Thursday , 2 July 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC FreiburgBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
17 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 6.8 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb SC Freiburg H 3–0 W
08 Feb FC Bayern München A 1–5 L
31 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–1 W
27 Jan SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
24 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W
17 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–3 L
10 Feb Hertha BSC A 6–5 W
07 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 1–0 W
01 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 0–1 L
29 Jan Lille OSC A 0–1 L
25 Jan 1. FC Koln H 2–1 W

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim SC Freiburg
#5 Position #7
61 Points 47
34 Played 34
18 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 13 / 8 / 13
65 Scored 51
52 Conceded 57
+13 GD -6
1.79 PPG 1.38
53% Win % 38%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. SC Freiburg kicks off things out of here…
  • With this win, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.36 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim58% Draw21% SC Freiburg21%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.69
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
79%
Draw or SC Freiburg
42%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or SC Freiburg
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim44% Draw38% SC Freiburg18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9%
1 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7%
3 – 1
7%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 0
5.5%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
4.1%
0 – 0
3.8%
4 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 21% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 11% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
27%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.