Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Newcastle United FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Tue 30 Jan 2024 · 20:15 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 32' Fabian Schar
0–2 36' Fabian Schar
0–3 52' Alex Moreno og
Ollie Watkins 71' 1–3

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Newcastle United FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 Akil Howson
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
26 Jan Chelsea FC A 0–0 D
14 Jan Everton FC A 0–0 D
06 Jan Middlesbrough FC A 1–0 W
30 Dec Burnley FC H 3–2 W
26 Dec Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan Aston Villa FC A 3–1 W
27 Jan Fulham FC A 2–0 W
13 Jan Manchester City FC H 2–3 L
06 Jan Sunderland AFC A 3–0 W
01 Jan Liverpool FC A 2–4 L
26 Dec Nottingham Forest FC H 1–3 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Newcastle United FC
#11 Position #19
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts). Newcastle United FC are 19th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.64 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC22% Draw31% Newcastle United FC47%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
78%
Aston Villa FC or Newcastle United FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC12% Draw53% Newcastle United FC35%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
17.3%
0 – 0
16%
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 2
11.9%
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
2.6%
2 – 0
2.6%
0 – 4
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 12% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 27% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 16% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
27%
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
53%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.