Thursday , 2 July 2026

Norwich City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 8 Feb 2025 · 15:00 UTC Carrow Road 26,584 HT 45' · FT 45'
Josh Sargent 68' 1–0
1–1 90+2' Jerry Yates pen

Overview

Match Preview

Norwich City FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at Carrow Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Ruebyn Ricardo (England)
  • Assistant 1 Alex James (England)
  • Assistant 2 Mark Dwyer

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Derby County FC H 1–1 D
01 Feb Watford FC A 1–0 W
25 Jan Swansea City AFC H 5–1 W
22 Jan Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
18 Jan Sheffield United FC A 0–2 L
11 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
01 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
25 Jan Cardiff City FC A 1–2 L
21 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–1 L
18 Jan Watford FC H 0–2 L
14 Jan Leyton Orient FC A 5–6 L

Season Stats

Norwich City FC Derby County FC
#9 Position #8
65 Points 69
46 Played 46
19 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
63 Scored 67
56 Conceded 59
+7 GD +8
1.41 PPG 1.50
41% Win % 43%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Norwich City FC are 9th (65 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Derby County FC get us underway at Carrow Road.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' It’s high time Johannes Thorup made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Norwich City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 27' A moment of madness from Ebou Adams on 27 minutes earns him a card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
  • 29' Controversy at the stadium! Kellen Fisher argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 34' Kellen Fisher is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Norwich City FC tonight.
  • 39' Marcus Harness has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 44' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 49' Norwich City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 49.
  • 54' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 59' Nathaniel Phillips was booked on 59.
  • 60' The Norwich City FC manager makes a substitution. Kellen Fisher departs to be replaced by Jack Stacey.
  • 61' Another change for Derby County FC made on 61 minute. Lars-Jorgen Salvesen leaves to be changed by Jerry Yates.
  • 66' Harrison Armstrong gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Nathaniel Mendez-Laing and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' The crowd applauds Ben Osborn as he leaves the pitch. Callum Elder steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 68' Magnificent from Josh Sargent! That is 65 goals in 414 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 73' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 76' Marcus Harness has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kenzo Goudmijn on 76 minute.
  • 77' Kayden Jackson is ready to make an impact after coming on for David Ozoh at the 77 minute mark.
  • 82' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 85' Another substitution for Norwich City FC to replace Lucien Mahovo by Benjamin Chrisene on 85 minute.
  • 90' Callum Doyle catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.82 Norwich City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Norwich City FC46% Draw24% Derby County FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Norwich City FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Derby County FC
54%
Norwich City FC or Derby County FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Norwich City FC33% Draw42% Derby County FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
5.8%
1 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Norwich City FC

Handicap Norwich City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 13% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 19% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Norwich City FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.