Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Nagoya Grampus
1 – 2
Full Time
FC Machida Zelvia
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 05:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 82' Kanji Kuwayama
Y 88' Ryohei Shirasaki

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
Nagoya Grampus 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals FC Machida Zelvia
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 FC Machida Zelvia 2024-07-06 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2024-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 FC Machida Zelvia

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar FC Machida Zelvia H 1–2 L
26 Feb FC Tōkyō A 1–3 L
22 Feb Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D
15 Feb Kawasaki Frontale A 0–4 L
08 Dec Yokohama F·Marinos A 2–0 W
30 Nov Sagan Tosu FC H 0–3 L
FC Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Nagoya Grampus A 2–1 W
26 Feb Tōkyō Verdy H 0–1 L
22 Feb FC Tōkyō A 1–0 W
16 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L
08 Dec Kashima Antlers A 1–3 L
30 Nov Kyōto Sanga FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus FC Machida Zelvia
#3 Position #13
31 Points 37
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 13 / 0 / 5
46 Scored 42
44 Conceded 33
+2 GD +9
1.72 PPG 2.06
56% Win % 72%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
14% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A
FC Machida Zelvia
Yuki Soma 3 G 3 A
Koki Ogawa 3 G
Hotaka Nakamura 2 G 1 A
Tete Yengi 2 G 1 A
Takuma Nishimura 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus are looking to make home advantage count against FC Machida Zelvia.
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 446 games and scored 403 goals.
  • 13' FC Machida Zelvia is taking the lead after the goal scored by Takuma Nishimura on 13.
  • 18' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Yota Sato has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 20 minutes.
  • 25' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' Kennedy Egbus Mikuni is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Machida Zelvia so far.
  • 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 45' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 50' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 55' FC Machida Zelvia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 56' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Yuya Yamagishi on 56 minute.
  • 61' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Takuma Nishimura departs to be replaced by Sang-ho Na.
  • 66' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 69' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Daiki Miya is replaced by Akinari Kawazura.
  • 71' The FC Machida Zelvia bench stirs into life. Se-hun Oh is withdrawn and Kanji Kuwayama gets his opportunity.
  • 74' What composure from Sang-ho Na! The South Korea international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • 77' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Tsukasa Morishima exits the field as Yuya Asano enters on 77.
  • 80' FC Machida Zelvia ring the changes. Yuki Soma has done his job and it is now time for Shota Fujio to step up.
  • 81' Ryohei Shirasaki gets the nod from FC Machida Zelvia. He replaces Hokuto Shimoda and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' Kanji Kuwayama catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
  • 87' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with FC Machida Zelvia winning 100% of all matches.
  • 88' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ryohei Shirasaki on 88 minutes.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Machida Zelvia players.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Go Kuroda

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Sho Inagaki 1
Gen Shoji 1
Hotaka Nakamura 1
Mitchell Duke 1
Hiroki Mochizuki 1
Ryohei Shirasaki 1
Shota Fujio 1
Yusuke Matsuo 1

Head to Head

2025-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 FC Machida Zelvia 2024-07-06 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2024-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 FC Machida Zelvia

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-02-26 FC Tōkyō 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-02-22 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Vissel Kobe D 2025-02-15 Kawasaki Frontale 4–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-12-08 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-11-30 Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC L

FC Machida Zelvia Form

2025-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 FC Machida Zelvia W 2025-02-26 FC Machida Zelvia 0–1 Tōkyō Verdy L 2025-02-22 FC Tōkyō 0–1 FC Machida Zelvia W 2025-02-16 FC Machida Zelvia 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-12-08 Kashima Antlers 3–1 FC Machida Zelvia L 2024-11-30 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Kyōto Sanga FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.67 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.11 FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus30% Draw24% FC Machida Zelvia46%
Actual: FC Machida Zelvia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
54%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
70%
Nagoya Grampus or FC Machida Zelvia
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus25% Draw39% FC Machida Zelvia36%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
3.5%
0 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 15% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 19% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 14% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.