Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 9 Nov 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Leeds United FC H 3–1 W
06 Nov SK Sturm Graz A 0–0 D
01 Nov Manchester United FC H 2–2 D
26 Oct AFC Bournemouth A 0–2 L
23 Oct FC Porto H 2–0 W
18 Oct Chelsea FC H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Nottingham Forest FC A 1–3 L
01 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–3 L
24 Oct West Ham United FC H 2–1 W
18 Oct Burnley FC A 0–2 L
04 Oct Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–2 L
27 Sep AFC Bournemouth H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Nottingham Forest FC Leeds United FC
#13 Position #5
5 Points 9
5 Played 5
1 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 0
4 Scored 7
5 Conceded 3
-1 GD +4
1.00 PPG 1.80
20% Win % 40%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season

Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (5 pts). Leeds United FC are 5th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Leeds United FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
Morgan Gibbs-White 1 G 2 A
Dan Ndoye 1 G
Leeds United FC
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 2 G 1 A
Jayden Bogle 2 G
Anton Stach 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

Leeds United FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC48% Draw29% Leeds United FC23%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Leeds United FC
52%
Nottingham Forest FC or Leeds United FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC29% Draw52% Leeds United FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 0
12.9%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.