FC Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Jun | Gamba Osaka | A | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Jun | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Jun | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Jun | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jun | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Jun | Tokyo Verdy | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #3 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 42 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| +9 | GD | +2 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
44%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Machida GION Stadium will turn into a battlefield for FC Machida Zelvia and Nagoya Grampus.
- 5' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Yuya Yamagishi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' The 29-year-old Ibrahim Dresevic has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 14' Keiya Shiihashi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 14.
- 19' Takuya Uchida needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 24' FC Machida Zelvia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 29' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 30' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hokuto Shimoda makes it 1-0.
- 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Machida Zelvia and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 43' A meaty challenge results in booking for Gen Shoji on 43.
- 46' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Kyota Sakakibara by Kensuke Nagai on 46 minute.
- 51' FC Machida Zelvia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
- 56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kosei Tani is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
- 61' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 66' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 66 minute. Yuya Yamagishi leaves to be changed by Patric.
- 68' Shunta Araki makes way for Kazuki Fujimoto at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Machida Zelvia.
- 70' A moment of madness from Kazuki Fujimoto on 70 minutes earns him a card. FC Machida Zelvia will be frustrated.
- 75' FC Machida Zelvia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Se-hun Oh is hanging Mitchell Duke on the field on 75 minute.
- 77' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Ryosuke Yamanaka on, Tojiro Kubo off on 77 minutes.
- 82' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 83' Ken Masui is ready to make an impact after coming on for Takuya Uchida at the 83 minute mark.
- 88' FC Machida Zelvia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
- 90' It’s a booking for Nagoya Grampus player. Patric gets a card.
- 90' FC Machida Zelvia ring the changes. Yu Hirakawa has done his job and it is now time for Erik to step up.
- FC Machida Zelvia celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 3
- 5
-
8
Keiya Sento ↓ Kai Shibato 75'
- 9
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↓ Se-hun Oh 75'
-
47
Shunta Araki ↓ Kazuki Fujimoto 68'
- 26
-
7
Yu Hirakawa ↓ Erik 90'
- 33
Bench
-
11
Erik ↑ 90'
-
45
Kai Shibato ↑ 75'
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↑ 68'
- 10
- 4
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 75'
- 42
Coach
Go Kuroda
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Ken Masui 83'
- 1
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Akinari Kawazura 77'
- 14
- 15
- 27
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Patric 66'
- 28
-
25
Tojiro Kubo ↓ Ryosuke Yamanaka 77'
- 3
Bench
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 46'
-
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↑ 77'
-
10
Patric ↑ 66'
- 16
-
17
Ken Masui ↑ 83'
-
24
Akinari Kawazura ↑ 77'
- 4
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shota Fujio | 1 |
| Hokuto Shimoda | 1 |
| Yota Sato | 1 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 1 |
| Sang-ho Na | 1 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Gen Shoji | 1 |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.05
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
80%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
42%
FC Machida Zelvia or Nagoya Grampus
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 22% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.