Wednesday , 30 September 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb SC Freiburg H 3–0 W
08 Feb FC Bayern München A 1–5 L
31 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–1 W
27 Jan SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
24 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W
17 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–3 L
10 Feb Hertha BSC A 6–5 W
07 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 1–0 W
01 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 0–1 L
29 Jan Lille OSC A 0–1 L
25 Jan 1. FC Köln H 2–1 W

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim SC Freiburg
#14 Position #3
3 Points 10
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 0
7 Scored 12
10 Conceded 3
-3 GD +9
0.75 PPG 2.50
25% Win % 75%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts). SC Freiburg are 3rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G
Tim Lemperle 1 G
Leon Avdullahu 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.61 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.54 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim33% Draw21% SC Freiburg46%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 4.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
54%
Draw or SC Freiburg
67%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or SC Freiburg
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim21% Draw36% SC Freiburg43%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–0 not predicted
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
8%
1 – 1
7.2%
1 – 3
6.6%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 3
5.3%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 1
5.1%
0 – 3
4.3%
1 – 4
4.2%
0 – 1
3.7%
2 – 4
3.4%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 12% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 43% — 57%
+1 43% 19% 37%
+1.5 63% — 37%
+2 63% 16% 21%
+2.5 79% — 21%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
9% ✗
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.