Saturday , 14 November 2026

Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 12 Aug 2023 · 16:30 UTC St James' Park 52,207 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sandro Tonali 6' 1–0
1–1 11' Moussa Diaby
Alexander Isak 16' 2–1
Alexander Isak 58' 3–1
Callum Wilson 77' 4–1
Harvey Barnes 90+1' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at St James' Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Assistant 1 Richard West
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Hopton
7 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Aston Villa FC H 5–1 W
28 May Chelsea FC A 1–1 D
22 May Leicester City FC H 0–0 D
18 May Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 4–1 W
13 May Leeds United FC A 2–2 D
07 May Arsenal FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Newcastle United FC Aston Villa FC
#12 Position #10
12 Points 13
10 Played 10
3 / 3 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 4 / 3
13 Scored 14
16 Conceded 17
-3 GD -3
1.20 PPG 1.30
30% Win % 30%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Newcastle United FC are 12th (12 pts). Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
0-15
3/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
Harvey Barnes 2 G 2 A
Joe Willock 2 G
Anthony Elanga 2 G
Yoane Wissa 1 G 1 A
Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.15 Newcastle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC56% Draw23% Aston Villa FC21%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
44%
Newcastle United FC or Aston Villa FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC41% Draw40% Aston Villa FC19%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.6%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap Newcastle United FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 21% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.