Wednesday , 7 October 2026

Qarabag Agdam FK vs Arsenal FC, Europe 2018-19 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2018-19
Thu 4 Oct 2018 · 16:55 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs Arsenal FC — Europe .

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Fabbri
  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Referee Filippo Meli
  • Referee Fabiano Preti
  • Referee Davide Massa

Head-to-Head

2
Qarabag Agdam FK 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Arsenal FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Arsenal FC H 0–3 L
20 Sep Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–2 L
30 Aug FC Sheriff Tiraspol H 3–0 W
23 Aug FC Sheriff Tiraspol A 0–1 L
14 Aug FK BATE Barysau A 1–1 D
07 Aug FK BATE Barysau H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Qarabag Agdam FK A 3–0 W
29 Sep Watford FC H 2–0 W
23 Sep Everton FC H 2–0 W
20 Sep FK Vorskla Poltava H 4–2 W
15 Sep Newcastle United FC A 2–1 W
02 Sep Cardiff City FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Qarabag Agdam FK to score. At the same time, Arsenal FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 4' What a moment for Sokratis Papastathopoulos! That strike on 4 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 9' Qara Qarayev has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 252 appearances.
  • 14' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Qarabag Agdam FK side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 19' A quiet spell here at . Qarabag Agdam FK seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 24' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 29' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Qarabag Agdam FK and Arsenal FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 33' The referee has no hesitation. Maksim Medvedev is booked for Qarabag Agdam FK — Yellow card on 33.
  • 38' Arsenal FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 43' Arsenal FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 43.
  • 46' The Arsenal FC manager makes a substitution. Nacho Monreal departs to be replaced by Lucas Torreira.
  • 51' Croatia international Filip Ozobic has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 53' Brilliant from the ! Emile Smith-Rowe makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 53.
  • 58' Supporters expect more eagerness from Michel, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 61' Mahir Mədətov makes way for Dzon Delarge at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from Qarabag Agdam FK.
  • 65' Mesut Ozil gets the nod from Arsenal FC. He replaces Emile Smith-Rowe and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' Filip Ozobic makes way for Araz Abdullayev at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Qarabag Agdam FK.
  • 71' Alexandre Lacazette gets the nod from Arsenal FC. He replaces Alex Iwobi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mesut Ozil is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Arsenal FC.
  • 80' Matteo Guendouzi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 80 minutes.
  • 84' Qarabag Agdam FK ring the changes. Qara Qarayev has done his job and it is now time for Simeon Slavchev to step up.
  • 89' It’s high time Unai Emery made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • Another three points for Arsenal FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.93 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Qarabag Agdam FK21% Draw26% Arsenal FC53%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw
47%
Draw or Arsenal FC
79%
Qarabag Agdam FK or Arsenal FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Qarabag Agdam FK15% Draw45% Arsenal FC40%
Actual: Arsenal FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 1
10.9%
0 – 2
10.4%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
5.8%
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 4
2.8%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK

Handicap Qarabag Agdam FK covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 12% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 43% — 57%
+1 43% 24% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 18% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.