Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 10 Jan 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–2 D
20 Dec 1. FC Köln A 1–0 W
12 Dec RB Leipzig H 3–1 W
06 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 1–3 L
03 Dec FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
29 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–2 D
21 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–0 D
14 Dec FC Bayern München A 2–2 D
05 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–1 L
30 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–4 L
21 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin 1. FSV Mainz 05
#17 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FC Union Berlin are 17th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. 1. FC Union Berlin is hosting 1. FSV Mainz 05 for another epic battle.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.13 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Union Berlin or Draw 76% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin45% Draw31% 1. FSV Mainz 0524%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
76%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
55%
1. FC Union Berlin or 1. FSV Mainz 05
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin28% Draw55% 1. FSV Mainz 0517%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.1%
1 – 0
15.2%
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.3%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
1.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 24% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
46%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.