Thursday , 2 July 2026

Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 12 Aug 2023 · 16:30 UTC St James' Park 52,207 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sandro Tonali 6' 1–0
1–1 11' Moussa Diaby
Alexander Isak 16' 2–1
Alexander Isak 58' 3–1
Callum Wilson 77' 4–1
Harvey Barnes 90+1' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League at St James' Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Assistant 1 Richard West
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Hopton

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Aston Villa FC H 5–1 W
28 May Chelsea FC A 1–1 D
22 May Leicester City FC H 0–0 D
18 May Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 4–1 W
13 May Leeds United FC A 2–2 D
07 May Arsenal FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Newcastle United FC Aston Villa FC
#19 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Newcastle United FC are 19th (0 pts). Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.22 Newcastle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.49 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC54% Draw31% Aston Villa FC15%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 79%
21%
± 1.5 51%
49%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
46%
Newcastle United FC or Aston Villa FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Newcastle United FC33% Draw57% Aston Villa FC10%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
21%
0 – 0
20.7%
2 – 0
12.8%
1 – 1
11.5%
0 – 1
7.5%
2 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 2
2.5%
0 – 2
1.9%
2 – 2
1.7%
4 – 0
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap Newcastle United FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 16% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 28% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 10% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
62%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.