Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Feb | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Dec | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Nov | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #13 |
| 31 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 46 | Scored | 42 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +2 | GD | +9 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
54%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
FC Machida Zelvia
| Takuma Nishimura | 5 G | |
| Koki Ogawa | 4 G | |
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 4 A |
| Tete Yengi | 3 G | 1 A |
| Hiroki Mochizuki | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Nagoya Grampus and FC Machida Zelvia is underway.
- 5' FC Machida Zelvia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' Kasper Junker has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' Kensuke Nagai is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
- 20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and FC Machida Zelvia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 21' Shota Fujio doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 26' Patric, a Brazil , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 36' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 39' FC Machida Zelvia player sees a card in front of him.
- 44' Shion Inoue has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 46' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Chang-rae Ha.
- 51' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Machida Zelvia backline.
- 54' Nagoya Grampus receives a card for a hard tackle on 54.
- 56' Poor challenge from Ibrahim Dresevic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 61' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and FC Machida Zelvia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 63' The supporters are chanting for Ken Masui. He replaces Ryosuke Yamanaka on 63 minute.
- 64' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Katsuhiro Nakayama by Tojiro Kubo on 64 minute.
- 69' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mitchell Duke suffering a number of foals already.
- 74' A tactical swap from FC Machida Zelvia — Mitchell Duke on, Se-hun Oh off on 74 minutes.
- 75' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Yuya Yamagishi comes on to replace Kensuke Nagai.
- 79' That looks like a foul for a card for Ken Masui.
- 82' Kai Shibato is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
- 82' Chang-rae Ha makes way for Shion Inoue at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 83' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Kasper Junker exits the field as Patric enters on 83.
- 87' Takuji Yonemoto has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 87.
- 88' A tactical swap from FC Machida Zelvia — Kazuki Fujimoto on, Byron Vasquez off on 88 minutes.
- FC Machida Zelvia celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 75'
- 1
-
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↓ Ken Masui 63'
- 2
- 14
- 7
- 27
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Patric 83'
- 20
-
3
Chang-rae Ha ↓ Shion Inoue 82'
Bench
- 15
-
10
Patric ↑ 83'
- 16
-
17
Ken Masui ↑ 63'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 75'
-
25
Tojiro Kubo ↑ 64'
-
4
Shion Inoue ↑ 82'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 45
- 5
- 9
- 6
- 26
- 7
- 14
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Mitchell Duke 74'
-
39
Byron Vasquez ↓ Kazuki Fujimoto 88'
Bench
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↑ 88'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 74'
- 4
- 33
- 42
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Gen Shoji | 1 |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Hiroki Mochizuki | 1 |
| Ryohei Shirasaki | 1 |
| Shota Fujio | 1 |
| Yusuke Matsuo | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.3
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
73%
Nagoya Grampus or FC Machida Zelvia
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
4.7%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 14% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 21% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.