Pichler ↑ 79'
-
47
John Tolkin ↑ 79'
- 21
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↑ 79'
- 14
- 23
- 6
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Maximilian Arnold | 1 |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | 1 |
| Jonas Wind | 1 |
| Patrick Wimmer | 1 |
| Steven Skrzybski | 1 |
| David Zec | 1 |
VfL Wolfsburg Form
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.92
VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
74%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
50%
VfL Wolfsburg or Holstein Kiel
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
5.5%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg
| Handicap | VfL Wolfsburg covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 21% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

