Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Feb | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Dec | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Feb | Tokyo Verdy | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #13 |
| 31 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 46 | Scored | 42 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +2 | GD | +9 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
44%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nagoya Grampus to score. At the same time, FC Machida Zelvia does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 13' FC Machida Zelvia is taking the lead after the goal scored by Takuma Nishimura on 13.
- 18' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' What a strike from Yota Sato! The score is 1-1.
- 25' FC Machida Zelvia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Machida Zelvia that had 94 games and scored 116 goals.
- 40' It’s high time Go Kuroda made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 45' Yohei Takeda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 50' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Mateus has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Yuya Yamagishi on 56 minute.
- 61' Another substitution for FC Machida Zelvia to replace Takuma Nishimura by Sang-ho Na on 61 minute.
- 66' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 69' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Daiki Miya departs to be replaced by Akinari Kawazura.
- 71' Another substitution for FC Machida Zelvia to replace Se-hun Oh by Kanji Kuwayama on 71 minute.
- 74' What a strike from Sang-ho Na! The score is 1-2.
- 77' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Tsukasa Morishima is replaced by Yuya Asano.
- 80' It is a substitution in FC Machida Zelvia team. Yuki Soma is replaced by Shota Fujio on 80 minute.
- 81' Time for substitution for FC Machida Zelvia. Hokuto Shimoda is replaced by Ryohei Shirasaki.
- 82' FC Machida Zelvia player sees a card in front of him.
- 87' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Machida Zelvia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 88' The referee calls foul for Ryohei Shirasaki. He receives a card.
- The final score is 1-2.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Mateus 77'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Teruki Hara 69'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Yuya Asano 77'
- 15
-
4
Daiki Miya ↓ Akinari Kawazura 69'
- 16
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 56'
- 3
- 55
- 20
Bench
-
10
Mateus ↑ 77'
-
70
Teruki Hara ↑ 69'
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 77'
- 27
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 56'
- 33
-
6
Akinari Kawazura ↑ 69'
- 35
- 26
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
-
20
Takuma Nishimura ↓ Sang-ho Na 61'
- 1
- 3
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Shota Fujio 80'
- 5
- 16
- 50
- 26
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Kanji Kuwayama 71'
Bench
-
23
Ryohei Shirasaki ↑ 81'
- 13
- 8
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 80'
- 15
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 61'
- 6
-
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 71'
- 39
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Gen Shoji | 1 |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Shota Fujio | 1 |
| Hokuto Shimoda | 1 |
| Yota Sato | 1 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.67
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.11
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
54%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
70%
Nagoya Grampus or FC Machida Zelvia
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
3.5%
0 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 9% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 15% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 19% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 14% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.