Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2022-23

Nottingham Forest FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Leeds United FC

Sun 5 Feb 2023 · 14:00 UTC City Ground, Nottingham HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 13' Pascal Struijk

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 30' Y

Willy Boly 52' Y

Neco Williams 55' Y

Y 77' Maximilian Wober

Y 78' Maximilian Wober

Sam Surridge 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FC — Premier League at City Ground, Nottingham.

Nottingham Forest FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Leeds United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Wade Smith
Referee Robert Jones
Referee Darren England
Referee Neil Davies
Referee Craig Pawson
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	West Ham United FC	38	39
2	Burnley FC	38	22
3	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	38	20
4	Tottenham Hotspur FC	0	0
5	Coventry City FC	0	0
6	Hull City AFC	0	0
7	Ipswich Town FC	0	0
8	Arsenal FC	0	0
9	Manchester City FC	0	0
10	Manchester United FC	0	0
11	Aston Villa FC	0	0
12	Liverpool FC	0	0
13	AFC Bournemouth	0	0
14	Sunderland AFC	0	0
15	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	0	0
16	Brentford FC	0	0
17	Chelsea FC	0	0
18	Fulham FC	0	0
19	Newcastle United FC	0	0
20	Everton FC	0	0
21	Leeds United FC	0	0
22	Crystal Palace FC	0	0
23	Nottingham Forest FC	0	0

Head-to-Head

Nottingham Forest FC 8 games · Avg 3.0 goals Leeds United FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-02-05 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Leeds United FC 2020-02-08 Nottingham Forest FC 2–0 Leeds United FC 2019-08-10 Leeds United FC 1–1 Nottingham Forest FC 2019-01-01 Nottingham Forest FC 4–2 Leeds United FC 2018-10-27 Leeds United FC 1–1 Nottingham Forest FC

Recent Form

Nottingham Forest FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	Leeds United FC	H	1–0	W
21 Jan	AFC Bournemouth	A	1–1	D
14 Jan	Leicester City FC	H	2–0	W
07 Jan	Blackpool FC	A	1–4	L
04 Jan	Southampton FC	A	1–0	W
01 Jan	Chelsea FC	H	1–1	D

Leeds United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	Nottingham Forest FC	A	0–1	L
28 Jan	Accrington Stanley FC	A	3–1	W
22 Jan	Brentford FC	H	0–0	D
18 Jan	Cardiff City FC	H	5–2	W
13 Jan	Aston Villa FC	A	1–2	L
08 Jan	Cardiff City FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Nottingham Forest FC		Leeds United FC
#23	Position	#21
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Nottingham Forest FC are 23rd (0 pts). Leeds United FC are 21st (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at City Ground, Nottingham. Nottingham Forest FC are looking to make home advantage count against Leeds United FC.
5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
13' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Pascal Struijk on 13 minutes.
14' Brennan Johnson puts Nottingham Forest FC on the lead.
19' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nottingham Forest FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
24' Liam Cooper has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 358 appearances.
29' Leeds United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
30' Nottingham Forest FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 30.
35' Nottingham Forest FC have won 433 goals from 372 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
40' Costa Rica international Keylor Navas has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Steve Cooper might look to freshen things up shortly.
46' A tactical swap from Nottingham Forest FC — Jack Colback on, Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira off on 46 minutes.
51' Nottingham Forest FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Leeds United FC backline.
52' Willy Boly was booked on 52.
55' The referee has no hesitation. Neco Williams is booked for Nottingham Forest FC — Yellow card on 55.
57' Marc Roca makes way for Weston McKennie at the 57 minute mark. A tactical switch from Leeds United FC.
62' Leeds United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
67' A tactical swap from Leeds United FC — Junior Firpo on, Pascal Struijk off on 67 minutes.
72' Nottingham Forest FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Leeds United FC's shape.
73' Sam Surridge gets the nod from Nottingham Forest FC. He replaces Chris Wood and will look to change the dynamic.
77' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Maximilian Wober.
78' Maximilian Wober has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 78.
83' Another change for Leeds United FC made on 83 minute. Jack Harrison leaves to be changed by Sam Greenwood.
88' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
90' Sam Surridge catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
90' The whistle greets Neco Williams as he departs to be replaced by Andre Ayew.
Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

Starting XI

32
Renan Lodi
39
Chris Wood ↓ Sam Surridge 73'
30
Willy Boly
10
Morgan Gibbs-White
5
Orel Mangala ↓ Serge Aurier 46'
12
Keylor Navas
23
Remo Freuler
26
Scott McKenna
20
Brennan Johnson
7
Neco Williams ↓ Andre Ayew 90'
28
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira ↓ Jack Colback 46'

Bench

42
Andre Ayew ↑ 90'
31
Gustavo Scarpa
13
Wayne Hennessey
24
Serge Aurier ↑ 46'
11
Jesse Lingard
8
Jack Colback ↑ 46'
16
Sam Surridge ↑ 73'
38
Felipe
4
Joe Worrall

Coach Steve Cooper

Leeds United FC Lineups

Starting XI

6
Liam Cooper
2
Luke Ayling
21
Pascal Struijk ↓ Junior Firpo 67'
11
Jack Harrison ↓ Sam Greenwood 83'
9
Patrick Bamford ↓ Georginio Rutter 67'
39
Maximilian Wober
23
Luis Sinisterra ↓ Crysencio Summerville 57'
1
Illan Meslier
8
Marc Roca ↓ Weston McKennie 57'
12
Tyler Adams
29
Degnand Gnonto

Bench

Coach Jesse Marsch

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jack Colback	2
Lewis Grabban	1
Pablo Hernandez	1
Tyler Walker	1
Sammy Ameobi	1
Jack Robinson	1
Orel Mangala	1
Kemar Roofe	1

Head to Head

Nottingham Forest FC Form

2023-02-05 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Leeds United FC W 2023-01-21 AFC Bournemouth 1–1 Nottingham Forest FC D 2023-01-14 Nottingham Forest FC 2–0 Leicester City FC W 2023-01-07 Blackpool FC 4–1 Nottingham Forest FC L 2023-01-04 Southampton FC 0–1 Nottingham Forest FC W 2023-01-01 Nottingham Forest FC 1–1 Chelsea FC D

Leeds United FC Form

2023-02-05 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Leeds United FC L 2023-01-28 Accrington Stanley FC 1–3 Leeds United FC W 2023-01-22 Leeds United FC 0–0 Brentford FC D 2023-01-18 Leeds United FC 5–2 Cardiff City FC W 2023-01-13 Aston Villa FC 2–1 Leeds United FC L 2023-01-08 Cardiff City FC 2–2 Leeds United FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.79 Nottingham Forest FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.42 Leeds United FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 87% + Under — clean sheet likely 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nottingham Forest FC46% Draw37% Leeds United FC17%

Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes21% 0% No79%

Avg goals/match: 1.21

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	67%	33%
± 1.5	35%	65%
± 2.5	13%	87%
± 3.5	4%	96%
± 4.5	1%	99%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw

83%

Draw or Leeds United FC

54%

Nottingham Forest FC or Leeds United FC

63%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nottingham Forest FC23% Draw68% Leeds United FC9%

Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

32.5%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

11%

0 – 1

10.7%

2 – 0

8.6%

2 – 1

4.2%

0 – 2

2.2%

3 – 0

2.2%

1 – 2

2.1%

3 – 1

1.2%

2 – 2

4 – 0

0.5%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap	Nottingham Forest FC covers	Push	Leeds United FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	10%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	26%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	84%	—	16%
+1	84%	13%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	3%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet

66% ✓

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet

46% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.