FC Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Jun | Gamba Osaka | A | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Jun | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Jun | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Jun | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jun | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Jun | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #3 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 42 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| +9 | GD | +2 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 3 A |
| Koki Ogawa | 3 G | |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tete Yengi | 2 G | 1 A |
| Takuma Nishimura | 2 G |
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Machida GION Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between FC Machida Zelvia and Nagoya Grampus.
- 5' FC Machida Zelvia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
- 10' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 14' The referee shows Nagoya Grampus player a card on 14.
- 19' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 24' A quiet spell here at Machida GION Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 29' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' GOAL! Hokuto Shimoda scores on 30. Assisted by Yu Hirakawa
- 35' FC Machida Zelvia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 43' That looks like a foul for a card for Gen Shoji.
- 46' Kensuke Nagai gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Kyota Sakakibara and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Machida Zelvia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 56' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 61' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 66' Patric has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuya Yamagishi on 66 minute.
- 68' Fresh legs for FC Machida Zelvia! Kazuki Fujimoto comes on to replace Shunta Araki.
- 70' It’s a booking for FC Machida Zelvia player. Kazuki Fujimoto gets a card.
- 75' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Mitchell Duke departs to be replaced by Se-hun Oh.
- 77' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Tojiro Kubo by Ryosuke Yamanaka on 77 minute.
- 82' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 83' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Takuya Uchida is replaced by Ken Masui on 83 minute.
- 88' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 90' Patric picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' FC Machida Zelvia make a change. Yu Hirakawa trudges off to be replaced by Erik on 90 minutes.
- FC Machida Zelvia celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 3
- 5
-
8
Keiya Sento ↓ Kai Shibato 75'
- 9
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↓ Se-hun Oh 75'
-
47
Shunta Araki ↓ Kazuki Fujimoto 68'
- 26
-
7
Yu Hirakawa ↓ Erik 90'
- 33
Bench
-
11
Erik ↑ 90'
-
45
Kai Shibato ↑ 75'
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↑ 68'
- 10
- 4
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 75'
- 42
Coach
Go Kuroda
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Ken Masui 83'
- 1
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Akinari Kawazura 77'
- 14
- 15
- 27
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Patric 66'
- 28
-
25
Tojiro Kubo ↓ Ryosuke Yamanaka 77'
- 3
Bench
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 46'
-
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↑ 77'
-
10
Patric ↑ 66'
- 16
-
17
Ken Masui ↑ 83'
-
24
Akinari Kawazura ↑ 77'
- 4
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yusuke Matsuo | 1 |
| Hokuto Shimoda | 1 |
| Alexandre Pisano | 1 |
| Yota Sato | 1 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 1 |
| Sang-ho Na | 1 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Gen Shoji | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.05
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
80%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
42%
FC Machida Zelvia or Nagoya Grampus
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 22% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

