Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FC — Premier League at City Ground, Nottingham.
- Nottingham Forest FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Leeds United FC 5 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Wade Smith
- Referee Robert Jones
- Referee Darren England
- Referee Neil Davies
- Referee Craig Pawson
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City FC | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal FC | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford FC | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds United FC | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool FC | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton FC | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City AFC | 5 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle United FC | 5 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea FC | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich Town FC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | Manchester United FC | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland AFC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace FC | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa FC | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | AFC Bournemouth | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry City FC | 5 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham FC | 5 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 5 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb | Leeds United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jan | AFC Bournemouth | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Jan | Leicester City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Jan | Blackpool FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 04 Jan | Southampton FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Jan | Chelsea FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jan | Accrington Stanley FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Jan | Brentford FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Jan | Cardiff City FC | H | 5–2 | W |
| 13 Jan | Aston Villa FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Jan | Cardiff City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Nottingham Forest FC | Leeds United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #5 |
| 5 | Points | 9 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 1 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 0 |
| 4 | Scored | 7 |
| 5 | Conceded | 3 |
| -1 | GD | +4 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.80 |
| 20% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Nottingham Forest FC this season
40%
Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season
Leeds United FC this season
Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (5 pts). Leeds United FC are 5th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Leeds United FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nottingham Forest FC
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 1 G | 2 A |
| Dan Ndoye | 1 G |
Leeds United FC
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 2 G | 1 A |
| Jayden Bogle | 2 G | |
| Anton Stach | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Nottingham Forest FC is hosting Leeds United FC for another epic battle.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nottingham Forest FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' Nottingham Forest FC is showing some good football. However, Nottingham Forest FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 13' Pascal Struijk catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 13.
- 14' A goal from the Wales international Brennan Johnson! He fires home on 14 to make it 1-0!
- 19' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 24' Leeds United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 24.
- 29' Marc Roca is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nottingham Forest FC tonight.
- 30' Nottingham Forest FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 30.
- 35' Nottingham Forest FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 40' The energy levels are beginning to show. Steve Cooper might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 45' England international Jack Harrison has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 46' It is a substitution in Nottingham Forest FC team. Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira is replaced by Jack Colback on 46 minute.
- 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
- 52' Willy Boly catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 52.
- 55' A meaty challenge results in booking for Neco Williams on 55.
- 57' Leeds United FC ring the changes. Marc Roca has done his job and it is now time for Weston McKennie to step up.
- 62' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nottingham Forest FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 67' The supporters are chanting for Junior Firpo. He replaces Pascal Struijk on 67 minute.
- 72' The 22-year-old Degnand Gnonto has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 73' Nottingham Forest FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sam Surridge is hanging Chris Wood on the field on 73 minute.
- 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Maximilian Wober on 77.
- 78' The referee shows Leeds United FC player a Yellow card on 78.
- 83' A tactical swap from Leeds United FC — Sam Greenwood on, Jack Harrison off on 83 minutes.
- 88' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 90' Nottingham Forest FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 90' Nottingham Forest FC ring the changes. Neco Williams has done his job and it is now time for Andre Ayew to step up.
- Leeds United FC will have plenty to reflect on. Nottingham Forest FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Nottingham Forest FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 32
-
39
Chris Wood ↓ Sam Surridge 73'
- 30
- 10
-
5
Orel Mangala ↓ Serge Aurier 46'
- 12
- 23
- 26
- 20
-
7
Neco Williams ↓ Andre Ayew 90'
- 28
Bench
-
42
Andre Ayew ↑ 90'
- 31
- 13
-
24
Serge Aurier ↑ 46'
- 11
-
8
Jack Colback ↑ 46'
-
16
Sam Surridge ↑ 73'
- 38
- 4
Coach
Steve Cooper
Leeds United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 2
-
21
Pascal Struijk ↓ Junior Firpo 67'
-
11
Jack Harrison ↓ Sam Greenwood 83'
- 9
- 39
- 23
- 1
-
8
Marc Roca ↓ Weston McKennie 57'
- 12
- 29
Bench
- 25
-
24
Georginio Rutter ↑ 67'
-
28
Weston McKennie ↑ 57'
- 22
-
3
Junior Firpo ↑ 67'
- 7
-
10
Crysencio Summerville ↑ 57'
-
42
Sam Greenwood ↑ 83'
- 49
Coach
Jesse Marsch
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jack Colback | 2 |
| Daryl Murphy | 1 |
| Luis Sinisterra | 1 |
| Ben Osborn | 1 |
| Brennan Johnson | 1 |
| Anton Stach | 1 |
| Ezgjan Alioski | 1 |
| Jack Clarke | 1 |
Head to Head
Nottingham Forest FC Form
2023-02-05
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
Leeds United FC
W
2023-01-21
AFC Bournemouth
1–1
Nottingham Forest FC
D
2023-01-14
Nottingham Forest FC
2–0
Leicester City FC
W
2023-01-07
Blackpool FC
4–1
Nottingham Forest FC
L
2023-01-04
Southampton FC
0–1
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2023-01-01
Nottingham Forest FC
1–1
Chelsea FC
D
Leeds United FC Form
2023-02-05
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
Leeds United FC
L
2023-01-28
Accrington Stanley FC
1–3
Leeds United FC
W
2023-01-22
Leeds United FC
0–0
Brentford FC
D
2023-01-18
Leeds United FC
5–2
Cardiff City FC
W
2023-01-13
Aston Villa FC
2–1
Leeds United FC
L
2023-01-08
Cardiff City FC
2–2
Leeds United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.99
Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9
Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for:
Nottingham Forest FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nottingham Forest FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 2.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Leeds United FC
58%
Nottingham Forest FC or Leeds United FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nottingham Forest FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.7%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 0
2.3%
3 – 1
2.2%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC
| Handicap | Nottingham Forest FC covers | Push | Leeds United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 21% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 19% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

