Saturday , 14 November 2026

Norwich City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 8 Feb 2025 · 15:00 UTC Carrow Road 26,584 HT 45' · FT 45'
Josh Sargent 68' 1–0
1–1 90+2' Jerry Yates pen

Overview

Match Preview

Norwich City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Carrow Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Ruebyn Ricardo (England)
  • Assistant 1 Alex James (England)
  • Assistant 2 Mark Dwyer
4 games this season 🟨 7.3/game ⚽ 23.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Derby County FC H 1–1 D
01 Feb Watford FC A 1–0 W
25 Jan Swansea City AFC H 5–1 W
22 Jan Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
18 Jan Sheffield United FC A 0–2 L
11 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
01 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
25 Jan Cardiff City FC A 1–2 L
21 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–1 L
18 Jan Watford FC H 0–2 L
14 Jan Leyton Orient FC A 5–6 L

Season Stats

Norwich City FC Derby County FC
#12 Position #23
21 Points 10
15 Played 15
7 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 9
32 Scored 14
24 Conceded 30
+8 GD -16
1.40 PPG 0.67
47% Win % 13%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Norwich City FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Norwich City FC are 12th (21 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Norwich City FC
0-15
6/6
16-30
6/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
4/6
61-75
9/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Norwich City FC
Mohamed Toure 5 G
Mathias Kvistgaarden 4 G 4 A
Edmond-Paris Maghoma 4 G 2 A
Andre Brooks 3 G 2 A
Anthony Musaba 3 G 1 A
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.71 Norwich City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Norwich City FC61% Draw20% Derby County FC19%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 4.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

Norwich City FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
39%
Norwich City FC or Derby County FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Norwich City FC49% Draw35% Derby County FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
7.4%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.6%
3 – 2
5%
4 – 1
5%
1 – 0
4.4%
1 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
3.7%
4 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Norwich City FC

Handicap Norwich City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 26% — 74%
-2 26% 18% 55%
-1.5 45% — 55%
-1 45% 20% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 10% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Norwich City FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.