Norwich City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Norwich City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Carrow Road.
- Norwich City FC 46 games · 65 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ruebyn Ricardo (England)
- Assistant 1 Alex James (England)
- Assistant 2 Mark Dwyer
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Derby County FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | Watford FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jan | Swansea City AFC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 22 Jan | Leeds United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Jan | Sheffield United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Jan | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jan | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jan | Sunderland AFC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Jan | Watford FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Jan | Leyton Orient FC | A | 5–6 | L |
Season Stats
| Norwich City FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #8 |
| 65 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 19 / 8 / 19 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 63 | Scored | 67 |
| 56 | Conceded | 59 |
| +7 | GD | +8 |
| 1.41 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 41% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Norwich City FC are 9th (65 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Derby County FC get us underway at Carrow Road.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' It’s high time Johannes Thorup made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Norwich City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 27' A moment of madness from Ebou Adams on 27 minutes earns him a card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
- 29' Controversy at the stadium! Kellen Fisher argues furiously but the card stands.
- 34' Kellen Fisher is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Norwich City FC tonight.
- 39' Marcus Harness has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 44' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 49' Norwich City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 49.
- 54' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 59' Nathaniel Phillips was booked on 59.
- 60' The Norwich City FC manager makes a substitution. Kellen Fisher departs to be replaced by Jack Stacey.
- 61' Another change for Derby County FC made on 61 minute. Lars-Jorgen Salvesen leaves to be changed by Jerry Yates.
- 66' Harrison Armstrong gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Nathaniel Mendez-Laing and will look to change the dynamic.
- 67' The crowd applauds Ben Osborn as he leaves the pitch. Callum Elder steps in for Derby County FC.
- 68' Magnificent from Josh Sargent! That is 65 goals in 414 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 73' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 76' Marcus Harness has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kenzo Goudmijn on 76 minute.
- 77' Kayden Jackson is ready to make an impact after coming on for David Ozoh at the 77 minute mark.
- 82' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 85' Another substitution for Norwich City FC to replace Lucien Mahovo by Benjamin Chrisene on 85 minute.
- 90' Callum Doyle catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Norwich City FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1
- 4
- 23
- 9
- 26
- 6
- 22
- 11
-
35
Kellen Fisher ↓ Jack Stacey 60'
- 47
-
17
Ante Crnac ↓ Oscar Schwartau 77'
Bench
- 12
-
3
Jack Stacey ↑ 60'
-
14
Benjamin Chrisene ↑ 85'
-
20
Anis Ben Slimane ↑ 60'
- –
-
29
Oscar Schwartau ↑ 77'
-
16
Jacob Wright ↑ 85'
- 33
- 15
Coach
Johannes Thorup
Derby County FC Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
- 25
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Marcus Harness 76'
-
8
Ben Osborn ↓ Callum Elder 67'
- 11
- 32
- 15
- 12
- 16
- 1
-
4
David Ozoh ↓ Kayden Jackson 77'
- 6
Bench
- 3
-
18
Marcus Harness ↑ 76'
-
19
Kayden Jackson ↑ 77'
- 24
- 31
-
10
Jerry Yates ↑ 61'
-
20
Callum Elder ↑ 67'
- 7
-
28
Harrison Armstrong ↑ 66'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Borja Sainz | 3 |
| Teemu Pukki | 2 |
| Jerry Yates | 1 |
| Jack Marriott | 1 |
| Josh Sargent | 1 |
| Mason Mount | 1 |
| David Ozoh | 1 |
| Fikayo Tomori | 1 |
Head to Head
Norwich City FC Form
2025-02-08
Norwich City FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2025-02-01
Watford FC
0–1
Norwich City FC
W
2025-01-25
Norwich City FC
5–1
Swansea City AFC
W
2025-01-22
Leeds United FC
2–0
Norwich City FC
L
2025-01-18
Sheffield United FC
2–0
Norwich City FC
L
2025-01-11
Norwich City FC
0–4
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
L
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.82
Norwich City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Norwich City FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Derby County FC
54%
Norwich City FC or Derby County FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
5.8%
1 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Norwich City FC
| Handicap | Norwich City FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 19% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Norwich City FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

