Saturday , 14 November 2026

Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sat 29 Oct 2022 · 14:00 UTC St James' Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Joelinton 65' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at St James' Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Toner
  • Referee Neil Davies
  • Referee Tony Harrington
  • Referee Paul Tierney
  • Referee Constantine Hatzidakis
  • Referee
5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 10.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Aston Villa FC H 4–0 W
23 Oct Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–1 W
19 Oct Everton FC H 1–0 W
16 Oct Manchester United FC A 0–0 D
08 Oct Brentford FC H 5–1 W
01 Oct Fulham FC A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Newcastle United FC A 0–4 L
23 Oct Brentford FC H 4–0 W
20 Oct Fulham FC A 0–3 L
16 Oct Chelsea FC H 0–2 L
10 Oct Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
02 Oct Leeds United FC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Newcastle United FC Aston Villa FC
#12 Position #10
12 Points 13
10 Played 10
3 / 3 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 4 / 3
13 Scored 14
16 Conceded 17
-3 GD -3
1.20 PPG 1.30
30% Win % 30%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Newcastle United FC are 12th (12 pts). Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
0-15
3/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
Harvey Barnes 2 G 2 A
Joe Willock 2 G
Anthony Elanga 2 G
Yoane Wissa 1 G 1 A
Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09 Newcastle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Newcastle United FC to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC60% Draw22% Aston Villa FC18%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
40%
Newcastle United FC or Aston Villa FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC43% Draw41% Aston Villa FC16%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
6.3%
0 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 2
4.9%
0 – 1
3.8%
3 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap Newcastle United FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 22% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.