Sunday , 16 August 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb SC Freiburg H 3–0 W
08 Feb FC Bayern München A 1–5 L
31 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–1 W
27 Jan SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
24 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W
17 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–3 L
10 Feb Hertha BSC A 6–5 W
07 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 1–0 W
01 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 0–1 L
29 Jan Lille OSC A 0–1 L
25 Jan 1. FC Köln H 2–1 W

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim SC Freiburg
#11 Position #13
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 11th (0 pts). SC Freiburg are 13th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim50% Draw30% SC Freiburg20%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.86
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
81%
Draw or SC Freiburg
50%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or SC Freiburg
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim31% Draw56% SC Freiburg13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18%
1 – 0
17.7%
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
11%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 2
3%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.4%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 26% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
53%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.