Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sat 29 Oct 2022 · 14:00 UTC St James' Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Joelinton 65' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at St James' Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Toner
  • Referee Neil Davies
  • Referee Tony Harrington
  • Referee Paul Tierney
  • Referee Constantine Hatzidakis
  • Referee
4 games this season 🟨 5.5/game ⚽ 12.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Aston Villa FC H 4–0 W
23 Oct Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–1 W
19 Oct Everton FC H 1–0 W
16 Oct Manchester United FC A 0–0 D
08 Oct Brentford FC H 5–1 W
01 Oct Fulham FC A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Newcastle United FC A 0–4 L
23 Oct Brentford FC H 4–0 W
20 Oct Fulham FC A 0–3 L
16 Oct Chelsea FC H 0–2 L
10 Oct Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
02 Oct Leeds United FC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Newcastle United FC Aston Villa FC
#9 Position #16
8 Points 4
5 Played 5
2 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
9 Scored 4
9 Conceded 9
+0 GD -5
1.60 PPG 0.80
40% Win % 20%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Newcastle United FC are 9th (8 pts). Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
Joe Willock 2 G
Anthony Elanga 2 G
Yoane Wissa 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.48 Newcastle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Newcastle United FC to win 70% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC70% Draw18% Aston Villa FC12%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw
88%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
30%
Newcastle United FC or Aston Villa FC
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC54% Draw37% Aston Villa FC9%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12%
3 – 0
9.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
7.3%
4 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
5.3%
4 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
3.3%
5 – 0
3%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap Newcastle United FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 30% — 70%
-2 30% 21% 48%
-1.5 52% — 48%
-1 52% 22% 26%
-0.5 74% — 26%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 6% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.