Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Feb | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Dec | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Nov | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #13 |
| 31 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 46 | Scored | 42 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +2 | GD | +9 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
44%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Toyota Stadium that hosts another battle between Nagoya Grampus and FC Machida Zelvia.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Katsuhiro Nakayama, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yu Hirakawa is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Machida Zelvia.
- 21' Shota Fujio has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 21 minutes.
- 26' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 31' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 36' Kensuke Nagai has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
- 39' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Min-Gyu Jang.
- 44' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 46' The referee calls foul for Chang-rae Ha. He receives a card.
- 51' Min-Gyu Jang has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 54' It’s gonna be a card for Yuki Nogami.
- 56' The referee has no hesitation. Ibrahim Dresevic is booked for FC Machida Zelvia — card on 56.
- 61' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 63' Ken Masui is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryosuke Yamanaka at the 63 minute mark.
- 64' Tojiro Kubo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Katsuhiro Nakayama at the 64 minute mark.
- 69' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 74' A tactical swap from FC Machida Zelvia — Mitchell Duke on, Se-hun Oh off on 74 minutes.
- 75' The whistle greets Kensuke Nagai as he departs to be replaced by Yuya Yamagishi.
- 79' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ken Masui.
- 82' Kai Shibato catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
- 82' Chang-rae Ha makes way for Shion Inoue at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 83' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Patric comes on to replace Kasper Junker.
- 87' The referee has no hesitation. Takuji Yonemoto is booked for Nagoya Grampus — card on 87.
- 88' Byron Vasquez makes way for Kazuki Fujimoto at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Machida Zelvia.
- It finishes all square. Nagoya Grampus and FC Machida Zelvia share the spoils 0-1.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 75'
- 1
-
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↓ Ken Masui 63'
- 2
- 14
- 7
- 27
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Patric 83'
- 20
-
3
Chang-rae Ha ↓ Shion Inoue 82'
Bench
- 15
-
10
Patric ↑ 83'
- 16
-
17
Ken Masui ↑ 63'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 75'
-
25
Tojiro Kubo ↑ 64'
-
4
Shion Inoue ↑ 82'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 45
- 5
- 9
- 6
- 26
- 7
- 14
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Mitchell Duke 74'
-
39
Byron Vasquez ↓ Kazuki Fujimoto 88'
Bench
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↑ 88'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 74'
- 4
- 33
- 42
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Gen Shoji | 1 |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Shota Fujio | 1 |
| Hokuto Shimoda | 1 |
| Yota Sato | 1 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.3
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
73%
Nagoya Grampus or FC Machida Zelvia
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
4.7%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 14% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 21% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.