1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

1. FC Union Berlin

2 – 2

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 10 Jan 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

1. FC Union Berlin 4 games · 1 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Bastian Dankert

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

1. FC Union Berlin 14 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-10 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-01-19 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin 2024-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin 2023-08-20 1. FC Union Berlin 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FC Union Berlin

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–2	D
20 Dec	1. FC Köln	A	1–0	W
12 Dec	RB Leipzig	H	3–1	W
06 Dec	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–3	L
03 Dec	FC Bayern München	H	2–3	L
29 Nov	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	1–2	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	A	2–2	D
21 Dec	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	0–0	D
14 Dec	FC Bayern München	A	2–2	D
05 Dec	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	0–1	L
30 Nov	SC Freiburg	A	0–4	L
21 Nov	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin		1. FSV Mainz 05
#17	Position	#6
1	Points	7
4	Played	4
0 / 1 / 3	W / D / L	2 / 1 / 1
4	Scored	10
17	Conceded	6
-13	GD	+4
0.25	PPG	1.75
0%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

1. FC Union Berlin are 17th (1 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin

0-15

1/3

16-30

–/3

31-45

–/2

46-60

–/3

61-75

–/4

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/–

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin

Tim Skarke	2 G
Leopold Querfeld	1 G	1 A
Emmanuel Latte Lath	1 G

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	4 G
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	3 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between 1. FC Union Berlin and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Taiwo Awoniyi	4
Kevin Behrens	4
Marcus Ingvartsen	3
Nadiem Amiri	2
Daniel Brosinski	2
Sebastian Andersson	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Max Kruse	1

Head to Head

1. FC Union Berlin Form

2026-01-10 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-20 1. FC Köln 0–1 1. FC Union Berlin W 2025-12-12 1. FC Union Berlin 3–1 RB Leipzig W 2025-12-06 VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 1. FC Union Berlin L 2025-12-03 1. FC Union Berlin 2–3 FC Bayern München L 2025-11-29 1. FC Union Berlin 1–2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-01-10 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 D 2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach L 2025-11-30 SC Freiburg 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-11-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.59 1. FC Union Berlin xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

3.47 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

1. FC Union Berlin25% Draw17% 1. FSV Mainz 0558%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 5.06

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	96%	4%
± 2.5	86%	14%
± 3.5	72%	28%
± 4.5	55%	45%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw

43%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

75%

1. FC Union Berlin or 1. FSV Mainz 05

83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

1. FC Union Berlin15% Draw30% 1. FSV Mainz 0555%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 3

1 – 2

6.2%

1 – 4

2 – 3

5.4%

2 – 2

Actual

2 – 4

4.7%

0 – 3

4.6%

1 – 1

4.2%

1 – 5

4.2%

0 – 2

4.2%

0 – 4

3.9%

2 – 5

3.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap	1. FC Union Berlin covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	8%	86%
-0.5	14%	—	86%
+0.5	29%	—	71%
+1	29%	17%	54%
+1.5	46%	—	54%
+2	46%	18%	36%
+2.5	64%	—	36%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet

4% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.