Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 12 Aug 2023 · 16:30 UTC St James' Park 52,207 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sandro Tonali 6' 1–0
1–1 11' Moussa Diaby
Alexander Isak 16' 2–1
Alexander Isak 58' 3–1
Callum Wilson 77' 4–1
Harvey Barnes 90+1' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at St James' Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Assistant 1 Richard West
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Hopton
5 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Aston Villa FC H 5–1 W
28 May Chelsea FC A 1–1 D
22 May Leicester City FC H 0–0 D
18 May Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 4–1 W
13 May Leeds United FC A 2–2 D
07 May Arsenal FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Newcastle United FC Aston Villa FC
#9 Position #16
8 Points 4
5 Played 5
2 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
9 Scored 4
9 Conceded 9
+0 GD -5
1.60 PPG 0.80
40% Win % 20%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Newcastle United FC are 9th (8 pts). Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
Joe Willock 2 G
Anthony Elanga 2 G
Yoane Wissa 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.54 Newcastle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Newcastle United FC to win 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC65% Draw20% Aston Villa FC15%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
35%
Newcastle United FC or Aston Villa FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC51% Draw37% Aston Villa FC12%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
8.1%
3 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
7.3%
4 – 0
5%
4 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%
1 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap Newcastle United FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 28% — 72%
-2 28% 20% 51%
-1.5 49% — 51%
-1 49% 21% 30%
-0.5 70% — 30%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.