Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 20 Mar 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 5–0 W
15 Mar VfB Stuttgart A 0–1 L
07 Mar FC Augsburg H 2–1 W
01 Mar Hamburger SV A 2–1 W
21 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
15 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Mar RB Leipzig A 0–5 L
14 Mar VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D
07 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–2 W
28 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–1 L
21 Feb 1. FC Köln A 2–2 D
14 Feb SC Freiburg H 3–0 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#9 Position #14
6 Points 3
4 Played 4
2 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 3
9 Scored 7
5 Conceded 10
+4 GD -3
1.50 PPG 0.75
50% Win % 25%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G
Tim Lemperle 1 G
Leon Avdullahu 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.25 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig67% Draw17% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim16%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 4.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
84%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
33%
RB Leipzig or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig56% Draw31% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim13%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
7.6%
2 – 1
7.2%
4 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.8%
2 – 0
5.6%
1 – 1
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
4 – 0
4.6%
4 – 2
4.1%
5 – 1
4%
1 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 36% — 64%
-2 36% 19% 46%
-1.5 54% — 46%
-1 54% 18% 28%
-0.5 72% — 28%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 7% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 3% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
26% ✗
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.