Friday , 16 October 2026

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 20 Mar 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
5 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 8.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 5–0 W
15 Mar VfB Stuttgart A 0–1 L
07 Mar FC Augsburg H 2–1 W
01 Mar Hamburger SV A 2–1 W
21 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
15 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Mar RB Leipzig A 0–5 L
14 Mar VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D
07 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–2 W
28 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–1 L
21 Feb 1. FC Koln A 2–2 D
14 Feb SC Freiburg H 3–0 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#5 Position #17
9 Points 3
5 Played 5
3 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 4
15 Scored 9
5 Conceded 13
+10 GD -4
1.80 PPG 0.60
60% Win % 20%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

RB Leipzig are 5th (9 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 17th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 4 G 1 A
Antonio Nusa 3 G 3 A
Tidiam Gomis 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G
Tim Lemperle 1 G
Leon Avdullahu 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.93 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + RB Leipzig to win 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig73% Draw14% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim13%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 5.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 87%
13%
± 3.5 73%
27%
± 4.5 56%
44%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
88%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
27%
RB Leipzig or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
86%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig65% Draw26% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim9%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.2%
4 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6%
2 – 1
5.8%
4 – 0
5.7%
5 – 1
5.5%
2 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.5%
5 – 0
Actual
4 – 2
4.4%
6 – 1
3.6%
2 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 48% — 52%
-2 48% 18% 34%
-1.5 66% — 34%
-1 66% 15% 19%
-0.5 81% — 19%
+0.5 92% — 8%
+1 92% 5% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
29% ✗
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
3% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.