Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Feb | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Dec | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Nov | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #13 |
| 31 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 46 | Scored | 42 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +2 | GD | +9 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
100%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nagoya Grampus to score. At the same time, FC Machida Zelvia does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' FC Machida Zelvia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryosuke Yamanaka suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 20' FC Machida Zelvia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 21' GOAL! Shota Fujio fires home to make it 0-1!
- 26' FC Machida Zelvia is showing some good football. However, FC Machida Zelvia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 31' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and FC Machida Zelvia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 36' Tsukasa Morishima has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 16 cards already picked up this season.
- 39' A moment of madness from Min-Gyu Jang on 39 minutes earns him a card. FC Machida Zelvia will be frustrated.
- 44' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 46' The referee has no hesitation. Chang-rae Ha is booked for Nagoya Grampus — card on 46.
- 51' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 54' Yuki Nogami was booked on 54.
- 56' FC Machida Zelvia receives a card for a hard tackle on 56.
- 61' Denmark international Kasper Junker has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 63' Ryosuke Yamanaka makes way for Ken Masui at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 64' Tojiro Kubo is replacing Katsuhiro Nakayama for the Nagoya Grampus side.
- 69' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 74' It is a substitution in FC Machida Zelvia team. Se-hun Oh is replaced by Mitchell Duke on 74 minute.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Yuya Yamagishi. He replaces Kensuke Nagai on 75 minute.
- 79' Nagoya Grampus receives a card for a hard tackle on 79.
- 82' Controversy at the stadium! Kai Shibato argues furiously but the card stands.
- 82' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Chang-rae Ha is withdrawn and Shion Inoue gets his opportunity.
- 83' Patric has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kasper Junker on 83 minute.
- 87' Nagoya Grampus receives a card for a hard tackle on 87.
- 88' FC Machida Zelvia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kazuki Fujimoto is hanging Byron Vasquez on the field on 88 minute.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 75'
- 1
-
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↓ Ken Masui 63'
- 2
- 14
- 7
- 27
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Patric 83'
- 20
-
3
Chang-rae Ha ↓ Shion Inoue 82'
Bench
- 15
-
10
Patric ↑ 83'
- 16
-
17
Ken Masui ↑ 63'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 75'
-
25
Tojiro Kubo ↑ 64'
-
4
Shion Inoue ↑ 82'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 45
- 5
- 9
- 6
- 26
- 7
- 14
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Mitchell Duke 74'
-
39
Byron Vasquez ↓ Kazuki Fujimoto 88'
Bench
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↑ 88'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 74'
- 4
- 33
- 42
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Gen Shoji | 1 |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Shota Fujio | 1 |
| Hokuto Shimoda | 1 |
| Yota Sato | 1 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.3
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
73%
Nagoya Grampus or FC Machida Zelvia
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
4.7%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 14% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 21% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

