Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Norwich City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 8 Feb 2025 · 15:00 UTC Carrow Road 26,584 HT 45' · FT 45'
Josh Sargent 68' 1–0
1–1 90+2' Jerry Yates pen

Overview

Match Preview

Norwich City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Carrow Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Ruebyn Ricardo (England)
  • Assistant 1 Alex James (England)
  • Assistant 2 Mark Dwyer
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 13.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Derby County FC H 1–1 D
01 Feb Watford FC A 1–0 W
25 Jan Swansea City AFC H 5–1 W
22 Jan Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
18 Jan Sheffield United FC A 0–2 L
11 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
01 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
25 Jan Cardiff City FC A 1–2 L
21 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–1 L
18 Jan Watford FC H 0–2 L
14 Jan Leyton Orient FC A 5–6 L

Season Stats

Norwich City FC Derby County FC
#17 Position #22
9 Points 5
8 Played 8
3 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 5
16 Scored 7
17 Conceded 14
-1 GD -7
1.13 PPG 0.63
38% Win % 13%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Norwich City FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Norwich City FC are 17th (9 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Norwich City FC
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
–/2
61-75
5/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Norwich City FC
Mohamed Toure 5 G
Andre Brooks 2 G 2 A
Mathias Kvistgaarden 2 G 1 A
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Carrow Road that hosts another battle between Norwich City FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Callum Elder, as he is very good at scoring at Carrow Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' Lewis Dobbin has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Norwich City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' Harrison Armstrong has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 27' The referee shows Derby County FC player a card on 27.
  • 29' Kellen Fisher is having his name booked by the referee on 29.
  • 34' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 5-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 39' Jerry Yates needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 44' A quiet spell here at Carrow Road. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 49' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 54' Over 54 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 59' Nathaniel Phillips is having his name booked by the referee on 59.
  • 60' A tactical swap from Norwich City FC — Jack Stacey on, Kellen Fisher off on 60 minutes.
  • 61' Jerry Yates is replacing Lars-Jorgen Salvesen for the Derby County FC side.
  • 66' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Harrison Armstrong comes on to replace Nathaniel Mendez-Laing.
  • 67' Ben Osborn makes way for Callum Elder at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 68' A stunning finish from Josh Sargent — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 73' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 76' Kenzo Goudmijn makes way for Marcus Harness at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 77' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. David Ozoh departs to be replaced by Kayden Jackson.
  • 82' Both keepers have barely been tested. Norwich City FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 85' The whistle greets Lucien Mahovo as he departs to be replaced by Benjamin Chrisene.
  • 90' Norwich City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.43 Norwich City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Norwich City FC56% Draw21% Derby County FC23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Norwich City FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Derby County FC
44%
Norwich City FC or Derby County FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Norwich City FC43% Draw37% Derby County FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.7%
1 – 0
4.5%
4 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
3.1%
0 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Norwich City FC

Handicap Norwich City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 17% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 20% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 12% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Norwich City FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.