Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Newcastle United FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Tue 30 Jan 2024 · 20:15 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 32' Fabian Schar
0–2 36' Fabian Schar
0–3 52' Alex Moreno og
Ollie Watkins 71' 1–3

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Newcastle United FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 Akil Howson
5 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 13.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
26 Jan Chelsea FC A 0–0 D
14 Jan Everton FC A 0–0 D
06 Jan Middlesbrough FC A 1–0 W
30 Dec Burnley FC H 3–2 W
26 Dec Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan Aston Villa FC A 3–1 W
27 Jan Fulham FC A 2–0 W
13 Jan Manchester City FC H 2–3 L
06 Jan Sunderland AFC A 3–0 W
01 Jan Liverpool FC A 2–4 L
26 Dec Nottingham Forest FC H 1–3 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Newcastle United FC
#16 Position #9
4 Points 8
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 1
4 Scored 9
9 Conceded 9
-5 GD +0
0.80 PPG 1.60
20% Win % 40%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts). Newcastle United FC are 9th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Newcastle United FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
Joe Willock 2 G
Anthony Elanga 2 G
Yoane Wissa 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.23 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.45 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC22% Draw23% Newcastle United FC55%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.68
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
45%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
78%
Aston Villa FC or Newcastle United FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC16% Draw37% Newcastle United FC47%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9%
1 – 1
8.4%
0 – 2
7.6%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
6.1%
0 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 1
4.6%
1 – 4
4.5%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
3.8%
0 – 4
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 10% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 37% — 63%
+1 37% 21% 42%
+1.5 58% — 42%
+2 58% 18% 24%
+2.5 76% — 24%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.