Saturday , 14 November 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Nagoya Grampus
1 – 2
Full Time
FC Machida Zelvia
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 05:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 82' Kanji Kuwayama
Y 88' Ryohei Shirasaki

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
Nagoya Grampus 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals FC Machida Zelvia
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 FC Machida Zelvia 2024-07-06 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2024-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 FC Machida Zelvia

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar FC Machida Zelvia H 1–2 L
26 Feb FC Tōkyō A 1–3 L
22 Feb Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D
15 Feb Kawasaki Frontale A 0–4 L
08 Dec Yokohama F·Marinos A 2–0 W
30 Nov Sagan Tosu FC H 0–3 L
FC Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Nagoya Grampus A 2–1 W
26 Feb Tōkyō Verdy H 0–1 L
22 Feb FC Tōkyō A 1–0 W
16 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L
08 Dec Kashima Antlers A 1–3 L
30 Nov Kyōto Sanga FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus FC Machida Zelvia
#3 Position #13
31 Points 37
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 13 / 0 / 5
46 Scored 42
44 Conceded 33
+2 GD +9
1.72 PPG 2.06
56% Win % 72%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
54% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Yuya Yamagishi 3 G
Takuya Uchida 2 G 1 A
Yudai Kimura 2 G 1 A
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A
FC Machida Zelvia
Takuma Nishimura 5 G
Koki Ogawa 4 G
Yuki Soma 3 G 4 A
Tete Yengi 3 G 1 A
Hiroki Mochizuki 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Nagoya Grampus is hosting FC Machida Zelvia for another epic battle.
  • 5' It looks surprising FC Machida Zelvia does not make any changes. Ryuji Izumi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Kensuke Nagai has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 13' Magnificent from Takuma Nishimura! That is 64 goals in 404 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 18' Over 18 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' Yota Sato makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
  • 25' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 35' Mateus has been relatively quiet despite scoring 40 goals in his last 449 appearances.
  • 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with FC Machida Zelvia winning 100% of all matches.
  • 45' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 50' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 55' FC Machida Zelvia is showing some good football. However, FC Machida Zelvia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 56' The crowd applauds Ryuji Izumi as he leaves the pitch. Yuya Yamagishi steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 61' Takuma Nishimura makes way for Sang-ho Na at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Machida Zelvia.
  • 66' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shuhei Tokumoto made 447 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 69' The whistle greets Daiki Miya as he departs to be replaced by Akinari Kawazura.
  • 71' FC Machida Zelvia make a change. Se-hun Oh trudges off to be replaced by Kanji Kuwayama on 71 minutes.
  • 74' FC Machida Zelvia is taking the lead after the goal scored by Sang-ho Na on 74.
  • 77' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Tsukasa Morishima is replaced by Yuya Asano on 77 minute.
  • 80' Fresh legs for FC Machida Zelvia! Shota Fujio comes on to replace Yuki Soma.
  • 81' FC Machida Zelvia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryohei Shirasaki is hanging Hokuto Shimoda on the field on 81 minute.
  • 82' Kanji Kuwayama catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
  • 87' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 88' Controversy at the stadium! Ryohei Shirasaki argues furiously but the card stands.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Go Kuroda

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Sho Inagaki 1
Gen Shoji 1
Hotaka Nakamura 1
Mitchell Duke 1
Hiroki Mochizuki 1
Ryohei Shirasaki 1
Shota Fujio 1
Yusuke Matsuo 1

Head to Head

2025-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 FC Machida Zelvia 2024-07-06 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2024-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 FC Machida Zelvia

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 FC Machida Zelvia L 2025-02-26 FC Tōkyō 3–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-02-22 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Vissel Kobe D 2025-02-15 Kawasaki Frontale 4–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-12-08 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-11-30 Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC L

FC Machida Zelvia Form

2025-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 FC Machida Zelvia W 2025-02-26 FC Machida Zelvia 0–1 Tōkyō Verdy L 2025-02-22 FC Tōkyō 0–1 FC Machida Zelvia W 2025-02-16 FC Machida Zelvia 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-12-08 Kashima Antlers 3–1 FC Machida Zelvia L 2024-11-30 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Kyōto Sanga FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.67 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.11 FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus30% Draw24% FC Machida Zelvia46%
Actual: FC Machida Zelvia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
54%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
70%
Nagoya Grampus or FC Machida Zelvia
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus25% Draw39% FC Machida Zelvia36%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
3.5%
0 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 15% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 19% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 14% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.